₦airaland Forum

What's the implication on all the deadlines imposed on political parties by inec?

BREAKING: ALL ABDUCTED OYO SCHOOLCHILDREN, TEACHERS RESCUED

All the schoolchildren and teachers abducted during the May 15 attack on Ahoro-Esiele community in Oriire Local Government Area of Oyo State have been rescued.

The victims were kidnapped when heavily armed gunmen invaded the community, abducting 46 pupils, teachers and the school principal, an incident that sparked nationwide concern.

The abduction turned tragic days later when one of the kidnapped teachers, Michael Oyedokun, was reportedly beheaded by the abductors.

Details of the rescue operation, including whether any suspects were arrested or the circumstances surrounding the victims' release, have not yet been disclosed by the authorities.

Excellent .
Front Page. Please .
Fergie, myndd

naptu2:
Total and complete nonsense.

Every one of us have seen it before. Even those who have not seen it face to face have seen it before.

Politicians go there to eat every election season, in order to identify with the people and the photos and videos are everywhere. Everybody knows this.

That's why I don't take the people that talk about gas cylinder and paid place and bag of beans seriously. They are not serious people so they shouldn't be taken seriously.

Just like the people that talk about government money. Those ones will entertain me tomorrow.

Look below, do you see any gas cylinder or paid place or bag of beans? These people are just entertainers and their only purpose is to entertain me.

In ibadan.. 90 percent of our akara sellers use gas. You hardly ever see them use edu. The stress alone na 🔥

These figures can't be real..

11000 from where ?

[sup][/sup]a

Chucks13:
I have said it those enemy of Nigeria must surely comes up with something and they just did.

He was declared dead in 2924 baa? Ok thank you for telling us, so what is the fuss now?

This one go stubborn pass fubara if he becomes governor .... Wike go see fire!

Is this not Chinda the Maze fighter in rivers state house of assembly that time.

He might end up with court cases if he wins ..PDP dey attend APC screening .lol

fergie001:
I just got the CTC this morning ....an interesting read even though I do not support the reasoning of the majority judgement.

Summarize it in few sentences when done with it.

Lol

No wonder...
He has been seriously attacking obi for the past one year!

Now connect the dots!

Hmmm

Them go deny am.
Wike is most likely his backbone

Time is not just “running.” It is narrowing options.

What ADC does in the next few months will decide whether it is a serious platform in 2027 or just another missed opportunity.


Let me speak plainly, as a strategist would.


1. Stop the bleeding first (internal war must end now)
No opposition survives a public civil war.

ADC must:
Produce one recognised leadership structure
Enter an immediate political settlement, not a prolonged legal fight

Use elders or neutral figures to broker peace
Names like David Mark and other senior figures should not be in open conflict at this stage.


Hard truth:
If the party goes to court instead of negotiation, it will lose time even if it wins the case.



2. Secure INEC compliance immediately
Independent National Electoral Commission does not care about internal politics. It cares about procedure.
ADC must:
Align fully with INEC guidelines
Submit clear, uncontested leadership details
Avoid parallel congresses or factional meetings
INEC has already shown its position:
“If you are divided, we step back.”
So ADC must become administratively “clean” again.



3. Create a legal fast-track strategy
Court cases cannot drag into 2027.

The party should:
Push for accelerated hearing
Seek consent judgment or settlement out of court

Avoid appeals that stretch timelines
This is not the time to prove who is right.
It is the time to ensure the party survives.


4. Lock down the coalition (this is critical)
ADC is only relevant now because of the coalition.
Key figures like:
Atiku Abubakar
Peter Obi
Rabiu Kwankwaso
…must do something urgent:

Hold a closed-door unity summit
Agree on:
Platform (ADC or alternative)
Candidate selection method
Power-sharing formula

If they don’t agree early, they will scatter late.



5. Decide one presidential pathway (no ambiguity)

This is where many opposition coalitions fail.
ADC must choose:
Option A: Consensus candidate
Option B: Transparent primary election
Option C: Zoning agreement
But not confusion.


If aspirants are unsure:
They will defect
Or quietly sabotage the platform


6. Build structure quietly while resolving crisis
While the leadership issue is being fixed, the party should not “pause.”
It should:
Begin state-level mobilisation
Recruit ward coordinators
Map strongholds and swing states
Campaigns are not built in one year. They are built early.

7. Prepare a fallback platform (very important)
A smart opposition never bets on one structure.
If ADC remains unstable:
The coalition should quietly prepare:
Another party platform
Or a merger structure
No noise. Just readiness.
Because if INEC disqualification risk appears late, there will be no time to recover.


8. Control the narrative
Right now, the story is:
“ADC is in crisis.”
That must change to:
“ADC is reorganising for a stronger challenge.”

They need:
Consistent spokesperson messaging
No contradictory public statements
No social media fights among members
Perception shapes voter confidence.


9. Work backwards from the election timetable
INEC timelines will come with:
Party primaries window
Candidate submission deadlines
Campaign start dates
ADC must reverse-engineer from that:
Leadership settled BEFORE primaries
Primaries done EARLY, not last minute
Candidate announced with enough campaign runway
Late candidates rarely win.


10. Face the real question (this is the uncomfortable one)
Is ADC strong enough to carry a national coalition?

If the answer is no, then:
Merge early
Rebrand early
Move early
Waiting will only shrink their options.
Bottom line


Right now, ADC has two possible futures:

Path 1:
Resolve crisis fast → unify coalition → present strong candidate → become a real threat in 2027

Path 2:
Stay divided → miss deadlines → lose legal standing → become irrelevant.


There is no middle ground.
If you want, I can map out who benefits the most politically if ADC fails, and how the 2027 race could shift overnight.

fergie001:
When they were doing PDP, I was countering people said I don't know what I am saying.

The truth is that Tinubu doesn't trust the Northerners and their support, he wants to run alone.

Before now, our higher Courts do not entertain any issue that has to deal with leadership or membership matters. To the extent, the present CRS Dep-Gov was in PDP and APC, yet our Courts held that only a Party can determine her members. But we have seen it with the PDP and now the ADC that the Judiciary and their collaborator, INEC are neck-deep in this they won't stop.
Before 2023, I want someone to point just one leadership or membership issue our Courts have handled.... Absolutely none.

Mark and co got in there on Sept 2, a Court of Appeal ruled on status quo ante bellum on March 12 but you can see what INEC is interpreting. When the FHC ruled on ante bellum for Umo Eno as AKS PDP Guber Candidate, INEC held on to retain his name.

A matter before the FHC, then there was an interlocutory appeal which was dismissed ..what did INEC do? Dwell on the interlocutory appeal, thereby already involving in a suit they ordinarily should be part of. No be Amupitan 😂

For a Nafiu, who resigned oooooo ..... Na laugh I dey laugh!

Your observation is very similar to the below write up I saw on Facebook few minutes ago.


The ADC is not my cup of tea, but there is now reasonable basis to infer existence of a well orchestrated sinister conspiracy to truncate contested and credible elections in 2027.

From what is publicly available, all the Executives of the ADC resigned to allow David Mark and Aregbesola to emerge as the National Chairman and the National Secretary respectively.

The man who took the case to the court, Nafiu Gombe, claims that he did not resign as Deputy National Chairman, and that he ought to have automatically assumed the position of National Chairman “in line with the Party’s Constitution”.

Interestingly, the ADC held a National Executive Committee where the party ratified its new leadership led by Mark.

So, what’s the controversy here?

Is dispute over the leadership of a political party no longer the internal affairs of the political party?

It used to be the law that issues of political party leadership is non justiciable, or forum domesticum.

A Party’s NEC has the authority to decide who should lead the party.

If the ADC says they want another person to assume that role instead of the Deputy National Chairman, can the Court compel the same Party to submit to its Deputy?

Is this dispute justiciable?

Also, the Court of Appeal said the parties should maintain status quo ante bellum.

This means the state of affairs before the suit before the Federal High Court was filed by the Claimant.

Before the suit, who was the Chairman of the Party?

Was it not David Mark?

Is this INEC saying that the Order of the Court of Appeal implies that there should be leadership vacuum in the ADC until the case is determined by the Federal High Court?

Whose script is this INEC playing?

It seems that the ruling party, which prides itself as having over thirty governors in its fold, is so scared of a fair contestation.

If it is the desire of INEC for Bola Tinubu to contest as a sole candidate - unopposed, in 2027, let the Commission say so publicly.

It will save the country the billions of Naira budgeted for the ‘presidential election’.

Wow so fast ?

Even faster than the signed electoral law by Tnubu!

I thought they closed work by 5pm today 😱

fergie001:
It's not compulsory to withdraw.
If you insist you wouldn't, then you head for direct primary though APC is best at the consensus thing, the PDP has never used it before.
The LP used it in 2022.

In Osun..it worked against Omishore wishes and others ambition.

In Ekiti it worked against one of the aspirants who was very popular .

That's why I believe it is still highly undemocratic.

N

fergie001:
Tinubu pushed for it!

It will!

Tinubu is so anti democratic.
How on earth is consensus (other contenders compulsorily stepping down for the chosen one) a democratic means of producing a candidate?

I want to believe that it should be left for the party to decide.

I agree with you
Politics is about systematic calculations and not about emotions.

Seun..the wike bots are misfiring on this thread.

How were they coded?

JASONjnr:
A video trending on twitter shows when protesting youths with their plaques referred to the President of Nigeria as Ebola Tinubu over his comments as the ECOWAS leader to the coup plotters in Niger.

What are these Nigeriens doing with Tinubu's poster? Who can interpret French here? David hundeyin transcorp Hilton hotel Goliath has fallen augmentin Niger RCCG max air pantami Asari Rwanda pic.twitter.com/tYb40TsLrD

— GoPublicⓂ️🕐 (@GoPublicToday) August 3, 2023

Also, Tinubu ordered for a cut down on power supply to Niger through a borderline dam.

This contradicts the treaty signed in 1963.

Hahaha

Tinubu don finish walahi

fergie001:
It will hold in November, but calm ... We dey play one game, relax!

Why did you think that the pdp prevented a whole and loyal Lamido from picking the chairmanship form

Is this real 😲?

Lol.... I sorry for Naija!

when you manipulate statistics for propaganda purposes , this is what you get.

They manipulated and reduced the inflation rate from 33 percent to 21 percent but refused to reduce the interest rate from 27 percent to 21 percent.

Now if you want to borrow loans from bank, they charge you an astonishing 2.95% monthly 35.4% yearly 😲

fergie001:
OmiTunTun, we believe in your leadership!

Presidential Candidate of the PDP, Ride on Sir.
You are all doing well!

Oyo and Osun states in the bag for pdp .

Huge number of Tinubu SW votes greatly chopped off!

National Convention in Ibadan which will be teleguided by Seyi Makinde, WIKE's proposed PDP Presidential Candidate in 2027 and Authentic Delegate lists will be changed on the Morning of the National Convention in favour of WIKE structure and his preferred NWC will emerge which will later pick Makinde as the Presidential Candidate of the Party and will be a walkover for Tinubu in exchange for a Ministerial Slot.

We know the Game Plan and we will all move to the ADC before that November

Fake news.
Just a personal opinion.
The nec meeting is Thursday

He should be celebrating and not mocking the pdp.
Or does he have ulterior motives?

Lol