Abuja, Nigeria. October 8th, 2013
Governance poll results released by NOIPolls Limited for the month of September have revealed that almost half of Nigerians (49%) approve of the President’s performance over the past month. This rating represents an 8-point decline in the President’s approval rating fromAugust (57%) to September (49%). More findings showed that majority (50%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. In addition, there is a 5-point increase in those who have seen improvements in their power supply for the month of September (from 36% in August to 41% in September). These were the key findings from the Governance Snap Poll conducted in the week of September 23rd 2013.
The result presented is the ninth of the monthly series of governance polls conducted by NOIPolls to gauge the opinions and perceptions of Nigerians regarding three crucial elements– the approval rating of the president, the performance of the current administration, and the situation of power supply in the country.

Respondents to the poll were asked three specific questions. One, with the aim of gauging the job approval rating of President Goodluck Jonathan over the past month (September)respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of President Jonathan in the past 1 month? results revealed that overall, majority 49% (42% +7%) are in support of the President’s performance over the past month, with 42% approving and 7%strongly approving of the performance of the President. Relatively, 24% (19%+5%) of respondents disapproved of the President’s performance, with 19% disapproving and 5%strongly disapproving, while, 27% of the respondents were neutral in rating his performance. These figures represent a significant 8-point decrease in the President’s approval rating from August (57%) to September (49%), and a 5-point increase in the proportion that disapproved of the president’s performance from August (19%) to September (24%).

Analyses by geo-political zones reveal that the South East with 74% (61%+13%) down from76% in the month of August, has the highest proportion of respondents that approve of the President’s performance. This is followed by the South South with 61% (55%+6%) down from66% in the month of August. In addition, the South West with 42% (38%+4%) up from 23%, has the highest proportion of respondents that disapprove of the President’s performance while the North West with 42% up from 32%, has highest number of neutrals.

Evaluating the President’s rating in a nine months series show that the highest approval ratings of the President’s performance were obtained in August (57%), February (54%) and July(53%). Similarly the lowest approval ratings received by the President were in the months of May (44%), June (44%) and April (42%).

Subsequently, with the aim of assessing the performance of the current administration respondents were asked: How would you rate the performance of this current administration in the past 1 month? Findings reveal that half of Nigerians (50%) believe that the current administration has performed averagely well, others, 23% (20%+3%) affirmed they performed well, while 27% (21%+6%) say they performed poorly.



An assessment of the current administration’s performance by the geo-political zones reveal that the North Central (61%) and North West (59%) zones have the highest proportion of respondents that rate the performance of the current administration as average; while the South West has the highest proportion of respondents (47%: 38%+9%) that rate the performance of the current administration poorly.

Trending the performance of the current administration over a nine month period, the analysis below reveal that the job approval rating of the current administration (executive cabinet- governors and ministers) ministers experienced a surge in February (24%) but declined consecutively till April (16%). A second surge of approval was witnessed in July (28%) and peaked in August (35%). After which we have observed a 12-point declinein the month of September (23%).

Lastly, in order to gauge the quality of power supply in Nigeria within the past month, respondents were asked: How would you describe power in your area in the past 1 month? Reactions to this question revealed that the general situation of power improved over the past month as majority 41% (33%+8%) of Nigerians experienced an improvement in their power supply. From these figures, we see a 5-point increase in the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in the power situation from August (36%) to September (41%).

Further analysis by geo-political zones reveal that the power situation has improved in theSouth South (49%: 41%+8%) and the South East (47%: 7%+40%) but has remained poor/gone worse in the South West (54%: 32%+22%) North West (53%: 44%+9%), these figures are relatively the same when compared to results in August 2013.

Evaluating the situation of Power across Nigeria in nine months depicts a general fluctuation in the improvement experienced by Nigerians. January, February and September recorded the best power ratings so far with 47%, 44% and 41% respectively while March, April and June with 31%, 31% and 32% respectively recorded the lowest ratings.

In conclusion, the results from the current poll have shown that almost half of Nigerians (49%: 42%+7%) approve of the President’s performance over in the month of September. This rating represents a significant 8-point decrease in the President’s approval rating from August (57%)to September (49%). Although, the power situation in Nigeria saw a general improvement as the proportion of Nigerians that experienced an improvement in their power supply increased by 5-points from August (36%) to September (41%), the 8-point decline is attributed to the negative approval ratings in the regions that experienced bad power supply (South West and North West). More findings showed that majority (50%) are of the opinion that the present administration performed averagely. Also indicative in this our 9 month series is that several other factors apart from power and the current on-going reforms may have affected the way Nigerians perceive the performance of the President.
Survey Methods
The opinion poll was conducted on September 23rd to 25th 2013. It involved telephone interviews of a random nationwide sample. 1,017 randomly selected phone-owning Nigerians aged 18 years and above, representing the six geopolitical zones in the country, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 3%. NOIPolls Limited is theNo.1 for country specific polling services in West Africa, which works in technical partnership with the Gallup Organisation (USA), to conduct periodic opinion polls and studies on various socio-economic and political issues in Nigeria. More information is available at www.noi-polls.com

http://businessdayonline.com/2013/10/presidents-job-approval-ratings-decline/

42% of respondents from the southwest approve of the president's performance. That confirms my position that the NOISE of Tinubu's dogs on this forum does not in anyway reflect the true situation on ground in the southwest.

by almost half or by less than half? 51% don't like him. Are you guys serious? Majority of Nigerians don't like GEJ simple!