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How To Calculate Your Dividend Growth by RYSB: 8:59am On Oct 15, 2008 |
The official description of the Dividend Growth Model is; 'A stock valuation model that deals with dividends and their growth, discounted to today'. This model assumes that the basis of the valuation of stock is: The Current Dividend Growth of the Dividend Required Rate of Return It is best to describe this model by using an example. Assume that a stock is paying $2.00 per year in dividends, growing at 3.5% per year. The so-called variable item in this example is the investors required rate of return, which we will assume is 12.4%. The formula for the Dividend Growth Model is: Value = (Current Dividend * (1 + Dividend Growth)) / (Required Return - Dividend Growth) Now, let's insert the assumptions for the example into this formula: Value = (N2 * (1 + .035)) / (.124 - .035) Value = N23.26 Now what does this mean? Basically this means that based on the current situation (the assumptions) this stock should yield a 12.4% average annual return at a price of $23.26. You might want to look at the required rate of return example for a discussion of that piece of this puzzle. USE A CALCULATOR: http://www.finplan.com/invest/divgcalc.htm If you like this post then log on to www.reportyourstockbroker.com for more Gordon Growth Model What does it Mean? A model for determining the intrinsic value of a stock, based on a future series of dividends that grow at a constant rate. Given a dividend per share that is payable in one year, and the assumption that the dividend grows at a constant rate in perpetuity, the model solves for the present value of the infinite series of future dividends. STOCK VALUE (P) = D/ K-G Where: D = Expected dividend per share one year from now K = Required Rate of Return for equity investor G = Growth rate in dividends (in perpetuity) Because the model simplistically assumes a constant growth rate, it is generally only used for mature companies (or broad market indices) with low to moderate growth rates. If you liked this post then log on to www.reportyourstockbroker.com you wont regret this |
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