The event of at the National Assembly yesterday was a master stroke by PDP dominated SS/SE, and a wake up call for Buhari and APC.
By any political analysis, the event of yesterday was an humiliation to APC, and they need to know that why they have won the battle by defeating the incumbent, they have not won the war.

First, Buhari need a crash course in political strategy, this shouldn't be difficult as he can leverage on his military strategy experience. It is normal that when a president comes to power, diverse interests will want to outwit themselves in competing for influence, it not unusual when OBJ left, these interest told Yar Adua to do away with obj, likewise, the same interest causes disharmony btw obj and Goodluck, the rest is history. Right now, some interests are putting pressure on Buhari to stay clear of Tinubu type of politics, but the reality is that Buhari need Tinubu now more than ever. It is the Tinubu type of politics that transform ACN from a one gov state to six gov states, which make merger a viable option. The Tinubu brand of politics may be crude and too raw for Buhari, but it is the brand that is suitable for Nigeria until we move into a saner system. It is this brand of politics that ACN used to tackle PDP match for match. It was this brand of politics that provided the platform under which Buhari now stands.


Buhari need to know that he represents the hope and aspirations of Nigeria for change and better life. The same elites interest group who have made it impossible for him to emerge president after 3 attempts are now trying to snatch victory from the jaw of defeat. Buhari need to wake up and use people who are well schooled in our brand of politics to take the lead where necessary, while he is still maintaining his impeccable standing. Any attempt to allow this kind of thing to happen again will ruin his 2nd term and APC chances in next election.

The Saraki victory yesterday was a blow to Buhari presidency. For those of us who knows Saraki, the senate presidency is a means to an end, the end goal is the Nigeria presidency. Saraki ambition has never been better off than now, even if APC restrategize, they cannot impeach him now or else, the senate presidency can go to Pdp as Mark and Ekweremadu are waiting in the wings.

Like Tambuwal, Saraki having been voted by 49 PDP senators and only 7 APC senators is now PDP in spirit while APC in body. This is a replay of Tambuwal master stroke that culminated in his political victory as Gov of Sokoto now. Right now Saraki is the big guy of PDP. He is a man driven by ambition and selfish interest, he fell out with Jonathan because he didn't get Jonathan support for the senate president, the opportunity came when new PDP staged a walkout into APC, he was just bidding his time, today he has seized the opportunity of APC momentary loss of concentration. The only task Saraki has now is to balance PDP/APC interest groups in the house till 2019 when he will challenge Buhari under the platform of Pdp. PDP will have now no choice than to field him in 2019, because he would be their only hope then as the senate president. Saraki is strictly the presidency, which he can't get under APC platform in 2019, but PDP will not mind him as he is already part of them.

If Buhari decided to fight corruption as he promised, then corruption will fight back, the only platform for corruption to fight back is through PDP who has now gotten a foothold in the senate. Saraki himself has a case in court over Society Generale Bank he mismanaged. In essence, all the big money corporate and corrupt PDP elitist will rally round Saraki to challenge Buhari. Their success in this pursuit is directly proportional to how much they are able to frustrate Buhari APC government, and how much they can prevent him from delivering on his campaign promises to Nigeria. The expectation of Nigeria is so high on Buhari because of his antecedent that he is imcurruptible and he will fight corruption which everyone agreed is the main problem in Nigeria. In other words, the Saraki cacus in the senate can always block policies for reform, refusal to confirm technocrat who will not compromise. In short Saraki goal to achieve his own ambition is to ensure that Nigeria high expectation from Buhari is dashed so that people will query Buhari ability to deliver dividend of democracy to Nigerians. Then when 2019 draw close, he will present himself under PDP who will be willing then to field him as their presidential candidate. His leaving APC will split APC as many loyalist will go with him, this is in addition to other groups who would feel sidelined by APC.

Money to finance the campaign will not be an issue then, because all the big money who may have been delt with by Efcc then would rally round him, not only that the 13 PDP states controlled 54% of national allocation (mostly oil producing states). Anybody can bet this, Saraki will contest 2019 presidential election, he cannot get APC ticket, but he will get PDP tickets. They key factor of succes will then be how much, he succeeded in frustrating Buhari govt, this will go a long way on how Nigerians will respond to his candidacy in 2019.

Th Buhari/APC must wake up and fight this fight to the finish, they have the means to do this. If Buhari is trying to be Mr. Decent, I am afraid, there is nothing decent in the way politics is played here. Currently, he is trying to impress the international community that he is now born again democrat, even the opposition are capitalizing on this weakness, PDP does not need to impress anybody, but Buhari is being held captive by his many declarations. I will also advice him not to make unnecessary statement that will turn around to limit his freedom of action. For instance, he said he will not interfere with whoever emerge in the National Assembly, he is now held captive by that statement. It will not be in his interest to subdue the Tinubu group in APC as some feather weight in his camp are telling him, if anything he needs Tinubu more than ever to liquidate those that will fight him dirty, and he may not be able to fight back using the same dirty approach, a bad child has his own usefulness. The same way, some feather weight people who have no electoral value surrounded Jonathan asking him to call the bluff of Obj, where is Jonathan today, where are those feather weight people like Edwin Clark today's? In short, Buhari need Tinubu as a foot soldier now more than ever. He should also remember that if the Tinubu group pull out of APC, that is the end. If should remember that he has attempted this thing 3 times before. Tinubu is not in the class of Buhari in terms of morals, but there was harmony of interest ( to get power from pdp) that brought them together, he should not destroy Tinubu group, but just manage them to achieve his goal for Nigeria. The job of a leader is to manage diverse groups in his camp and be fare to all, or else he will jeopardize the hope for a new Nigeria.

true talk

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We shall beat APC to their political game.


PDP Shall Lead Again

frankly I think it's time to activate the EFCC. It's necessary, all is fair in war especially when you're fighting a hydra headed monster-corruption that will stop at nothing to get the job done. I'm sure that with time Baba will realise this & unleash jagaban. Even the greatest empires and emperors were neck deep in scandals, politics is a dirty game where the end justifies the means. We can't afford to lose this war against PDP & corruption so soon.... time will tell. I forsee a lot of blackmail in the coming days this is just the beginning

is not the same EFCC that freed Silver of curruption

Metrofox:
frankly I think it's time to activate the EFCC. It's necessary, all is fair in war especially when you're fighting a hydra headed monster-corruption that will stop at nothing to get the job done. I'm sure that with time Baba will realise this & unleash jagaban. Even the greatest empires and emperors were neck deep in scandals, politics is a dirty game where the end justifies the means. We can't afford to lose this war against PDP & corruption so soon.... time will tell. I forsee a lot of blackmail in the coming days this is just the beginning