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Foreign Affairs / Putin Is In A Corner, Trying Not To Look Weak by 360CYBER: 3:01am On Aug 01, 2017
"Mark Galeotti is a senior researcher at UMV, the Institute of International Relations Prague, and coordinator of its Centre for European Security. He is a specialist on Russian security affairs, intelligence and organized crime, and is also principal director of the consultancy Mayak Intelligence, which specializes in Russia research. The opinions in this article belong to the author."
(CNN)Vladimir Putin's counter to new US sanctions on Russia was curiously out of date.
While hyped as a sign that the Kremlin had both lost patience with President Trump and was still willing to show its teeth, it probably better demonstrates Moscow's diminishing range of options than anything else.
The US sanctions are directed toward hitting Russia's energy infrastructure in response to its alleged interference in the 2016 US elections. By contrast, the Kremlin is demanding that the Americans cut their diplomatic missions staff in Russia by 755, bringing them down to the same numbers as Moscow's people in Washington.
There is a strange asymmetry, given that in the past sanctions and responses have tended to mirror each other, not least for symbolic impact.
Putin hits back at sanctions bill by gutting US missions
Putin hits back at sanctions bill by gutting US missions
Therefore, it is likely that these were moves originally drawn up in reply to Barack Obama's decision back in December to kick out 35 diplomats and seal off two Russian compounds in response to meddling in the elections.
Back then, Moscow decided not to respond, making a grand public play of its forbearance. After all, Trump was heading for the White House, and there were still hopes in Putin's team that his fulsome praise of Russia might be translated into some practical gains.
Since then, though, the Russians have learned the painful lesson that Trump promises more than he can deliver and have watched as a suspicious Congress, a hostile media and a rolling judicial investigation increasingly tie his hands when it comes to working with Moscow.
With this new round of sanctions, Putin clearly felt he could not afford not to respond. For a leader who has built so much of his personal legitimacy on his image as the defender of Russian interests, the risk was that he would look weak.
But the fact that the best they could do was, in effect, to pull some old counter-sanctions out of the deep freeze, underlines the sharp disparity between Moscow and Washington's positions.

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