Baring any last minute change, The much anticipated Presidential primary election of the peoples democratic party(PDP) will take place tomorrow in PH. It promises to be a well contested primaries fielding politicians who in their own submissions are heavyweights.

However, i want to give my own analyses and projection on the candidates and how they rank in tomorrow's election and 2019

Sule Lamido: The Former Jigawa state governor is in the running for the ticket of PDP. He is from the North west with president buhari.
PROJECTION: In North east and west he will lose to the president and would share the north central with president buhari. He would perform a little above averagely in south east n south and woefully in south west.

Saraki: The current senate president is a heavyweight on his own, but would not be able to withstand the president in the battle for next year. He is from North central and this will not favor him because he will be viewed as not Northern enough to take their slot.
PROJECTION: Should he get the ticket, he will loose woefully in North west and east, perform above average in North central. He will get more than %70 of south east and south. But he will loose woefully in south west because he would be viewed as not Yoruba enough and also the Tinubu factor in the region.

Atiku: Another top favorite for the ticket. He is perhaps the most experienced among the contestants. The former vice president is seen as a Journey walker in Nigeria political landscape. He is known to have the contacts to win the election, but there are so many issues that will limit his chances which among them is his credibility. There is this stigma of corruption hanging on his head.
PROJECTION: He is from North east therefore should he get the ticket, he will perform averagely in north east. better than any candidate the party will present, Loose north west woefully and marginally win north central just like saraki. In South east, just like Saraki he will win south east with %70. but will Loose south west woefully because of the forces against him there(Tinubu and his former boss Obasanjo)

Tambuwa: The Current Sokoto state governor and immediate past speaker of the house of assembly is the shoe shine favorite of governor wike. The Rivers state governor is well known to presently calls the shot in PDP because he is the highest spender in the party presently and he strongly want Tambuwa to clinch the ticket. Many view Tambuwa as still relatively inexperienced but some see him as a young and vibrant politician.
PROJECTION: Should he pick the ticket, His performance will be similar to Sule Lamido. He will loose the North west and east to president buhari. Narrowly loose the north central. In South, he will loose the west woefully but will perform well in east and south.

Kwokwanso: The two time governor of Kano state is reputed to be one of the northern politicians with structures almost in every part of the country with his kwakwansiya movement. He was able to defeat Atiku Abubaka in APC presidential primaries in 2015 but came second behind President buhari.
PROJECTION: In North, He will perform better than any pdp candidate in North west(%30), loose north east and north central. In south, He will perform a little above average in south east and south because many there will see him as another hausa fulani muslim nay bigot. He will perform woefully in south west. Yorubas may use his actions in the Yoruba hausa crisis in Ife against him.

Other notable Mentions are Markafi, Dakwambo Bafarawa, and David Mark. These ones would have tried, but don't have the political clout to withstand president buhari in an election

In All, Kwokwanso or Atiku would have been the candidate to at least give president buhari a run for his money, Tambuwal may clinh the ticket but, there is certainly no one in PDP that can wrestle power from him in 2019.
Pardon my English

ashacot:
Baring any last minute change, The much anticipated Presidential primary election of the peoples democratic party(PDP) will take place tomorrow in PH. It promises to be a well contested primaries fielding politicians who in their own submissions are heavyweights.

However, i want to give my own analyses and projection on the candidates and how they rank in tomorrow's election and 2019

Sule Lamido: The Former Jigawa state governor is in the running for the ticket of PDP. He is from the North west with president buhari.
PROJECTION: In North east and west he will lose to the president and would share the north central with president buhari. He would perform a little above averagely in south east n south and woefully in south west.

Saraki: The current senate president is a heavyweight on his own, but would not be able to withstand the president in the battle for next year. He is from North central and this will not favor him because he will be viewed as not Northern enough to take their slot.
PROJECTION: Should he get the ticket, he will loose woefully in North west and east, perform above average in North central. He will get more than %70 of south east and south. But he will loose woefully in south west because he would be viewed as not Yoruba enough and also the Tinubu factor in the region.

Atiku: Another top favorite for the ticket. He is perhaps the most experienced among the contestants. The former vice president is seen as a Journey walker in Nigeria political landscape. He is known to have the contacts to win the election, but there are so many issues that will limit his chances which among them is his credibility. There is this stigma of corruption hanging on his head.
PROJECTION: He is from North east therefore should he get the ticket, he will perform averagely in north east. better than any candidate the party will present, Loose north west woefully and marginally win north central just like saraki. In South east, just like Saraki he will win south east with %70. but will Loose south west woefully because of the forces against him there(Tinubu and his former boss Obasanjo)

Tambuwa: The Current Sokoto state governor and immediate past speaker of the house of assembly is the shoe shine favorite of governor wike. The Rivers state governor is well known to presently calls the shot in PDP because he is the highest spender in the party presently and he strongly want Tambuwa to clinch the ticket. Many view Tambuwa as still relatively inexperienced but some see him as a young and vibrant politician.
PROJECTION: Should he pick the ticket, His performance will be similar to Sule Lamido. He will loose the North west and east to president buhari. Narrowly loose the north central. In South, he will loose the west woefully but will perform well in east and south.

Kwokwanso: The two time governor of Kano state is reputed to be one of the northern politicians with structures almost in every part of the country with his kwakwansiya movement. He was able to defeat Atiku Abubaka in APC presidential primaries in 2015 but came second behind President buhari.
PROJECTION: In North, He will perform better than any pdp candidate in North west(%30), loose north east and north central. In south, He will perform a little above average in south east and south because many there will see him as another hausa fulani muslim nay bigot. He will perform woefully in south west. Yorubas may use his actions in the Yoruba hausa crisis in Ife against him.

Other notable Mentions are Markafi, Dakwambo Bafarawa, and David Mark. These ones would have tried, but don't have the political clout to withstand president buhari in an election

In All, Kwokwanso or Atiku would have been the candidate to at least give president buhari a run for his money, Tambuwal may clinh the ticket but, there is certainly no one in PDP that can wrestle power from him in 2019.
Pardon my English

Oga keep your projections to yourself.. We don't need it