Based on 2015 elections, I have done a prediction on how I think this year's presidential elections would come out.

Apparently, this might be the closest election in years. Despite the seemingly unimpressive performance by Buhari, I foresee him still getting a significant number of votes in the North. But if Atiku can compete enough for the Northern votes, I think he has a very big chance of winning.

I still think the election is too close to call. Events in the coming 4weeks in terms of campaigns, propaganda, election manipulation could decide.

Assumptions: Same voter turnout as 2015 elections with new Registered Voters

You destroyed your own work calling Adamawa, Kwara, Borno, Edo and even Nasarawa for Atiku. So much work analytical work based on wrong premise.

Is there something they sprayed in the air that is making people post wishful thinking as fact?.

And you based it on 2015 election results. 2015 elections were rigged by PDP. They lost yes, but they still rigged.

SternProphet:
You destroyed your own work calling Adamawa, Kwara, Borno, Edo and even Nasarawa for Atiku. So much work analytical work based on wrong premise.

Is there something they sprayed in the air that is making people post wishful thinking as fact?.

And you based it on 2015 election results. 2015 elections were rigged by PDP. They lost yes, but they still rigged.

I'm sure you didn't go through this post. I even predicted over 80% for Buhari in Borno. And in case you didnt know, GEJ won nassarawa in 2015. As for Kwara, it was an APC state in 2015. PDP Rigged? Lolz... and still lost right. What makes you think Adamawa won't vote Atiku. Even if I agree with you that Edo is a close call.

The problem here is that Buhari is not going for free and fair elections

SalamRushdie:
The problem here is that Buhari is not going for free and fair elections

This is something we truly cannot be certain about. But I guess the international community would not allow that.

Presido95:


This is something we truly cannot be certain about. But I guess the international community would not allow that.

There is nothing they can do.Could they do anything in the case of Osun? Mind you with the help of python dance machinery , non use of the proposed electoral act and the ever ready IG of police ,the election will not only but rigged but has been rigged .Result is I the cooler now

Presido95:


This is something we truly cannot be certain about. But I guess the international community would not allow that.

They will always be rigging in all polls electronic or not.your predictions are nice but buhari should be ahead not atiku.atiku wont get more than 15 million.only anambra and rivers can give atiku up to a million votes.he wont get more than 500,000 in the remsining eastern states.
If atiku is getting 700k in kano,buhari would get up to 3million.buhari will get more than 500k in yobe and up to a million in borno.buhari will win lagos and osun by more than 100k votes.atiku wont get more than 300,000 in cross river.buhari would get at least 300k in akwa ibom and 500k in rivers.pdp wont get up to a million in delta.

Atiku cant get more than 200k in jigawa while buhari should poll a million.buhari will win edo narrowly and if he's losing it wont be more than 10k margin,same as in ekiti and nasarawa.ebonyi wont give pdp more than 250,000.kebbi and zamfara should give buhari at least 700k.he will win oyo by more than 200k and ogun by more than 100k.

SternProphet:
You destroyed your own work calling Adamawa, Kwara, Borno, Edo and even Nasarawa for Atiku. So much work analytical work based on wrong premise.

Is there something they sprayed in the air that is making people post wishful thinking as fact?.

And you based it on 2015 election results. 2015 elections were rigged by PDP. They lost yes, but they still rigged.

edo state is for Atiku.

Buhari will loose nassarawa

Presido95:


I'm sure you didn't go through this post. I even predicted over 80% for Buhari in Borno. And in case you didnt know, GEJ won nassarawa in 2015. As for Kwara, it was an APC state in 2015. PDP Rigged? Lolz... and still lost right. What makes you think Adamawa won't vote Atiku. Even if I agree with you that Edo is a close call.

edo is not close anything.

We ain't voting buhari, God forbid

Excaperx:
edo is not close anything.

We ain't voting buhari, God forbid

Lol.. well considering its an APC state, and Oshiomole factor. I think its actually gonna be tighter than other south south states

Real voter turn out this year will be lower than 2015 in my own prediction.

otokx:
Real voter turn out this year will be lower than 2015 in my own prediction.

I think people are more aware about elections now

senatordave1:

They will always be rigging in all polls electronic or not.your predictions are nice but buhari should be ahead not atiku.atiku wont get more than 15 million.only anambra and rivers can give atiku up to a million votes.he wont get more than 500,000 in the remsining eastern states.
If atiku is getting 700k in kano,buhari would get up to 3million.buhari will get more than 500k in yobe and up to a million in borno.buhari will win lagos and osun by more than 100k votes.atiku wont get more than 300,000 in cross river.buhari would get at least 300k in akwa ibom and 500k in rivers.pdp wont get up to a million in delta.

Atiku cant get more than 200k in jigawa while buhari should poll a million.buhari will win edo narrowly and if he's losing it wont be more than 10k margin,same as in ekiti and nasarawa.ebonyi wont give pdp more than 250,000.kebbi and zamfara should give buhari at least 700k.he will win oyo by more than 200k and ogun by more than 100k.

hmm.... you really think ebonyi won't vote for PDP. are you even considering the bad image Buhari has in the south?