Hi guys, I will be posting picks starting February. I simply want to prove that I can make money long term by selecting and backing value games.

I will be selecting games purely based on a statistical model without my intervention so to avoid emotional plays. My selection will be based on value, where my system calculates odds to be higher than what offered by bookies.

I have in "theory" set aside 1 million naira as my bank roll, this bank will be subdivide into units of 2.5%. Each unit is about 25k as I will be flat betting one unit per pick throughout this experiment.

Yeah, I will be posting picks in advance, six or more hrs before the games, my target is to make an average of 5 units a month, that should be about 125k a month.

Again, I am not chasing winners rather I chase value as a result I will, for sure, face ups and down due to variance.

Some terms I will be using:

Roi - profit/loss divided by initial investment.

Yield - profit/loss divided by total turn over.

Draw down - Drop from my last highest profit.

Ok, I am excited, let's see what will happen to my 1 mil.


Note: I am not selling anything, don't fall pray to scammers. Some have already started posting their numbers.

0 8 1 3 7 8 338 8 9

Very sound approach, but very difficult to acheive once
the music starts.....wish you success.
I'll be watching from the fence.

I will be watching as well

Following

I have about 10 selections generated but only 6 are available on our local books. Z68TRC6W





Results:

No. of bets: 6
Units won/lost: 0.5 (3.3+3.2 - 6)
Profit/loss: # 12.5k (3.3*25k + 3.2*25k - 6*25k)

5 selections for Sunday, 3rd:
Z68NTB7K

Books available odds: 3.11, 2.82, 2.83, 2.85, 3.4 respectively.




Results:

2/5 bets
Units won/lost: 1.22 (2.82+3.4 - 5)
Profit/loss:# 30.5k (2.82*25k + 3.4*25k - 5*25k)

Betting is a hard activity sha, I managed yesterday to recover my capital and make small profit. I won 2/6, let's see how I fare today.

Nice try mate....check mine out...though #100 to win million gang..

B917SWQTASTQSC-3451355

B932SWQTASAZAE-3451355

I will soon get there...

humble2:
Nice try mate....check mine out...though #100 to win million gang..

B917SWQTASTQSC-3451355

B932SWQTASAZAE-3451355

I will soon get there...

There is a thread already for this kind of bets. Here I do something different. I wish you luck though.

Results:

2/4 bets
Units won/lost: 1.93 (2.78+3.15 - 5)
Profit/loss:# 48k (2.78*25k + 3.15*25k - 4*25k)

Sundays selections. Z67GT7NK


Results:

1/6 bets
Units won/lost: -3 (3 - 6)
Profit/loss: # -75k (3*25k - 6*25k)

I am edging close to my target, at 3.65 units in the bag my only hope is for tomorrows games to be favourable.

Nice idea

Back to 0.65 points.

ositadima1:


Back to 0.65 points.

lol bro join my group ...you won't regret it

TissuePaper:
lol bro join my group ...you won't regret it

You want me to abandon my +EV bets because of variance, are you kidding me. It is normal thing na, ups and downs.

If you are very good then show me your overall stats going back six months. Not just a handful where you won, show me every game you played in the last six months.

ositadima1:


You want me to abandon my +EV bets because of variance, are you kidding me. It is normal thing na, ups and downs.

If you are very good then show me your overall stats going back six months. Not just a handful where you won, show me every game you played in the last six months.

lol okay bro...i'll chat you up when I'm less busy, so that we can talk business