@POLITICSNGR

Eurasia Group, One of the World's largest Political Risk Consultancy firms has predicted that President Muhammadu Buhari will win the 2019 Presidential Elections.

The Group, founded in 1998 by American political scientist Ian Bremmer, said Buhari has a 60 per cent probability to win. This was contained in its recent Political Forecast.

According to the Group; “Opposition candidate Atiku Abubakar has regained some momentum in recent weeks, but President Muhammadu Buhari remains favored to win (a 60% probability),” the group said.

“On election day, the ruling All Progressives Congress’s (APC’s) significantly greater control of local political structures and resources, it governs 23 states compared to the opposition’s 12, will boost voter mobilization and solidify Buhari’s advantage.”

In 2015, Eurasia Group also predicted that Buhari will defeat former president Goodluck Jonathan, changing its stance some weeks to the election after it had initially chosen the former president to win.

PoliticsNGR observed that the group also highlighted reasons why the PDP might lose adding that the DG of Atiku's Campaign, Bukola Saraki was distracted by the battles he is facing in the National Assembly coupled with the weak campaign being run by South-East governors who are not to happy with the emergence of Atiku's running mate, Peter Obi.

The group stated; "Wike was annoyed by Atiku’s failure to consult him on key decisions, Saraki remains distracted by a tough Senate reelection battle in Kwara state, and the southeast governors are hampered by many conflicting motivations, including their own lack of political clout (which makes them reluctant to overtly challenge the federal government) and their wariness of Atiku’s running mate Peter Obi, a former governor of the southeastern Anambra state who they view as a political outsider.

The lack of enthusiasm on the part of some PDP governors is a problem for Atiku because these officials control significant discretionary funds at the state level (known as ‘security votes’) that are easier to access without triggering graft concerns."

https://politicsngr.com/breaking-buhari-will-win-2019-elections-foreign-firm-eurasia-group-reasons/

thunder fire them.....

Buhari 60% ke, my own prediction: APC 80% PDP 20%...Take it to any Bank. #PMB4+4

In una dreams

The question any sane mind should ask is how much did Lai Mohammed pay for this

It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#

we have told them severally but all these e-warriors will not listen.. Buhari will officially retire Atiku from politics in less than 10days from now...SAI BUHARI

Definitely he will win but I don't know why FG should tell ASUU to call off the strike why now

Let some people keep living in a fool's paradise.

Na Eurasia wan vote.nonsense group

Keyboard warriors will destroy and condemn this group now. Watch as they will start condemning the group

The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded to, does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Samuel Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A presumptuous Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso given that the margin of victory in 2015 was 2.4 million.

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practise, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurriedly paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.

Glaringly

With a wide margin


It's not a tough contest but a walk over.

Certainly

People wey sabi... 4+4 is the code

SalamRushdie:
The question any sane mind should ask is how much did Lai Mohammed pay for this

Can't you see or feel it in the air.

It's a walk over for Buhari

SalamRushdie:
The question any sane mind should ask is how much did Lai Mohammed pay for this

Repeat this on 20th of this month pls.

Which stupid group is saying this?

Orrr mkpor

eneojoedu:
thunder fire them.....

Yet you dey castigate El Rufai

kennosklint:
Na Eurasia wan vote.nonsense group

I bliv if it's PDP get this type of prophecy u will be jubilating by now .

.

FAKENEWS


This is a link to the January 7 report

There was no prediction as stated. Read for yourself


https://www.eurasiagroup.net/live-post/risk-10-nigeria

You guys don't seem to rate people sha. Just be boboing with audacity

.

Fairly misleading report by our local media

https://www.eurasiagroup.net/live-post/risk-10-nigeria

Irony.
Having seen all the blunders committed by Buhari, anybody supporting him does not have the interest of this country at heart. let us chase the rat out of the church

AllenSpencer:



Can't you see or feel it in the air.

It's a walk over for Buhari

only rigging

Trust APC they always arrange a counter report anyhow. They know some are so gullible that they still can't see their mods operandi. just because of a reputable Economist prediction this week. They've quickly arranged a counter. It's very easy to predict APC. Lies

Who doesn't know?

dguyindcorner:


Yet you dey castigate El Rufai

imagine hypocrite everywhere

He can only win by rigging

4+4=8 sam sam

Na we de on ground oo Buhari will loss na only rig by INEC is his last hope