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"Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says - Politics (3) - Nairaland

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Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by dukeprince50: 10:20pm On Feb 08, 2019
vicdom:
angry
It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#
I want to quote you for reference purpose

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Naajjii: 10:21pm On Feb 08, 2019
vicdom:
angry
It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#
And it will be easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee to be invited for lunch with the queen than for any IPOB or IPOB related people to rule and be president of Nigeria. Haters , Slaves. Why is it that candidates from your zone are not attractive to you people and to other Nigerians?

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by BuhariAdvocate: 10:21pm On Feb 08, 2019
grin it pain you.
eneojoedu:
thunder fire them.....

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Roman7(m): 10:21pm On Feb 08, 2019
aminulive:
@POLITICSNGR

Eurasia Group, One of the World's largest Political Risk Consultancy firms has predicted that President Muhammadu Buhari will win the 2019 Presidential Elections.

The Group, founded in 1998 by American political scientist Ian Bremmer, said Buhari has a 60 per cent probability to win. This was contained in its recent Political Forecast.

According to the Group; “Opposition candidate Atiku Abubakar has regained some momentum in recent weeks, but President Muhammadu Buhari remains favored to win (a 60% probability),” the group said.

“On election day, the ruling All Progressives Congress’s (APC’s) significantly greater control of local political structures and resources, it governs 23 states compared to the opposition’s 12, will boost voter mobilization and solidify Buhari’s advantage.”

In 2015, Eurasia Group also predicted that Buhari will defeat former president Goodluck Jonathan, changing its stance some weeks to the election after it had initially chosen the former president to win.

PoliticsNGR observed that the group also highlighted reasons why the PDP might lose adding that the DG of Atiku's Campaign, Bukola Saraki was distracted by the battles he is facing in the National Assembly coupled with the weak campaign being run by South-East governors who are not to happy with the emergence of Atiku's running mate, Peter Obi.

The group stated; "Wike was annoyed by Atiku’s failure to consult him on key decisions, Saraki remains distracted by a tough Senate reelection battle in Kwara state, and the southeast governors are hampered by many conflicting motivations, including their own lack of political clout (which makes them reluctant to overtly challenge the federal government) and their wariness of Atiku’s running mate Peter Obi, a former governor of the southeastern Anambra state who they view as a political outsider.

The lack of enthusiasm on the part of some PDP governors is a problem for Atiku because these officials control significant discretionary funds at the state level (known as ‘security votes’) that are easier to access without triggering graft concerns."

https://politicsngr.com/breaking-buhari-will-win-2019-elections-foreign-firm-eurasia-group-reasons/








Eurasia-----------------una ticket don already cut as una don give BUHARI straight win.....Atiku na Offset Make una no fear
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Moneyboyz: 10:21pm On Feb 08, 2019
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by BuhariAdvocate: 10:22pm On Feb 08, 2019
cheesy this election will shuck your life.
vicdom:
angry
It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#

3 Likes

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Mitchewww(m): 10:23pm On Feb 08, 2019
AyakaDunukofia:
The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Samuel Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso given that the margin of victory in 2015 was 2.4 million.

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practice, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurried paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.

Aren't you one smart Nigerian.

Well said.
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by JegaQuin: 10:24pm On Feb 08, 2019
eneojoedu:
thunder fire them.....

Lightning scatter ya head!
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Jarus(m): 10:25pm On Feb 08, 2019
AyakaDunukofia:
The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso?

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practice, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurried paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.

Their analysis is sound.

1, You factored out Benue and Imo counted as APC controlled states because the governor have little or no say in the choice of electorate in those states. Fair enough. But apply same to Sokoto and Gombe which were counted for PDP but which are obviously states electorate will vote for Buhari. You can see it cancels out. Kwara, my state, is also counted for PDP. It's 50/50 in Kwara and APC has a slight edge in the presidential.

2, You can't rule out the governor factor. It wont win a state for APC, but lack of commitment to Atiku cause by SE governors is something PDP should worry about.

3, Kwankwaso factor in Kano is not significant at presidential level. It works for local politics (e.g against the governor), but not with Buhari on ballot. Buhari will still clean Kano.

Eurasia analysis is informed.

11 Likes 3 Shares

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by geo4c: 10:27pm On Feb 08, 2019
I trust APC to bring up something for deir bmc to nasturbate on
After el rufai have messed u

1 Like 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Techkidz(m): 10:27pm On Feb 08, 2019
aminulive:
@POLITICSNGR

Eurasia Group, One of the World's largest Political Risk Consultancy firms has predicted that President Muhammadu Buhari will win the 2019 Presidential Elections.

The Group, founded in 1998 by American political scientist Ian Bremmer, said Buhari has a 60 per cent probability to win. This was contained in its recent Political Forecast.

According to the Group; “Opposition candidate Atiku Abubakar has regained some momentum in recent weeks, but President Muhammadu Buhari remains favored to win (a 60% probability),” the group said.

“On election day, the ruling All Progressives Congress’s (APC’s) significantly greater control of local political structures and resources, it governs 23 states compared to the opposition’s 12, will boost voter mobilization and solidify Buhari’s advantage.”

In 2015, Eurasia Group also predicted that Buhari will defeat former president Goodluck Jonathan, changing its stance some weeks to the election after it had initially chosen the former president to win.

PoliticsNGR observed that the group also highlighted reasons why the PDP might lose adding that the DG of Atiku's Campaign, Bukola Saraki was distracted by the battles he is facing in the National Assembly coupled with the weak campaign being run by South-East governors who are not to happy with the emergence of Atiku's running mate, Peter Obi.

The group stated; "Wike was annoyed by Atiku’s failure to consult him on key decisions, Saraki remains distracted by a tough Senate reelection battle in Kwara state, and the southeast governors are hampered by many conflicting motivations, including their own lack of political clout (which makes them reluctant to overtly challenge the federal government) and their wariness of Atiku’s running mate Peter Obi, a former governor of the southeastern Anambra state who they view as a political outsider.

The lack of enthusiasm on the part of some PDP governors is a problem for Atiku because these officials control significant discretionary funds at the state level (known as ‘security votes’) that are easier to access without triggering graft concerns."

https://politicsngr.com/breaking-buhari-will-win-2019-elections-foreign-firm-eurasia-group-reasons/

President Buhari is a live president, keep moving my president.

2 Likes

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Dollabiz: 10:28pm On Feb 08, 2019
then.we face hard.times again

1 Like

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Emma1Oj(m): 10:28pm On Feb 08, 2019
Of course every one in Nigeria kns that.
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by supereagle(m): 10:28pm On Feb 08, 2019
Even Atiku's Monarch is for Buhari. God is also against looters, but the region who love the gain of oppression are Atikulooting .

Adamawa monarch woos people for Buhari - Vanguard News Nigeria https://www.vanguardngr.com/2019/02/breaking-atiuks-monarch-woos-people-for-buhari/

3 Likes

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Nobody: 10:29pm On Feb 08, 2019
360degreess:
we have told them severally but all these e-warriors will not listen.. Buhari will officially retire Atiku from politics in less than 10days from now...SAI BUHARI
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by engrlarex(m): 10:30pm On Feb 08, 2019
Bros u don’t comment when you are drunk. U just left beer parlour and instead you to cool off the hangover, u started typing rubbish.

Let me give u the right analysis, Buhari has never lost Kano state with or without Kwankwaso and again he has never got less than 1.5M votes through out his serial aspirations to become the number one citizen of this country. Buhari will win Atiku in Adamawa, NE/NW remains APC stronghold, NC will be battle ground with 60% chances for APC, SE/SS is a walkover for Atiku with significant votes for APC and that is what they need. SW will do the judgement it strikes whatever the two regions are bringing which is already in cooler for APC. Buhari will be returned elected on that basis.

AyakaDunukofia:
The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Samuel Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso given that the margin of victory in 2015 was 2.4 million.

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practice, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurried paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.

4 Likes

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Viking007(m): 10:31pm On Feb 08, 2019
Even though I support the PDP, we all know this article is the bitter truth. Especially the part about governors from the South East. PDP is just divided. There's no real passion or determination. By this time during the last election, APC had massive campaigns, both online and offline. Atiku can only try so much but a tree doesn't make a forest.

7 Likes

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by MANNABBQGRILLS: 10:34pm On Feb 08, 2019
CONFIRM.....

2 Likes 3 Shares

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by AyakaDunukofia: 10:35pm On Feb 08, 2019
engrlarex:
Bros u don’t comment when you are drunk. U just left beer parlour and instead you to cool off the hangover, u started typing rubbish.

Let me give u the right analysis, Buhari has never lost Kano state with or without Kwankwaso and again he has never got less than 1.5M votes through out his serial aspirations to become the number one citizen of this country. Buhari will win Atiku in Adamawa, NE/NW remains APC stronghold, NC will be battle ground with 60% chances for APC, SE/SS is a walkover for Atiku with significant votes for APC and that is what they need. SW will do the judgement it strikes whatever the two regions are bringing which is already in cooler for APC. Buhari will be returned elected on that basis.


As a matter of policy, I don't join issues with light-weights.
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by OROZ(m): 10:35pm On Feb 08, 2019
Sure, saw this on arise TV today based one 2015 results statistics

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by sammirano: 10:36pm On Feb 08, 2019
Who wan win before?

1 Like 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by SyrusdeHansome(m): 10:37pm On Feb 08, 2019
These ones are afraid of the body bag threat by the maggot of Kaduna. All I can say is that heaven, earth, sea, river, ocean, air have all rejected the illiterate Daura man so there's no need to keep deceiving him to make him happy.
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by jesusislor(m): 10:39pm On Feb 08, 2019
Nogodye:
Buhari 60% ke, my own prediction: APC 80% PDP 20%...Take it to any Bank. #PMB4+4

Let's vote Buhari out. This govt cannot do anything better in the next 4 years. It is only backward mind that will support APC now
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by jamejanev: 10:39pm On Feb 08, 2019
AyakaDunukofia:
The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Samuel Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso given that the margin of victory in 2015 was 2.4 million.

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practice, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurried paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.
I pity u. U don't know what ure saying. Pdp is still weak to bring down APC.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by berrystunn(m): 10:40pm On Feb 08, 2019
AyakaDunukofia:
The group's reasons for a possible Buhari trumph is very transient and lacked a good understanding of Nigeria's demographic sentiments and geo-politics.

Firstly, they were shamefully wrong on South East. The governors there do not have the charisma to redirect the electorate on the already anti Buhari sentiments.

Secondly, the 'greater control of 23 states' by the Apc they alluded does not have a corresponding sentiment on the ground. Example, Benue is amongst the 23. Is Samuel Ortom going to force Benueans to vote Apc, even though he is now in pdp. Imo state is among the 23, will Buhari win Imo as well? A Buhari victory in Kano for instance would be with what margin?

How will Buhari compensate the Kwankwaso factor that was not there in 2015? Where will he get the votes to make up the deficit from Kwankwaso given that the margin of victory in 2015 was 2.4 million.

Thirdly, this group got it also wrong on Wike. Wike has been in practice, a visible mobilizer for Atiku.
Saraki is doing well in Kwara shoring his base.

Fourthly, the analysis is obviously a hurried paid, cooked up one because there is no indication the pdp lacked funds in view of the boisterous campaign they've been having in the past two weeks. Therefore, this analysis is at best a political joke.

Lagos State have 11 million registered voters
The Large turn out is against the government

AAC youth take it back group, and churches.
Eg winners church, and others
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Nobody: 10:41pm On Feb 08, 2019
Sure...
Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Realfixed6: 10:41pm On Feb 08, 2019
See prove bellow!!

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by dheilaw1(m): 10:42pm On Feb 08, 2019
vicdom:
angry
It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#
in short?

1 Like

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by cosse(m): 10:46pm On Feb 08, 2019
vicdom:
angry
It would have been easier for a pregnant Somalian chimpanzee or a four-eyed Zambian frog to be invited to Buckingham Palace for lunch with the Queen than for this so-called lifeless gworochewing bastard of a SIMPLETON to win the forthcoming presidential race.

#spits#
used line.......ffk trademark....try beta nxt tym

1 Like

Re: "Buhari Will Win 2019 Elections" - Eurasia Group, Foreign Firm Says by Yemi7up: 10:46pm On Feb 08, 2019
SweetJoystick:
In una dreams
This is reality not a dream. 4+4

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