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Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline - Politics (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline (25716 Views)

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Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Omooba77: 3:58pm On Feb 10, 2019
0koyibos:
When PMB wins and Atiku loses, I'll love to hear the next song Igbos would sing

Unless there is 'massive' rigging

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by 0koyibos: 4:00pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:

Unless there is 'massive' rigging

Atiku has never beaten Buhari in Adamawa.

With or without rigging, Atiku is finished.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Omooba77: 4:04pm On Feb 10, 2019
0koyibos:

Atiku has never beaten Buhari in Adamawa.
With or without rigging, Atiku is finished.
Ok sir, 6 days to go!

5 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Omooba77: 5:21pm On Feb 10, 2019
Kano shut down totally today give me 75% assurance Atiku is the next President of Nigeriak

9 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Omooba77: 5:57pm On Feb 10, 2019
helinues:

And who controls the affairs of women? grin grin
Men means both male and female in the Bible context

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Amarabae(f): 6:27pm On Feb 10, 2019
Atiku will win.
Atiku must win
Goodbye Buhari

13 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Kenturkey048(m): 6:28pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:


Without rigging PMB is gone,even people's opinion on the street
i swear to God,,I no know wetin dey give buhari supporters hope.

3 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Racoon(m): 6:28pm On Feb 10, 2019
Nigerians have no option than to Obidiently Atikulate.

7 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Rubbiish(m): 6:28pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:
God will help Nigeria, even on Nairaland PMB is loosing!
Lol
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Nobody: 6:29pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:
Intelligence Analysts and political risk researchers agreed the opposition party would defeat the incumbent.

Nigeria election scheduled for February 16, 2019, will be a straight fight between the ruling All Progressive Party (APC) and the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). Mr. Atiku Abubakar of PDP may likely emerge as the winner of 2019 presidential poll.

Nigerians do not trust APC again because of broken promises, and President Buhari is not as popular as he was in 2015.

President Buhari seems not to have the backing of the International Community, which he had in 2015.

Insider Threat – we confirm that a significant number of people are supporting APC, and not Buhari. Most of them are government appointees, including some ministers. While PDP has remained united, stronger and has gained momentum since her presidential primaries, the outcome of APC primaries that pitched some governors against their party candidates may likely affect its fortune in those States like Rivers, Ogun, Imo and Zamfara States.

The incumbent President Buhari faces stiff opposition in the northern part of Nigeria, which has remained his stronghold for several years. His primary challenger (Atiku) comes from the same zone with him. Buhari lost out in a similar contest against his fellow Hausa/Muslim candidate (Umoru Yar’dua) in 2007.

Also, the Middle Belt of Nigeria has been a battleground and deciding factor since 1979. Whoever emerges President must show strength in Kwara State, Kogi State, Benue State, Taraba State, Plateau State, Nasarawa State, Niger State, Adamawa State, the Federal Capital Territory (Abuja), as well as the southern parts of Kaduna State, Kebbi State, Bauchi State, and Gombe.

Analysis

Nigeria had 19 States in 1979. Chief Obafemi Awolowo cleared the entire South West, Azikiwe maintained his South East as a clear leader. Aminu Kano Party won in the core North (known as NW of today). President Shagari emerged as the winner courtesy of the vote from the Middle Belt states and today’s SS (Rivers and Cross Rivers).

In 1999, Former President Obasanjo lost in the SW, divided NW and emerged strongly in the Middle Belt States, SS and SE to become President.

In 2011, President Goodluck Jonathan lost in NW and NE but won in NC, SW, SS, and SE.

In 2015, the main reason Buhari defeated former President Jonathan was because GEJ lost in Benue, Plateau, Kogi, Kwara, Niger, and another part of the Middle Belt States.

As at today, monetary inducement will fail and has proved to be less effective when a candidate is not favorite in Nigeria. It will take sophisticated manipulation or forceful declaration by INEC for President Buhari to win those critical Middle Belt States.

Most importantly, some core Northern elders are suspicious SW support for President Buhari, known his state of health. They would not want the repeat of Yar’adua/GEJ scenario that will make the North relinquish power to SW. They are passing this message silently to their people.

Overall, we project Alhaji Abubakar Atiku as the winner of the February 2019 election with 55%.

http://casaonline.org/2019/02/09/opposition-candidate-favored-to-win-nigeria-presidential-election-on-february-16-2019/

What kind of kindergarten analysis is this one?

This smells like Dele Momodus work.

Childish write up

2 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Nobody: 6:32pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:
Kano shut down totally today give me 75% asdurance Atiku is the next President of Nigeriak

Inec does not count crowd it counts the ballots cast by those with PVC.

Kano is not Nigeria. Besides kwankwasiyya are against ganduje and not buhari.

Try and visit their Facebook page and see how divided they are.

Buhari will win and also win kano

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by seunogunmolu1: 6:37pm On Feb 10, 2019
R
awelekiti:
That's not news anymore. Atiku would win. I can bet it with any amount
I beg you with God come and bet. If you are in Lagos please contact me on 09050139825. Please am begging

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by seunogunmolu1: 6:38pm On Feb 10, 2019
Kenturkey048:
i swear to God,,I no know wetin dey give buhari supporters hope.
I beg you with God come and bet Buhari will win

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Kenturkey048(m): 6:38pm On Feb 10, 2019
Tetehjewels:


Inec does not count crowd it counts the ballots cast by those with PVC.

Kano is not Nigeria. Besides kwankwasiyya are against ganduje and not buhari.

Try and visit their Facebook page and see how divided they are.

Buhari will win and also win kano
all I know is that your Mr integrity will have divided votes in kano...it won't be a sort of 90-10 like gudluck Jonathan,,even if he wins,it will be a tight win...same is applicable in Kaduna...
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by seunogunmolu1: 6:41pm On Feb 10, 2019
You people think election is done online. Many people will be shocked when Buhari is declared the winning.

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Kenturkey048(m): 6:42pm On Feb 10, 2019
seunogunmolu1:

I beg you with God come and bet Buhari will win
baba u no dey observe reality...atiku buhari election na very tight one from all angles..the fact remains atiku go win,.if buhari win,na rigging and he cause serious gbege....
even Lagos state,,buhari go likely loose am..

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by meccuno: 6:42pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:
Intelligence Analysts and political risk researchers agreed the opposition party would defeat the incumbent.

Nigeria election scheduled for February 16, 2019, will be a straight fight between the ruling All Progressive Party (APC) and the main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). Mr. Atiku Abubakar of PDP may likely emerge as the winner of 2019 presidential poll.

Nigerians do not trust APC again because of broken promises, and President Buhari is not as popular as he was in 2015.

President Buhari seems not to have the backing of the International Community, which he had in 2015.

Insider Threat – we confirm that a significant number of people are supporting APC, and not Buhari. Most of them are government appointees, including some ministers. While PDP has remained united, stronger and has gained momentum since her presidential primaries, the outcome of APC primaries that pitched some governors against their party candidates may likely affect its fortune in those States like Rivers, Ogun, Imo and Zamfara States.

The incumbent President Buhari faces stiff opposition in the northern part of Nigeria, which has remained his stronghold for several years. His primary challenger (Atiku) comes from the same zone with him. Buhari lost out in a similar contest against his fellow Hausa/Muslim candidate (Umoru Yar’dua) in 2007.

Also, the Middle Belt of Nigeria has been a battleground and deciding factor since 1979. Whoever emerges President must show strength in Kwara State, Kogi State, Benue State, Taraba State, Plateau State, Nasarawa State, Niger State, Adamawa State, the Federal Capital Territory (Abuja), as well as the southern parts of Kaduna State, Kebbi State, Bauchi State, and Gombe.

Analysis

Nigeria had 19 States in 1979. Chief Obafemi Awolowo cleared the entire South West, Azikiwe maintained his South East as a clear leader. Aminu Kano Party won in the core North (known as NW of today). President Shagari emerged as the winner courtesy of the vote from the Middle Belt states and today’s SS (Rivers and Cross Rivers).

In 1999, Former President Obasanjo lost in the SW, divided NW and emerged strongly in the Middle Belt States, SS and SE to become President.

In 2011, President Goodluck Jonathan lost in NW and NE but won in NC, SW, SS, and SE.

In 2015, the main reason Buhari defeated former President Jonathan was because GEJ lost in Benue, Plateau, Kogi, Kwara, Niger, and another part of the Middle Belt States.

As at today, monetary inducement will fail and has proved to be less effective when a candidate is not favorite in Nigeria. It will take sophisticated manipulation or forceful declaration by INEC for President Buhari to win those critical Middle Belt States.

Most importantly, some core Northern elders are suspicious SW support for President Buhari, known his state of health. They would not want the repeat of Yar’adua/GEJ scenario that will make the North relinquish power to SW. They are passing this message silently to their people.

Overall, we project Alhaji Abubakar Atiku as the winner of the February 2019 election with 55%.

http://casaonline.org/2019/02/09/opposition-candidate-favored-to-win-nigeria-presidential-election-on-february-16-2019/
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin they think those dudes are stvpid.

2 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by vacanci: 6:45pm On Feb 10, 2019
Ibegtodiffer:
You did not include the 101% votes he got in Kano State which at the moment, is impossible.

In 2011, Jonathan got 1.8M votes from Rivers and considering that the voting population of Rivers is half of Kano, no body made noise because it was cool for PDP to just write result for INEC
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by seunogunmolu1: 6:46pm On Feb 10, 2019
My own take is the election will be won state by state, all PDP states will be won by Atiku and All APC states including FCT will be won by Buhari. No governor is willing to lose power to opposition this time around, it won’t be like the 2015 general elections. APC will never make the mistakes Jonathan made in 2015. I won’t everyone reading this to mark my word. Though, it may be tough, a lot of rigging is going to happen but APC will win their states and PDP will win their states

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by lakesider(m): 6:46pm On Feb 10, 2019
Hilary Clinton will beat trump.....
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Asshurbanipali: 6:48pm On Feb 10, 2019
Ngeneukwenu how far? cheesy

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by kings09(m): 6:49pm On Feb 10, 2019
helinues:
Opposition in Uganda I guess?

Feb 16 Nigeria presidential election is already done and dusted. We are only waiting for the formality on Saturday.

Just 6 days to separate boys from men
Why didn't u see d write up as unbiased? grin

If i call u hypocrite now, e go be say i just de yab u.

U c ur life? Hypocrite
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by VicHots(f): 6:50pm On Feb 10, 2019
Oshigun:
Continue deceiving yourselves. PMB will win comfortably. You guys better accept it is PMB till 2023 and get on with your lives.
Are you minding them? Their loots would land them in prison by June 2019

1 Like

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by IbrahimDamola: 6:58pm On Feb 10, 2019
Even zombies know dumbohari has lost already. Nothing go save am. grin

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Timatayo1: 7:01pm On Feb 10, 2019
We all know but they wouldn't agree
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by eneyoduke(m): 7:02pm On Feb 10, 2019
It's true
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Asshurbanipali: 7:03pm On Feb 10, 2019
As at today, monetary inducement will fail and has proved to be less effective when a candidate is not favorite in Nigeria. It will take sophisticated manipulation or forceful declaration by INEC for President Buhari to win those critical Middle Belt States''



Did anyone see this? If Buhari ever tries to rig the election, then Gbagbo's case will be better than his cheesy

2 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Larryndelaw: 7:04pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:


Without rigging PMB is gone,even people's opinion on the street
Opinion doesn't win vote. Researchers polls doesn't win poll. If you disagree ask Britain ans America

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Glorymax: 7:06pm On Feb 10, 2019
After reading this analysis, and comparing it with this trash from "Nation Newspaper" - Buhari VS Atiku: How States Will Vote - The Nation. You will know who is biased in both write up

Another striking comments below

Omooba77:

Most importantly, some core Northern elders are suspicious SW support for President Buhari, known his state of health. They would not want the repeat of Yar’adua/GEJ scenario that will make the North relinquish power to SW. They are passing this message silently to their people./

3 Likes

Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by somalianprince: 7:06pm On Feb 10, 2019
Ngeneukwenu, modath, madridguy, sarki etc are all missing on this thread. WHY? cheesy
Re: Opposition Favored To Win Nigeria Presidential Election Feb 16, 2019- Casaonline by Basher8583: 7:06pm On Feb 10, 2019
Omooba77:


That is true, I was around Surulere today, people were just collecting 5k plus face cap, many didnot bothered to enter Teslim Balogun.
Ebi npa awon enyan!

Haba. Why the lies now. If they were giving that kinda money then why didnt I get. You were not there. Lets be honest there was passion in the air. No need for bribe. Water was however distributed freely.
Typical of these desparate PDP always looking for every avenue to lie

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