The two leading candidates are President
Muhammadu Buhari of the ruling All Progressives
Congress (APC) and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the
opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
A collection of eight predictions by international
analysts, published by Bloomberg, shows that the
2019 presidential election will be keenly contested
by the two leading candidates as the election has
“split analysts down the middle”.
Out of the eight forecasts by eight analysts, four
predicted President Buhari will win a second term
while the remaining four also predicted a victory
for Atiku.
Four predictions in favour of President Buhari
1. Control Risks
Bloomberg reports that Control Risks, a London-
based company, predicted that President Buhari will
win by a small margin due to the divisions within
the PDP, Atiku’s party, and its lacklustre
campaigning.
2. Eurasia Group
According to Eurasia Group’s forecast, President
Buhari has a 60% chance of winning. The New York
risk firm said it predicted victory for Buhari because
his cause has been helped by some key PDP
politicians, including Senate president Bukola Saraki
and governors in the southeast, who didn’t allegedly
give active support to Atiku’s campaign.
3. NKC African Economics
Jared Jeffery, an analyst at NKC African Economics,
a research house based in Paarl, South Africa, said
though President Buhari’s approval ratings have
plunged since he became president four years ago,
incumbent presidents in Africa win around 85% of
the elections they contest.
He added that Buhari is from the northwest, which
is the region with the most voters, and he’s
maintained an “image of incorruptibility.”
4. Capital Economics
John Ashbourne, an economist at the London-based
research group, said: “The advantages of
incumbency will help President Buhari clinch a
narrow win”.
Four predictions in favour of Atiku Abubakar.

https://www.brubee.com.ng/2019/02/8-international-analyst-predict-winner.html