Eligible voters’ turnout in the 2019 election
A comparative analysis between 2015 and 2019 election

North West
2015 – 52.5%
2019 – 44.5%
2019 e-collated result – 51.7%

North East
2015 – 45.6%
2019 – 42.1%
2019 e-collated result – 49.5%

North Central
2015 – 50.1%
2019 – 38.7%
2019 e-collated result – 46.1%

South East
2015 – 39%
2019 – 24.4%
2019 e-collated result – 55.1%

South West
2015 – 45.7%
2019 – 29.1%
2019 e-collated result – 49.2%

South South
2015 – 61%
2019 – 29.2%
2019 e-collated result – 43%

Northern Nigeria – 19 states plus F.C.T
2015 – 50.6%
2019 – 42.7%
2019 e-collated result – 49.5%

Southern Nigeria – 17 states
2015 – 49.6%
2019 – 28.2%
2019 e-collated result – 48.6%

National Average – 36 states + F.C.T
2015 – 50.5%
2019 – 37.5%
2019 e-collated result – 50.01%

Observation - South
The election was heavily manipulated in the Southern part of Nigeria. It is statistically not possible for all the regions in the south to record a poor turnout of eligible voters by less that 29.5%.

Even the North East that is battling with insurgencies and humanitarian crisis has a turnout that is above 40%. Anyway, this is what happened; Atiku’s votes were reduced by 3.79 million votes while Buhari’s votes were also reduced by 2.59 million votes in Southern Nigeria. This is why the turnout ratio in the south seems to be so low. The results were manipulated.


Observation – North
The North is also not left out in the manipulation of votes. Atiku’s votes were reduced by 3.3 million votes while Buhari’s votes were hiked by 991,000 votes in the North.

Observation – National
Note that the manually collated result shows a turnout of 37.5% while the e-collated result shows a turnout of 50.01%.

This disparity is due to the wrongful removal of 8.68 million votes from the scores of both the petitioner (Atiku) & the respondent (Buhari).

Conclusion

I hope you now understand why INEC is hiding both the e-collated result and the election materials from Atiku and the public because the numbers can never add up.

Sources of Data

Premium Times Services Limited / Atiku’s petition

The Cable Newspaper Limited

Nigerian Monitor, INEC Releases Statistics of PVC Collected in All 36 States for 2015

Wikipedia, 2015 Nigerian general election

Media Trust Limited, Here are the states with highest PVC Collection + Full List, Feb 21, 2019.

Sahara reporters, Number of IDPs in Nigeria up by 4.5% In January 2018

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