September 19 is a date with destiny for Edo people, as two giants will be slogging it out for the right to the seat of power for the next four years in Edo state. If you read about the trending news in Edo, especially via online media, you just might get the wrong impression of the true picture on ground. It is very important to note that both parties , ie, the PDP and APC obviously have sponsored media campaigners who flood the news media with over garnished propaganda.

For the sake of Every Nigerian who is keenly interested in the outcome of Edo election, I intend to report on the true situation on ground in Edo State, and am going to highlight a few facts that both side might not agree with me on. Firstly, Oshiomohle worked on urban renewal and visibly, he executed more projects especially on major roads than Obaseki comparatively, in four years. Obaseki on the other hand, has concentrated not on the major arteries but on smaller streets and roads no one thought the government would remember any time soon, thereby toughing many people in their localities.








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Oshiomohle executed his projects with a flare of militancy which one must admit was needed at that particular time, but under Obaseki, Edo state is experiencing a departure from that style of leadership to a totally none combative form of administration and this has made Obaseki the darling of the heart of many in Edo. The political ideology of Oshiomohle is to fight the devil with the devil, fire for fire if you wish, but Obaseki is more of a refined gentleman. He likes to be less confrontational, a behind the scenes governor and in most cases, very noiseless. Let no one deceive you, he has won the heart of his people who simply loves his kind of spirit. Very important to note, if Obaseki had come into office when Oshiomohle did, it is my humble opinion that he would have failed. Edo needed a bulldozer in the form and character of Oshiomohle then to fight the same PDP Obaseki has run to now. The same PDP many Edolites swore never to bring back to power again, obviously due to a bad PDP governor the people will not be in a hurry to forget.

But times are changing fast, and every other person you talk to is bitter that APC treated their governor very badly. ' He doesn't deserve it ' many will tell you. He rolled out many people oriented programs, he stopped touts from operating, retired land speculators, he refused to empower area boys and cultists as so called vigilantes. These same people who now feel agrieved have pitched their tents with the APC candidate. Edo became synanimous with the fight against godfatherism and they seem happy to be identified with that. Ironically, the man who spearhead the fight against godfatherism is now being accused of playing god. To be honest, I think Oshiomohle is fighting another man's war so to say. The issues on ground has to do with the reluctance of Obaseki to grease the joints of party members. The man is a financial expert and as expected, he has chosen to invest in projects he knows will make returns. But was he right to deny those who brought him to power some form of ' palliatives ' ? Couldn't he have managed issues better ?

Here we are at the moment of truth. How do people feel today in Edo state, and how are they likely to vote ? Obaseki in hugely popular in Edo south, a region that has the state capital and about fifty eight percent of the electorate. Almost everyone you talk to in this zone is sympathetic to Obaseki but Ize Iyamu is a strong politician with grassroot connect. His plan will be to take a significant share of the votes in Edo south , and hope for a large turnout in Edo north, where he hopes to perform strongly. Edo central is net in political strength and they have Traditionally voted PDP. moreover, the region. feels shortchanged and they would rather vote for Obaseki to have a second term that have another from Edo south who will likely seek for eight years of power. For them, this is a matter of regional politics and an opportunity to punish Oshiomohle who was perceived to hostile to the Esan people of the region when he was governor.

Oshiomohle and the present deputy governor, Philip shaibu are from the north of Edo state and honestly, if elections are free and fair, there's no way Oshiomohle will be defeated on his tuff. He performed excellently in in north as governor and honestly, he did equality great in Edo south also However, the region posses just about twenty percent of the vote of Edo people and the deputy governor is in no way a push over at home.

conclusion

If the September 19th election is free and fair in Edo as hoped, Obaseki would clinch victory for sure. APC is hoping to use the federal might to influence the outcome of the elections, using the Kogi model , but it remains to be seen if Buhari will buy into that. The fight between Oshiomohle and Obaseki was absolutely unnecessary, and if Obaseki was flying the APC ticket, it would have been a win -win situation for Obaseki, APC and Oshiomohle. But our politicians never learn. They will rather convince themselves and attempt to convince others that blue can be black. Behind all the negetive propaganda and character assassination of Obaseki, the man remains hugely popular at home, and Stopping Obaseki is like trying to stop the sun from rising tomorrow morning.

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Hmmm! Nice piece. My concern for the APC is about Edo Central, the PDP strongholds. I remember passing that place when Oshiomohle was in power and the glaring disgruntled feelings of the people in that constituency. Oshiomohle visibly tarred the roads up to the boundary of Tony Anenih's Town and stopped. The remaining portion was so bad...in same state. Pilitics is about party loyalty but at times, you want to counterbalance the divide for the sake of future which is now. Good luck to all the candidates.

Which governor will bring job?

Which governor will make food available?

That's our governor.

Obaseki will be hugely defeated.

contigiency:
Obaseki will be hugely defeated.

you say this because you are not here. Oshiomhole has made obaseki popular and seemingly has won the election for him.

Viktom:



you say this because you are not here. Oshiomhole has made obaseki popular and seemingly has won the election for him.

No problem. We have heard things like this in the past. So let's wait till September. Just mark this day and this post. You will see it kolokolo.

This PDP paper is trying abet in subtle way to convince itself n it foolish readers why Obaseki should win instead of getting to the street to solicit for vote. Na so dem do so tey dem push Ebele Atiku inside well with junk write up. Edo election should come n winner declared b4 anything. All this foolish PDP supporter don lose so tey I don tey, yet they will be making mouth about another future election they will still lose.

APC is spending huge amount of money to deceive nairalanders. Their online warriors are out there making comments on all post but those of us on the streets knows that Obaseki will win this election. Oshiomhole can win Edo north for Ize-Iyamu but Edo South and Central are under the firm grip of Obaseki.

obaseki win which Edo south??.

Do you know who controlled boys in Benin? Bob izua, kabaka,shaba and co are all loyal to ize iyamu.

who does obaseki have to challenge former deputy governor (odubu),okumbo , ize iyamu and co.

Well this is nairaland Sha,una predicted atiku will win Kastina and kano someone that couldn't win his own polling unit

Before noon, another writer would still bring his opinions on how Ize-Iyamu will easily win the election.

It's not unexpected.

TheGodlessGod:
obaseki win which Edo south??.

Do you know who controlled boys in Benin? Bob izua, kabaka,shaba and co are all loyal to ize iyamu.

who does obaseki have to challenge former deputy governor (odubu),okumbo , ize iyamu and co.

Well this is nairaland Sha,una predicted atiku will win Kastina and kano someone that couldn't win his own polling unit

APC ass licking boy. Just keep quiet and read the analysis.

You are not even in Edo state.

haha, dont be surprised this guy wasn't paid to write this article, then I wonder why an average citizen that doesn't benefit nothing from govt still support them, I see the op trying to hard paint the governor and give his failures a new name, "he"s been working on arteries and inner streets" wahala, which inner streets obaseki work on in Benin? what happened to all the dilapidated major roads in Benin? stop deceiving yourself baba, obaseki is one hell of a failed governor that doesn't need re enforcement, despite being one of the highest borrowing governor, 8th highest federal allocation you are talking of working on inner streets, see flood everywhere in Benin, no major road project, nothing nothing but pays thousands of social media influencers to sing his praise on social media, a governor that didnt fufil just a single promise from his electoral promises and signs mou up and down and yet nothing to show for it, obaseki is a complete and total failure and ize iyamu is never an option too.

contigiency:


No problem. We have heard things like this in the past. So let's wait till September. Just mark this day and this post. You will see it kolokolo.

chairman I remembered your post. I live in Benin, next time when I talk about Niger-Delta politics try and listen instead of forming jagaban over what you don't know. politics is local and Edo is not Lagos. Happy Sunday to u from this part of Naija. hope you will find courage to congratulate Obaseki