The #Event201 panel just received their first briefing, here are the things to note. There is a new outbreak of a (fictional) novel coronavirus spanning 8 countries. The outbreak has led to 30,000 cases and just under 2,000 deaths in 3 months (/1)
Coronavirus Acute Pulmonary Syndrome (CAPS) originated in pigs in South America. The virus then spread to farmers and then into cities. The majority of cases (98%) have occurred in South America with international cases stemming from travel (/2)
CAPS is an airborne virus with a range of disease outcomes. Mild cases present with flu like symptoms and more severe cases can result with pneumonia. The virus has a case fatality rate of about 10% (/3)
Initial reports suggest that CAPS spreads at a rate that yields two new cases for each case. Given the nature of the virus, experts are extremely concerned about this growing outbreak. Some models suggest that, without action, the virus could lead to millions of deaths (/4)