At the center of this conflic is "Nagorno-Karabakh".

Nagorno-Karabakh is a disputed enclave between Amenia and Azerbaijan. Before I reveal anything about Nagorno-Karabakh. Who are Amenians and Azerics.

Amenia is a 97 pecent Christian republic. The first country to declare Christianity as a form government ruling. Azerbaijan are 90 pecent shia muslims.

In terms of land mass Azerbaijan is larger. Azerbaijan is also more populated. Azerbaijan is rich in oil. But Amenian economy is well organized, resilient exactly like Germans.

Nagorno-Karabakh, the displuted land is mainly occupied by Amenians (80pecent amenians) but Azerbaijan lay claim to it.

History of the conflict: There have been rounds of confrontation on this land in the past and Amenians always come on top.

Military head to head
Azerbaijan an islamic country is an oil rich country that have access to Turkish , Israelis and Russians weapons. Their language is very close to Turkish. In fact a Turk will easily communicate with Azeriks. Azerbaijan is rich, but not a well or organized military.

Amenia a Russian Orthodox christian country is a diversified economy with well organized military with pact with Russia. Amenians are influencial in Russia. They are hold public offices in Moscow. Amenia-Russia relationship is similar to US-Israeli relationship. Amenians are also stunch supporters of President Trump. They have even held rallies supporting Trump in the past.

Why the war again?
The number one instigator of the war is Erdogan of Turkey. Lately Erdogan has kickstarted Ottoman empire abandoned global Islamic Jihad. He is seeking to claim mineral resources anywhere possible. He ventured into syria to help dethrone Assad, he was pushed back by Russia and Trump's disinterest in fighting Assad.

Meanwhile, Erdogan made a strategic mistake, he wanted to crush Kurds who are USA ally, he therefore made pact with Trump to get America to stop supporting Kurds and remove his forces from Iraq, and in turn, Turkey will eliminate ISIS at his end. Trump read into his flawed strategic move. Trump knew Russia was going to deal with Erdogan anyways. The whole world mocked Trump for retreating from Kurds support. But at the end. Russia/Iran had the upper hand in Syria, Turkey forces where surpressed. Erdogan lost

Erdogan saw a defeat in Syria, he switched attention to Libya oil. He sent weapons and troop to help the coalition government in Libya against the rebel. This angered Egypt. Egypt mobilized his military to reinforce the rebels. Russia moved advanced weapons and military personnels to help Libyan rebels, France also moved their weapons to support the rebels. Right now, Erdogan Turkey is overpowered in Libya. Erdogan lost

Erdogan then shifted attention to Greece, he started a conflict with Greece by converting Greek monumental church to mosque. He then started oil exporation in a jointly claimed Greece-Turkey sea. This infuriated European union, who were already getting tired of his jihadi extremism. France, Spain and Germany pledged their military support for Greece. France even moved is fighter strike group ships to the disputed sea. Erdogan lost

Erdogan is getting hit as all fronts. Turkey currency "Lira" is getting smashed in the market. Turkey economy is nose-diving. What next? He shifted his attention to Azerbaijan, another oil rich region. Using his connections and influence with the current Azerbaijan leaders, he is pushing Azerbaijan for war with Amenians.

Its True that Trump is not interested in any war right now. However, US paliament has berrated Turkey for their role in the conflict. This is an indication that USA is aware of who the aggressors are. When a decision is made to engage militarily, Amenians are going to be sided. Trump-Putin bromance is also not in favour of Azerbaijan.

Who is Israel supporting. Azerbaijan has been customers to Israeli weapons. The zionists will not be involved directly. But trust me, they won't support Azerbaijan except make money from weapon sales. Instead, Israel will see it as opportunity to smash Erdogan who has been a pain on the neck of Israel by supporting Amenia.

China is a Russian ally. Saudi and other sunni Arab states would not want Turkey taking front stage in Jihad. However, Turkey has a worldwide network of Jihadis. As at 7th of October, Turkey is already mobilizing Jihadi volunteers all over the world to Azerbaijan.

EU (Germany, France, UK, Spain and others)? They don't like Erdogan either.

Who has the upper hand?
Who will likely win?
Can it lead to major world war?

Have your say

By Proxillin - A Middle East Business and Political Analyst

Ordinary Turkey is becoming another terrorist country

I have always hate Erdogan. He's a worst Islamic extremist than Iran. I don't know why Turks resisted a military coup against him two years back.

Nothing but oil and the dominance of the Black Sea, check the map and you’ll see why

Shaprara:
Nothing but oil and the dominance of the Black Sea, check the map and you’ll see why

Religion first, oil is just an ingredient required to propagate jihad.

I think the world should check Erdogan he is even more dangerous than kim

hotwax:


Religion first, oil is just an ingredient required to propagate jihad.

If the religion was so important, Turkey could have planned and executed state backed terrorist attack on Armenia, besides they’ve been on jihad against Armenia for a long time but check this out.

Look at the sea and gas pipeline aliance between Israel-Greece-Egypt trying to connect Belarus, cutting out Iran pressure on the economics prosperity of these countries, then look at China claiming sea domination over Korea, Philippines and Aida countries while the US and Uk is providing deterrence on behalf of international trade and fair practice, the last big sea in that region is the Black Sea, Armenia is between Turkey and Azerbaijan, Turkey needs Armenia gone to control the oil flow and the sea, it’s all about the money, if there’s no economic conditions involved, I do not think the religious part would be a big deal, they’ve been under that persecution for a long time