A 2-1 victory over Belgium (Oct 11) means England have lost just one of their last eight at home against teams currently in UEFA Nations League (UNL) League A (W4, D3, L1). Including the winner v Belgium, England averaged 1.0 goals beyond the hour mark across those four victories, while three of them produced a goalless first half.

The reverse H2H (0-0) saw just three total shots on target, though England won the corner count stakes (6-4), as they have done in seven straight home games (CF 44, CA 20). Furthermore, three of the last four H2Hs to be won/lost have seen the victor win the second half by a precise 1-0 scoreline.

Denmark have lost just once in their last ten games vs a (current) UNL League A side (W3, D6, L1), with half (five) of those games producing a goal within the opening 20 minutes. However, they last won a competitive away game against a side currently in FIFA’s top-ten back in September 2008.

Notably, the ‘Red and White’ (DEN) have scored the opener in their last 13 wins. Of the ten halves played against current UNL League A or B opposition within that group of wins, seven (70%) saw them win 1-0, with the first half won 1-0 in four of their last five wins against such opposition.

Players to watch: Marcus Rashford celebrated his MBE award with an equalising penalty against Belgium. If excluding extra time, England are currently unbeaten in his last seven goalscoring internationals (W6, D1).

Danish forward Martin Braithwaite netted in the only match amongst Denmark’s previous ten to see both teams score. It is one of four international goals (from his last six) to arrive beyond the 70th minute.

Hot stat: Going back to November 2014, each of England’s last five competitive home wins to see both teams score have seen them concede first (HT: W1, D4).

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Denmark doing a good job