Yea, a whole lot has been said about GEJ(most of which you just can't help but agree with) but I feel NLers are getting carried away by this so called Buhari tsunami, neglecting facts and issues on ground.

Incumbency factor: only a joker would say this will not count in GEJ's favour. You will neglect this at your peril!

Minority factor: finally, a Niger Deltan has a realistic chance of becoming president after so much marginalization of the region and people feel(perhaps rightly so) that he should be 'allowed' to win if only to compensate the region for past injustices.

Ethnicity: people are going to vote along ethnic lines in this election whether we like it or not. This is why Buhari would not get a single Niger Delta or Igbo vote and perhaps rightly so because contrary to what BB supporters would have us believe here, majority of Buhari supporters in the north are supporting him simply because he is a northerner. Yes! Even if Buhari had been fielded by PDP, these supporters would still have voted for him. All they are concerned about is having a northerner as president more than anything else. And this is why southwesterners won't be tricked into voting for Buhari as is evident on the ground(where it really matters and NOT on the internet).