₦airaland Forum

Not yet officially announced by INEC, but I have this on good authority from a friend in Daily times

"The final results have been in my hands since morning, I was only waiting for INEC to confirm, and all they have released tallies. Jonathan will win with about 64% of the vote.

The results I've had,

BAYELSA:
PDP 504 811
CPC 691


BENUE:
658, 472
CPC 102171

ANAMBRA:
PDP 1, 145, 169
CPC 4, 223


KATSINA:
PDP 424, 587
CPC 1, 154, 000

KEBBI:
PDP 369, 198
CPC 501, 453

ABIA:
PDP 1, 175, 984
CPC 3, 743

EDO:
PDP 542, 173
CPC, 17, 795

JIGAWA:
PDP 414,000
CPC 663,063

KADUNA:
PDP 1, 190, 179
CPC 1, 334, 244

DELTA:
PDP 1, 368, 851
CPC 8, 960

EBONYI:
PDP 480, 592
CPC 1,025

ENUGU:
PDP 802, 144
CPC 3,753

FCT:
PDP 254, 444
CPC 131, 576

LAGOS:
PDP 1, 281, 688
CPC 189, 983

OYO:
PDP 484, 758
CPC 92, 396

RIVERS:
PDP 1, 817, 762
CPC 13, 182

KANO:
PDP 440, 656
CPC 1, 624, 543

SOKOTO:
PDP 309,057
CPC 540,769

KWARA:
PDP 268, 243
CPC 83, 603

ONDO:
PDP: 387,376
CPC: 11, 890

OGUN:
PDP: 309,177
CPC: 17,654

OSUN:
PDP: 188,409
CPC: 6,997

KOGI:
PDP: 399, 816
CPC: 132, 201

BAUCHI:
PDP 250, 840
CPC 1, 315, 205

AKWA IBOM:
PDP 1, 165, 629
CPC 148"



These same figure went into the Daily Times result projections here
http://dailytimes.com.ng/article/result-projections


So this marks the end of this chapter. This is a democracy and the will of the majority must be respected. While it is my personal belief that some of those results are somewhat suspect (Rivers state with 75+% voter turnout? PDP nearly matching CPC in Kaduna?) we have to respect the result.

Just for the fun of it, we can do a little sensitivity analysis by slashing off 50% of GEJ votes in the SS. I believe he will still win the election. I will try this when all the results are out. For now, using my election projection model, a SS turnout of 50% still puts GEJ well ahead in the lead. The victory in SW was very vital for GEJ.

Anyway, congratulations to Nigeria for making a strong statement to the world.

if we do a little sensitivity analysis

what the heck is the meaning of that?

Sensitivity analysis involves changing the variables of a system and monitoring the response of the system to the change. In this case, by varying the turnout, we can see if high or low turnout in particular areas would have changed the final outcome. We can even completely eliminate the votes of the so called "suspect" states and see if the same winner emerges. It's just a bunch of statistical calculations to further verify the credibility of the process.

I hope I helped.

I found this from another thread

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=tvZQFY4djelIwyB7uI_RXHw#gid=0

[size=14pt]Efisher is being cautious, and not wanting to celebrate prematurely, but phuck it, my celebration is ALREADY in full progress, because sure as the Pope is Catholic, Johnny B. Goodluck is Nigeria's 2011 presidential election winner.

The parties are in full swing across the globe at this hour, for the fifth-largest oil producer is now CONFIRMED to be in SAFE HANDS for at least another four years.   History has just been made in Nigeria today, girls and boys, and I am glad to be alive to witness this triumph of people power in modern day Africa. [/size]

It is obvious where regionalism sectional, religious and tribalcoted politics is more pronounced. The results from the SS and SE is ,

Jakumo, I started celebrating ages ago! I was only addressing the issues raised by OP.

Oya pop something.  

[img]http://customersrock.files./2007/12/champagne.jpg[/img]

[size=14pt]GOODLUCK NIGERIA[/size].

I doubt GEJ will win if the real results are used

It is obvious where regionalism sectional, religious and tribalcoted politics is more pronounced. The results from the SS and SE

sorry matey. the decease been with us from independence so that should not be an excuse for the abysmally performance by both RIBADU AND BUHARI.
this is politics and its number of votes that count at the end of the day. to crown the ridiculous performance by buhari and co, he could not garnish enough votes even in the core north, where it matters most.
this in essence translate to me that the north must raise its game and present CREDIBLE candidate next tym.
these bunch ain't good enuff.

Yup!

Candidate Total Votes States Won States With Over 25% Of Votes
Goodluck 21,207,191 22 29
Buari 10,762,816 10 13

Maybe naija is very different. But doesn't a candidate getting 99%+ of the vote in even his home state seem. . . weird? Fake?

13volts:
It is obvious where regionalism sectional, religious and tribalcoted politics is more pronounced. The results from the SS and SE is ,

GEJ is neither from the SE region nor an Igbo. So cut the crap. Igbos voted based on their individual convictions.

ekt_bear:
Maybe naija is very different. But doesn't a candidate getting 99%+ of the vote in even his home state seem. . . weird? Fake?

It is not at all unusual to have 99% in a few states. . . it happened in the US in some states in the last presidential elections

There are 8 states GEJ won with those kind of margines - this only proves that majority of the electorate believes he's the best man for the job.

You can't go crying foul, when you have election observers, from foreign countries all saying these are the freeest elections in Nigeria so far. Let's move on and support the president - a better Nigeria benefits all.

DELTA:
PDP 1, 368, 851
CPC 8, 960

Who the hell voted for CPC in Delta state?