Vladimir Putin's forces are heading for a defeat in Ukraine that could cement Russia's post-Soviet decline and relegate its great power status to a thing of the past, according to China's former envoy to Kyiv.heading for a defeat in Ukraine that could cement Russia's post-Soviet decline and relegate its great power status to a thing of the past, according to China's former envoy to Kyiv.


Gao Yusheng, a Central Asia specialist who served two years as ambassador to Ukraine between 2005 and 2007, spoke at a closed-door event hosted by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences think tank, said a report by China's Phoenix News.

Gao served under Xi Jinping's predecessor, Hu Jintao, and now no longer holds any position of influence in Beijing. His edited remarks were taken down within hours of going live on Wednesday.


However, the content was archived by the translation blog of David Cowhig, a former U.S. diplomat who spent a decade at the American missions in China.

Vladimir Putin's Russia Losing in Ukraine—Ambassador

President Vladimir Putin gives a speech at an advisory council meeting of the Russian parliament in Saint Petersburg on April 27, 2022. A now deleted Chinese article featuring the remarks of China’s former ambassador to Ukraine, Gao Yusheng, said Russia was heading for defeat in Ukraine.

[b]Gao's scathing assessment of Russia includes a view that Moscow never truly recognized the independence of other former Soviet states, "and has frequently violated their territoriality and sovereignty."


Ukraine, once divided by factions that were pro-Russia or pro-Europe, saw its orientation lean toward the West after the annexation of Crimea in 2014.

"After the outbreak of the war, the situation in Ukraine has fundamentally changed. The country is united in its resistance to Russia and its salvation. It can be said that Russia has completely lost Ukraine," Gao said, according to Cowhig's translation.

The former Chinese diplomat's review of Russia's performance on and off the battlefield is even worse. The Kremlin has failed to adapt to the hybrid nature of modern warfare, which includes campaigns in the realms of "military, economic, political, diplomatic, public opinion, propaganda, intelligence, and information," he said.


"The failure of the Russian blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Russian defeat," Gao said in his virtual remarks. He believes Putin's forces can't afford "a high-tech war costing hundreds of millions of dollars a day."

What military and economic advantages it did have over Ukraine have since been offset by Ukrainian resistance and effective aid from the West, Gao assesses.

The "generational difference" in Russia's weapons and military concepts compared to the U.S. and NATO have only made Moscow's disadvantages more pronounced, Cowhig's translation read.


"It is only a matter of time before Russia is finally defeated," he said.

"This process has been exacerbated by Western economic sanctions which have damaged sectors of the Russian economy," said China's former envoy. "The so-called revival or revitalization of Russia under Putin's leadership is false; it simply does not exist."


Gao sees the next phase of the war as "likely to be more violent and intense," with Russian forces ordered to secure Crimea and the Donbas region in the east, while Ukraine grows increasingly determined to recover all its territory.

"The U.S., NATO and the EU have repeatedly affirmed their determination to defeat Putin," Gao said. "All of this suggests that the war will be fought until Russia is defeated and punished."

The result, Gao predicts, is that the Russian president will fail in his overriding foreign policy objective to maintain the Kremlin's "exclusive sphere of influence" over the former Soviet Union.


[b]"Russia's defeat would leave it with no hope of rebuilding its old empire," he said. Ukraine, meanwhile, would "become a member of the great European family."

Missing from Gao's remarks were any assessments about China's position or a view of its future trajectory after the war in Ukraine.

In February, Xi and Putin issued a 5,000-word joint statement from Beijing which declared the China-Russia partnership had "no limits."

In the 11 weeks since Russia's invasion, Beijing has provided Moscow with valuable diplomatic cover, although its support has remained largely rhetorical, and has so far fallen short of material assistance, according to U.S. officials.


In a post-Ukraine war international order, in which Gao believes Russia will be significantly weakened and isolated, China could find itself without an important geostrategic ally to endorse its authoritarian system on the world stage.
[/b]
Many see Xi as having bound China too closely with Russia, risking serious reputational damage as Moscow's war drags on.

At the same time, however, there are concerns that Xi's closest advisers are only confirming the president's biases instead of telling him hard truths about the changing geopolitical landscape.




https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russias-biggest-state-run-oil-150018097.html#:~:text=Russia

VOICEofORIENTAL:
Putin really underestimated the entire west.
One country can never defeat over 30 countries against her.

Even if Putin destroys the whole Ukraine, the entire west will still help rebuild Ukraine, even in 50yrs to come.

But as for Russia, without doing business with the entire west how are they going to repair their economy?

China & India cannot give Russia all the things the entire west were giving to Russia.. PRIDE GOES BEFORE A FALL

At least, the sports sector should prove to Putin that the west controls over 70% of what happens in this world.

Kingsnairaland:
Right now the EU and NATO are confused on how to handle this war. The EU need Russia more than they need the Evil US and UK. Two nations that are always going out to cause Wars and Destruction everywhere they go.

Every time the U.S saves a country in the name of freedom and democracy, that country just becomes a cemetery. �

They have never gone out to make sure there is peace. Rather they will go and escalate the situation just to sell their Weapons.

plaindealer:


pouTin and his alter boys have the same delusional traits.

The EU need Russia, but the same EU countries are Russian to join NATO, they don't want to be Russia's friend or associate with Russia.

Russia's only friend in Europe is poor, irrelevant and unproductive Belarus.



They need the worthless Russia that they are using their weapons to destroy and flooding with sanctions to cripple economically.

What exactly does the EU need from poor and worthless Russia apart from the oil and gas that they are dumping and moving away from anyway? Oil and gas are available elsewhere, Russia is not the only producer.

Russia on the other hand can't put food on the table without the 50% of their energy products going to the Rich West.

Indian can't buy enough Oil and gas to keep Russia from falling and what they are not buying is discounted and cheap awoof oil and gas that the rest of the world doesn't want.

Russia's economy can't survive without the West, even their airlines can't operate without the west because their planes are Airbus and Boeing from the west and with Western sanctions on parts supplies, they can't operate or get air worthiness certification.

Kingsnairaland:

. Russia has commercial airline they produce their own plane please Google before you talk.

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/russia-flies-first-new-post-soviet-passenger-airliner-with-domestic-engines-2020-12-15/

plaindealer:
Very apt.

plaindealer:


1. Your rubbish is old gist from 2020 and the plane itself is not in service, it's also not part of the Aeroflot fleet which is dominated almost entirely by western aircraft, mainly Airbus and Boeing.

2. Aeroflot's active service fleet is 131 and out of that 131, 128 are from the west.

3. So, what did you think happened when the west placed sanctions on plane parts? It means they can not pass airworthiness and can not fly anywhere.

4. Please explain to us why useless Russia's Aeroflot is not full of Russian planes, but instead Western planes and is subject to sanctions?

5. The only place the useless Aeroflot can fly to right now is next door, Minsk, Belarus,

See, you PouTin fanboys don't know anything about Russia, Russia is a piece of shit country that depends on the west for economic survival.

plaindealer:


pouTin and his alter boys have the same delusional traits.

The EU need Russia, but the same EU countries are Russian to join NATO, they don't want to be Russia's friend or associate with Russia.

Russia's only friend in Europe is poor, irrelevant and unproductive Belarus.



They need the worthless Russia that they are using their weapons to destroy and flooding with sanctions to cripple economically.

What exactly does the EU need from poor and worthless Russia apart from the oil and gas that they are dumping and moving away from anyway? Oil and gas are available elsewhere, Russia is not the only producer.

Russia on the other hand can't put food on the table without the 50% of their energy products going to the Rich West.

Indian can't buy enough Oil and gas to keep Russia from falling and what they are not buying is discounted and cheap awoof oil and gas that the rest of the world doesn't want.

Russia's economy can't survive without the West, even their airlines can't operate without the west because their planes are Airbus and Boeing from the west and with Western sanctions on parts supplies, they can't operate or get air worthiness certification.

plaindealer:




1. Your rubbish is old gist from 2020 and the plane itself is not in service, it's also not part of the Aeroflot fleet which is dominated almost entirely by western aircraft, mainly Airbus and Boeing.

2. Aeroflot's active service fleet is 131 and out of that 131, 128 are from the west.

3. So, what did you think happened when the west placed sanctions on plane parts? It means they can not pass airworthiness and can not fly anywhere.

4. Please explain to us why useless Russia's Aeroflot is not full of Russian planes, but instead Western planes and is subject to sanctions?

5. The only place the useless Aeroflot can fly to right now is next door, Minsk, Belarus,

See, you PouTin fanboys don't know anything about Russia, Russia is a piece of shit country that depends on the west for economic survival.