Below are facts about Osun election as culled from ICDR report on the election:

NDEPENDENT National Electoral Commission (INEC) will be holding the sixth gubernatorial election in Osun State by July 16.

The election will feature 15 political parties and candidates, but only five of them are on the frontline.

Parties and Candidates

They are Akinade Akanmu Ogunbiyi, 59, and his deputy, Jimoh Mukailu Adekunle, 61 of the Accord Party; the incumbent governor Adegboyega Isiaka Oyetola, 67, and his deputy Benedict Olugboyega Alabi, 56, of All Progressives Congress (APC); Yusuf Sulaiman Lasun, 61, Adeola Adekunle Atanda, 53, Labour Party (LP); Adeleke Ademola Jackson Nurudeen, 61, and his deputy, Adewusi Kola Adegboyega, 62, Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Omigbodun Oyegoke Akinrinola, 58, and his deputy Oni Mukaila Adesoye, 66, Social Democratic Party (SDP). All the parties and candidates are expected to end political campaigns by Thursday, July 14.

Senatorial districts and LGAs in Osun




There are three senatorial districts, 30 local government areas, 332 wards and 3,763 polling units in Osun State.

Osun State has the second largest number of LGAs in the South West after Oyo State (34 LGAs).

Each senatorial district comprises ten local government areas. Osun West senatorial district consists of Aiyedaade, Aiyedire, Ede North and South, Ejigbo, Egbedore, Irewole, Isokan, Iwo and Ola-Oluwa.

Osun Central senatorial district consists of Boripe, Boluwaduro, Ifedayo, Ifelodun, Ila, Irepodun, Odo-Otin, Olorunda, Orolu and Osogbo, while Osun East senatorial district consists of Atakumosa East and West, Ife Central, East, North and South, Ilesa East and West, Obokun and Oriade Local Government Areas.

Registered Voters




As of June 2022, the total number of registered voters is 1, 955, 657 as against 1,600,000 registered voters in the last election. The uncollected PVCs stand at 377,807 by June.

Observers

INEC has approved 79 local and eight international observers for the election monitoring. The list includes the Centre for Journalism Innovation and Development, CJID, Action Aid, YIAGA, Police Service Commission, the Albino Foundation and others. The foreign observers include the British High Commission, the Canadian Embassy, the Embassy of the United States, the European Union, the International Foundation for Electoral Systems, the National Democratic Institute, the International Republican Institute and the Pan African Women’s Project.

The winner of the election will be inaugurated on 27 Nov 2022.

In view of the above what are your predictions on the election? Who wins where? Give reasons.Please don't assault or abuse anybody. Everybody is entitled to his opinion.
My predictions are : Osun East. Ife Central East North and South APC Ilesa West APC Atakumosa East APC Oriade PDP Ibokun. PDP. Atakumosa West APC Ayedade APC Ede North and South PDP. Ejigbo APC. Iwo APC Osogbo and Olaoluwa APC. Boripe APC. OROLU APC Odo Otin APC. Ila APC etc PDP will get votes too but APC will win the election.
My reasons are: APC is friendly with Osun workers unlike 2018. Oyetola is now spending within the income of the state. He. Combines capital development with human development. I forsee APC winning the election

It might be close between the two major candidates, but I believe Ademola Adeleke will carry the day...

Imole

Ademola adeleke - home win and over2.5

It is obvious that Adeleke will carry the day.

The LP candidate should have a good outing, but it will not be enough.

Osun people should be ready to switch to LP for presidency as soon as they get their desired person in.