derecho:
So you think Northern Muslims would look the way of BAT when they can have one of their own as president?
No dey give Tinubu hope abeg
Atiku will have more votes than BAT in the north.

Ishowlee:


And where do you think Atiku can get votes from in the south aside the northern divided voter? And do you think only the Northerns divided vote would guarantee Atiku's winning.?

I no tell you say Northerners no go dey Atiku's back oo. But that Kashimu Shettima wey tinubu use as VP no be for just a posing oo. It would indeed affect Atiku's chance of winning as that would share his Northerner Muslims bloc vote.

Ishowlee:
Peter Obi should be able to see his oppositions routes as a chance for him, but his major problems are:
1. To winning this election, he should at least be able to score not less than 40% percent Northerner votes. Notherners mass support is an undermining point to attain presidency.
2. To be realistic... Peter obi and Labour party are still in a childhood stage of political structuring and connection withing the 36 states. Even if they are rigging election in My state here, Ogun. Who will stand for Peter Obi as Labour party representathve?

LET WATCH & SEE ihow the game goes...

yerimastyle:
Its mostly yoruba muslims that will vote BAT count the Christian out

Ishowlee:


Am a Yoruba boy. Even with Tinubu's Muslim/Muslim ticket. I still know of Christain Yorubas who are still gonna vote for Tinubu. Especially the elderly ones who has low literacy to the internet to know much of someone called Peter Obi.
Tinubu would still garner from little of Northerner bloc votes. From those that think Muslim/Muslim will favour them.

derecho:
So shetima will defeat Atiku for north?
If you get person for north ask am how APC politicians campaign.
Shetima is only popular with pro-bokoharamists.

oshozondii:

If you have a South-Westerner running as Deputy and another South-Westerner running for President, who will you go for?

Factor in maybe, that your Zone has never produced a democratically-elected President before.

Ishowlee:


Well I agree with your point... The fact is that Atiku's only chance of winning is limited only to Northerner votes.

But this Northerner votes would be shared between:
*Atiku
*Tinubu
*Kwankwaso (who 4is stylishly supporting Tinubu)
* A little percentage for Peter Obi.

Atiku might have the highest percentage Northerner vote tho... But it's still gonna be shared and a game spoiler for him as there is no hope of southerner vote for him.

Ishowlee:

It is not necessary Shettima is able to defeat atiku single-handed. But if you understand politics, You would know that its a game spoiler for Atiku. As some Majority Muslim Notherners who think Muslim/Muslim would favour their religion/tribe would vote Tinubu.

Honjoshy4u:
Dreamland post.....
The writer is politically bankrupt.
The North/fulani/muslim will not abandon their son for a minority Kanuri VP slot. The NE will vote overwhelmingly for their son, after all the senate president Lawan is confused at the moment. the NW won't go the way of Tinubu because his government won't benefit them that much due to the useless muslim muslim ticket.
Middle belt is already Atiku's to win.
In your South West, Atiku even won Sanwolu and Osinbajo ward and l.g.a. the christians have already started reacting over there.

S.S, S.E is locked against Tinubu.

Keep day dreaming like a drunk.


Sane muslims have rejected Tinubu.... Even your party chairman promised to deal with Tinubu

derecho:
Vote a number 2, when they can vote the number 1 with the same religion?
Oga are you okay?

derecho:
So you think Northern Muslims would look the way of BAT when they can have one of their own as president?
No dey give Tinubu hope abeg
Atiku will have more votes than BAT in the north.

ImmaculateJOE:


None of these candidates would be able to garner 40% of Northern votes... Not even Atiku nor Tinibu not to talk of Obi.. No bloc votes will be coming out from the north this time around..
It will be so much divided.

As an OBIdient my target is to get up to 25% of Northern (NE,NW & NC put together) votes and repeat same thing in SW( Lagos votes will make up our losses in other SW states..)
Then try and get 75% of SE plus 50% of SS..

The rest of the votes should be shared accordingly between Tinibu, Atiku, Kwankwoso and the rest...