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Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes - Politics - Nairaland

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Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by dre11(m): 7:43pm On Jul 22, 2022
.....Say confidence in govt declining

The 2023 presidential election may go into rerun with the emergence of Labour Party presidential candidate, Peter Obi, and candidate of the New Nigeria People’s Party, Rabiu Kwankwaso, a delegation of United States-based National Democratic Institute and International Republican Institute, said on Friday.

According to them, the 2023 elections would be a departure from some of the political dynamics that defined previous polls in Nigeria.

The delegation of the NDI/IRI which visited Nigeria from July 13-22 and led by Secretary of State for Ohio, Frank LaRose, stated these while presenting its first joint pre-elections assessment statement to journalists in Abuja.

The institutes, which described Obi and Kwankwaso as a viable “third forces”, said their emergence as presidential candidates for the 2023 elections has excited many young Nigerians.

They said that “if a third party draws sufficient support, a runoff presidential election could be a real possibility for the first time since the transition to democracy, adding complexity to the 2023 elections.”

While maintaining that the 2023 elections present a significant opportunity to consolidate Nigeria’s democracy, the organisations observed that the 2022 Electoral Act enjoys a wide stakeholder support and has elevated public confidence in the commitment of the Independent National Electoral Commission to deliver democratic elections in 2023.

The statement read in part, “The 2023 elections are a departure from some of the political dynamics that defined previous polls. For the first time since 2007, the presidential election will be an open contest with no incumbent. The ruling All Progressives Congress selected former Lagos governor, Bola Tinubu, as its flagbearer. Former Vice President and 2019 presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, will contest on the ticket of the Peoples Democratic Party.

“However, the emergence of Peter Obi — former Anambra State governor and presidential candidate for the Labour Party — and Rabiu Kwankwaso — former Kano governor and presidential candidate for the New Nigeria People’s Party — as viable “Third Forces” has excited many young Nigerians. If a third party draws sufficient support, a runoff presidential election could be a real possibility for the first time since the transition to democracy, adding complexity to the 2023 elections.”

The document also said that the 2022 Ekiti and Osun governorship elections, the first elections held since the electoral law was passed, demonstrated the positive impact of initiatives implemented by INEC since 2019 to improve results’ transparency.

Such measures included the introduction of the INEC Result Viewing Portal and elimination of voting points, and adoption and proper configuration of the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System for voter accreditation, which has quickened the voting process and reduced tensions in polling units.

“The recent surge in voter registration numbers and increased voter turnout in the 2022 Osun polls, especially among young people, point to a renewed interest in political participation among Nigerians. However, there are questions about whether the 2022 Electoral Act will be fully implemented and whether political parties will take advantage of this increased enthusiasm to engage Nigerians on issues that matter to them. There are also questions about whether these new technologies — IReV and BVAS – will perform at the same level when scaled up for the national elections”, the organisations said.

The institutes said, while there had been some positive changes since the 2019 elections, stakeholders with whom its delegation met expressed concern about the direction of the country.

According to them, confidence in the government and elections has declined over the past 10 years, “as exemplified by the #EndSARS movement that gained traction in 2020 to protest security forces abuses.”

“In addition, insecurity has deepened, spreading to every corner of the country. Extremist and sectarian violence continues to spread, banditry and criminality are endemic, separatist elements are gaining traction, and informal security forces are proliferating.

“This intensifying violence takes place against the backdrop of increasing religious and regional division permeating the political discourse. If the 2023 polls fail to improve upon past elections, Nigerians may lose faith in the ability of democracy to deliver,” the organisations warned.

They called on the government to allocate the remaining funding to INEC, saying this would ensure the completion of procurement processes, training, and deployment of necessary staff and materials.

According to them, INEC should extend the period for voter registration to capitalise on excitement from the Osun and Ekiti elections and the nomination of final presidential and vice presidential candidates.

“The courts should be allocated sufficient funding to ensure members of Election Tribunals have the necessary resources for training, transportation, and security.

“INEC and security forces should anticipate and plan for areas where violence may be used to suppress votes/change outcomes. The government should formally address the role that informal security outfits (such as Amotekun and Ebube Agu) may play in the lead up to and during elections.

“The government should resolve the Academic Staff Union of Universities’ strike. This is critical for security, as young people unable to study could be easily recruited into cults, gangs, or other groups that could contribute to electoral violence”, they added.

https://punchng.com/rerun-likely-over-obi-kwankwasos-emergence-us-institutes/

12 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Fahdiga(m): 7:45pm On Jul 22, 2022
Las las Obi is our incoming president.

506 Likes 38 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by KingKO22: 7:45pm On Jul 22, 2022
grin
You forgot to mention 4th force grin


Kwankwaso is no longer working for Tinubu again grin


My own is that, I don't want to hear Beerfraud or referendum or Zoo or Cow after 2023 election


Infact Beerfraud have died a natural death in 2022 so whoever that's going to start Beerfraud agitation after 2023 election should prepare for Python dance extra grin

108 Likes 22 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by alsudan: 7:48pm On Jul 22, 2022
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.

158 Likes 15 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by MadamVanessa(f): 7:49pm On Jul 22, 2022
shocked


No man that came out of a woman can stop Peter Obi emergence as the next president not even a billion agbado and cassava munching BATstards.

446 Likes 32 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by EmeeNaka: 7:50pm On Jul 22, 2022
Kwankwaso, Atiku, Tinubu and Obi will share Muslim votes.

113 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by lloydtruth: 7:52pm On Jul 22, 2022
At the end Peter Obi will win.

282 Likes 12 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by EmeraldJD: 7:52pm On Jul 22, 2022
EmeeNaka:
Kwankwaso, Atiku, Tinubu and Obi will share Muslim votes.
Kwankwanso, Atiku and Tinibu can share all the Muslim votes among themselves, let Obi have all the christian votes.

256 Likes 13 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by successmatters(m): 7:54pm On Jul 22, 2022
Peter Obi is winning this election.

All the signs are there.

272 Likes 13 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by FalseProphet1(m): 7:55pm On Jul 22, 2022
If there's a rerun between tinubu and Atiku because of the 3rd forces the SS, SE and North would vote massively for Atiku Because Peter Obi and Kwankwaso would already be out.

There's no way tinubu is winning this election.

This I have seen.

28 Likes 4 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Nobody: 7:56pm On Jul 22, 2022
their rigging plans will fail them
Proudly Yoruba and proudly Obidient

250 Likes 14 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by successmatters(m): 7:56pm On Jul 22, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.

South west have a lot of decent folks that won't like to vote a drug lord.

182 Likes 11 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Caleb17: 7:56pm On Jul 22, 2022
There will be no Re-Run. Peter Obi will emerge winner in Feb 2023.

162 Likes 13 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Maxymilliano(m): 8:01pm On Jul 22, 2022
A Welcome development but hopefully a rerun won't suffice.

A winner will emerge after the first ballot

20 Likes 1 Share

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by sweetonugbu: 8:45pm On Jul 22, 2022
Prediction
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Jack005(m): 8:58pm On Jul 22, 2022
Keep underating them at your own peril.. Especially Atiku and Apc urchins... Nigerians are really upset and you expect them to still vote for atiku or tinubu because of structure.. Does structure feed people? Does it reduce hard times? Stop corruption? Build infrastructures or provide jobs for our youth or even solve insecurities.

66 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by lonecatt(m): 9:04pm On Jul 22, 2022
Means peter Obi will not be a push over
Urchins beware

30 Likes

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Onuigbodabere: 9:05pm On Jul 22, 2022
The Institute sees Kwankwaso as a viable 3rd force. That is wrong, therefore their prediction is faulty. Mr Peter Obi will win the election.

71 Likes

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by Cyberterror: 9:16pm On Jul 22, 2022
Nothing like rerun there. A simple majority with at least 25% in 24 states is all Tinubu needs to cross the line and he will get it at first ballot.

15 Likes 5 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by tctrills: 9:18pm On Jul 22, 2022
KingKO22:
grin
You forgot to mention 4th force grin


Kwankwaso is no longer working for Tinubu again grin


My own is that, I don't want to hear Beerfraud or referendum or Zoo or Cow after 2023 election


Infact Beerfraud have died a natural death in 2022 so whoever that's going to start Beerfraud agitation after 2023 election should prepare for Python dance extra grin
You are not that important. You may not want to hear certain things but you can't stop anyone from express their view.

24 Likes 1 Share

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by frugal(m): 9:21pm On Jul 22, 2022
alsudan:
With Obi clearing the SE/SS and half of NC and Atiku doing same in the NE/NW, then a run off between Obi and Atiku is most likely.

Tinubu on the other hand will win in the SW plus Kogi and Kwara, while Kwankwaso will win in Jigawa/Kano, but will both be dropped after the first ballot.


Tinubu will not win Lagos, Oyo and Ondo.

63 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by buckeyemedia: 9:52pm On Jul 22, 2022
successmatters:


South west have a lot of decent folks that won't like to vote a drug lord.
I’m sure, the likes of Portable & his Zazzu entourage?
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by buckeyemedia: 9:53pm On Jul 22, 2022
frugal:



Tinubu will not win Lagos, Oyo and Ondo.
Obi will not win Anambra, Imo & Enugu?

21 Likes 7 Shares

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by KingRSHD2(m): 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
K
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by jojothaiv(m): 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
........Say confidence in government declining

So tell me, how would you expect the citizen to believe in the government where they have nothing to hold on to, the light in the middle of the tunnel is filled with darkness so what do you say about the end.

Corruption is Nigeria and Nigeria is corruption

3 Likes

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by louiskay(m): 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
Nigeria has become too unbearable for the common and hoping. How did we get here and how do we steer clear?

2 Likes

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by kingamaa(m): 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
Grandiose delusion.

Sha Na by vawulence, insults, social media bullying.

Forget am.

Election is not won by insults and falsehood neither is it won on the social media

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by PlayerMeji: 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
hhmmm
Re: Rerun Likely Over Obi, Kwankwaso’s Emergence – US Institutes by BOOOMNAIJA: 9:57pm On Jul 22, 2022
I will shed my blood for Peter Obi on election day.

27 Likes 3 Shares

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