A new poll commissioned by the Anap Foundation and conducted by NOI Polls Limited, showing the candidate of the Labour Party, Mr Peter Obi leading in the race for the 2023 Presidential election is flawed due to the huge number of undecided voters as well as a lack of weighting assigned to different regions, according to MoneyCentral analysis.

The polls results released by ANAP showed that the total percentage of those who are undecided or refused to participate was 47%, which is more than double the score for the winner of the poll Obi who got 21%.

This makes it statistically impossible to infer anything meaningful from the results.

When the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate, Mr Bola Tinubu’s score of 13%; and People’s Democratic Party (PDP) candidate, Atiku Abubakar’s score of 13% is added to Obi’s score, it comes to 47%.

It means all three candidates combined are below the 50% mark while the undecided votes are statistically too large (equal to all three), to make the results anything but noise at this stage.

Read more: https://moneycentral.com.ng/exclusive/article/anap-poll-flawed-by-lack-of-assigned-weightings-to-regions-huge-undecided-in-pdp-apc-strongholds/

Online polls for elections may not be a good test measure to know which candidate will win.
However they can still be used to identify the candidates with the highest possibility of winning.

There may be a lot of uninterested people that may decide to boycott the polls in the NW, NE and NC. They will not want to offend anyone by voting for who they know is right.

The poll is a reflection of what may happen.