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2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. - Politics - Nairaland

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2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 10:53am On Oct 11, 2022
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS.

Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections.
(Personal opinion)

*zoning.
South(north) : 1999-2007
North(south)(: 2007-2010
South(north):2011-2015
North(south):2015-2023

Next should be South(north)
Tinubu 50%
OBI 50%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Ethnicity
Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007
Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010
Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015
Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023

Peter 100%
Tinubu 0%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Religion
Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007
Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010
Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015
Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023

Peter 33%
Atiku 33%
Tinubu 0%
Kwankwaso 33%

PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government)
APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair)
LP : 0
NNPP : 0

Peter OBI (LP new movement)25%
Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0%
Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50%
Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0%

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

Totals=
Peter Obi has 428% possibilities of winning
Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning
Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning
Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning.

What do you think guys??

3 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 10:58am On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS.

Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections.
(Personal opinion)

*zoning.
South(north) : 1999-2007
North(south)(: 2007-2010
South(north):2011-2015
North(south):2015-2023

Next should be South(north)
Tinubu 50%
OBI 50%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Ethnicity
Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007
Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010
Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015
Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023

Peter 100%
Tinubu 0%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Religion
Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007
Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010
Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015
Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023

Peter 33%
Atiku 33%
Tinubu 0%
Kwankwaso 33%

PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government)
APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair)
LP : 0
NNPP : 0

Peter OBI (LP new movement)25%
Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0%
Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50%
Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0%

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

Totals=
Peter Obi has 438% possibilities of winning
Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning
Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning
Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning.

What do you think guys??
























Tinubu lost it when he chose Muslim/Muslim OBIDATTI2023
God Bless Nigeria

2 Likes 3 Shares

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by another1: 11:15am On Oct 11, 2022
Ok
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by muykem: 11:46am On Oct 11, 2022
Continue to use Peter Obi to catch fun. If Peter Obi win two states outside South east, I will become his follower either he win president or not.

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by BATified2023: 12:05pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS.

Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections.
(Personal opinion)

*zoning.
South(north) : 1999-2007
North(south)(: 2007-2010
South(north):2011-2015
North(south):2015-2023

Next should be South(north)
Tinubu 50%
OBI 50%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Ethnicity
Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007
Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010
Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015
Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023

Peter 100%
Tinubu 0%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Religion
Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007
Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010
Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015
Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023

Peter 33%
Atiku 33%
Tinubu 0%
Kwankwaso 33%

PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government)
APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair)
LP : 0
NNPP : 0

Peter OBI (LP new movement)25%
Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0%
Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50%
Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0%

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

Totals=
Peter Obi has 438% possibilities of winning
Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning
Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning
Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning.

What do you think guys??























from ipob bureau of statistics

So u think all elected councillors to d level of president don’t have political party that they emerged under?

So a new party will just come n rubbish all of them just like that?
So u really don’t understand those people in elective positions have much to lose if a stranger takes their position?

See i no get strength but everyone eye go clear later

U think it’s by noise

So tinubu will not win any region in d north but Peter obi who is seen as another nnamdi kanu will carry d day

8 Likes

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by obismobist: 12:13pm On Oct 11, 2022
See analysis

1 Like

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by EHustleTv: 12:33pm On Oct 11, 2022
Let the best man win!!
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dereformer(m): 12:45pm On Oct 11, 2022
BATified2023:
from ipob bureau of statistics

So u think all elected councillors to d level of president don’t have political party that they emerged under?

So a new party will just come n rubbish all of them just like that?
So u really don’t understand those people in elective positions have much to lose if a stranger takes their position?

See i no get strength but everyone eye go clear later

U think it’s by noise

So tinubu will not win any region in d north but Peter obi who is seen as another nnamdi kanu will carry d day


The new electoral law has already rubbished your plan of rigging.
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 12:51pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES.

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%


This is the part that made sense to me. However, I want to alter it a bit..
I agree with your SE analysis...

SW.
Tinibu 60%
Obi 22%
Atiku 13%
Kwankwoso & others 5%

SS
Obi 50%
Atiku 25%
Tinibu 20%
Kwankwoso & others 5%

NC
Tinibu 40%
Obi 30%
Atiku 25%
Kwankwoso and others 5%

NE
Atiku 40%
Tinibu 30%
Obi 15%
Kwankwoso 15%

NW
Atiku 35%
Tinibu 30%
Kwankwoso 25%
Obi 10%...

1 Like

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dereformer(m): 1:42pm On Oct 11, 2022
ImmaculateJOE:

This is the part that made sense to me. However, I want to alter it a bit..
I agree with your SE analysis...

SW.
Tinibu 60%
Obi 22%
Atiku 13%
Kwankwoso & others 5%

SS
Obi 50%
Atiku 25%
Tinibu 20%
Kwankwoso & others 5%

NC
Tinibu 40%
Obi 30%
Atiku 25%
Kwankwoso and others 5%

NE
Atiku 40%
Tinibu 30%
Obi 15%
Kwankwoso 15%

NW
Atiku 35%
Tinibu 30%
Kwankwoso 25%
Obi 10%...

Tinubu get 40% in North centrals with moslem moslem ticket? ok. Buy a big bucket of tears.

Tinubu will not see up to 15% OF South South. take that to the bank. Not on moslem moslem ticket.

North East and North west Christian will be their for Peter Obi.
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:03pm On Oct 11, 2022
Dereformer:


Tinubu get 40% in North centrals with moslem moslem ticket? ok. Buy a big bucket of tears.

Tinubu will not see up to 15% OF South South. take that to the bank. Not on moslem moslem ticket.

North East and North west Christian will be their for Peter Obi.
I'm a die hard Obidient..
Tinubu winning Kogi and Kwara massively will make him win NC in total.

I may agree with you on SS, but NE & NW Christians votes is divided between Obi and Atiku, Tinibu will still get its share from them, even if na 5% of their votes.
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by kcnwaigbo: 2:05pm On Oct 11, 2022
BATified2023:
from ipob bureau of statistics

So u think all elected councillors to d level of president don’t have political party that they emerged under?

So a new party will just come n rubbish all of them just like that?
So u really don’t understand those people in elective positions have much to lose if a stranger takes their position?

See i no get strength but everyone eye go clear later

U think it’s by noise

So tinubu will not win any region in d north but Peter obi who is seen as another nnamdi kanu will carry d day
So the Governors and councillors will force people to vote for their party?

3 Likes 2 Shares

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by kcnwaigbo: 2:07pm On Oct 11, 2022
ImmaculateJOE:

I'm a die hard Obidient..
Tinubu winning Kogi and Kwara massively will make him win NC in total.

I may agree with you on SS, but NE & NW Christians votes is divided between Obi and Atiku, Tinibu will still get its share from them, even if na 5% of their votes.
Tinubu can't win Kogi massively.It is only about 30% Yoruba.

Finally NC has 6 states and only two states cannot decide for the region

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by ImmaculateJOE(m): 2:16pm On Oct 11, 2022
kcnwaigbo:

Tinubu can't win Kogi massively.It is only about 30% Yoruba.

Finally NC has 6 states and only two states cannot decide for the region
In a situation whereby Tinibu wins Kwara 70%, Kogi 50%, Niger 40%, Nasarawa 30%, Plateau 30%, Benue 20%.. He will definitely win NC..
I would have said Obi would win NC, but the Christians there are not all voting Obi..

1 Like

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by goshikid: 2:20pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS.

Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections.
(Personal opinion)

*zoning.
South(north) : 1999-2007
North(south)(: 2007-2010
South(north):2011-2015
North(south):2015-2023

Next should be South(north)
Tinubu 50%
OBI 50%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Ethnicity
Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007
Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010
Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015
Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023

Peter 100%
Tinubu 0%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Religion
Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007
Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010
Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015
Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023

Peter 33%
Atiku 33%
Tinubu 0%
Kwankwaso 33%

PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government)
APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair)
LP : 0
NNPP : 0

Peter OBI (LP new movement)25%
Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0%
Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50%
Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0%

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

Totals=
Peter Obi has 438% possibilities of winning
Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning
Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning
Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning.

What do you think guys??

























Zombiedient
..

Who told you Obi is going to win atiku in South south? You must be high on cow sh1t.

1 Like

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Thinkfree(m): 2:21pm On Oct 11, 2022
Dereformer:


Tinubu get 40% in North centrals with moslem moslem ticket? ok. Buy a big bucket of tears.

Tinubu will not see up to 15% OF South South. take that to the bank. Not on moslem moslem ticket.

North East and North west Christian will be their for Peter Obi.
north Central is for Tinubu maybe with a small margin.
kwara 70%
Kogi 40%
Niger 35%
Benue 35 -40%
Nasarawa 35%
Plateau 10%
NB. The Christian population you are thinking will bring Tinubu down in state like benue will actually have no much effect because of the apc governorship candidate, Rev. Fr. Alia, george akume, formar Nans president, Dan onjeh, young alhaji etc will seriously work for Tinubu.
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Anugoson(m): 2:24pm On Oct 11, 2022
muykem:
Continue to use Peter Obi to catch fun. If Peter Obi win two states outside South east, I will become his follower either he win president or not.
Saved! See ya next year smiley
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by Dapson73(m): 2:25pm On Oct 11, 2022
The fact remains no political party can single handedly win the ruling party without a merger.

Take it or not, if PDP is United with all the agrieved governors, without merger with other parties , they can't still win talkless of now that they are publicly divided.

As for Labour Party supporters, you are at liberty to keep your dreams till Feb next year, when the boys will be separated from the men.


Plus or minus, Asiwaju is winning the next election.

3 Likes

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 3:34pm On Oct 11, 2022
BATified2023:
from ipob bureau of statistics

So u think all elected councillors to d level of president don’t have political party that they emerged under?

So a new party will just come n rubbish all of them just like that?
So u really don’t understand those people in elective positions have much to lose if a stranger takes their position?

See i no get strength but everyone eye go clear later

U think it’s by noise

So tinubu will not win any region in d north but Peter obi who is seen as another nnamdi kanu will carry d day
he will win few states and not a whole region
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by IfyBennyomah(f): 3:35pm On Oct 11, 2022
Dapson73:
The fact remains no political party can single handedly win the ruling party without a merger.

Take it or not, if PDP is United with all the agrieved governors, without merger with other parties , they can't still win talkless of now that they are publicly divided.

As for Labour Party supporters, you are at liberty to keep your dreams till Feb next year, when the boys will be separated from the men.


Plus or minus, Asiwaju is winning the next election.
Till then, no be by mouth
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 3:46pm On Oct 11, 2022
muykem:
Continue to use Peter Obi to catch fun. If Peter Obi win two states outside South east, I will become his follower either he win president or not.
Watch and see
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 3:56pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES AND THEIR CHANCES OF WINNING 2023 GENERAL ELECTIONS.

Below analysis are chances each candidate has in winning 2023 Presidential General Elections.
(Personal opinion)

*zoning.
South(north) : 1999-2007
North(south)(: 2007-2010
South(north):2011-2015
North(south):2015-2023

Next should be South(north)
Tinubu 50%
OBI 50%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Ethnicity
Yoruba(Fulani): 1999-2007
Fulani(Ijaw) : 2007-2010
Ijaw(Hausa): 2011-2015
Fulani(Yoruba ):2015-2023

Peter 100%
Tinubu 0%
Atiku 0%
Kwankwaso 0%

*Religion
Christian(Muslim) 1999-2007
Muslim(Christian) 2007-2010
Christian(Muslim) 2011-2015
Muslim(Christian) 2015-2023

Peter 33%
Atiku 33%
Tinubu 0%
Kwankwaso 33%

PDP :1999-2015(not re-elect due to failed government)
APC :2015-2023(Country almost damaged beyond Repair)
LP : 0
NNPP : 0

Peter OBI (LP new movement)25%
Atiku (PDP Underdogs) 0%
Tinubu (APC ruling party advantage) 50%
Kwankwaso (NNPC minor) 0%

How Nigerians are likely to vote:
*North west
Atiku 50%
Tinubu 20%
Kwankwaso 20%
Obi 10%

*North central
Atiku 40%
Obi 30%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 5%

*North east
Atiku 60%
Tinubu 25%
Obi 10%
Kwankwaso 5%

*South west
Tinubu 70%
Obi 20%
Atiku 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South east
Obi 80%
Atiku 15%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwaso 0%

*South South
Obi 70%
Atiku 20%
Tinubu 10%
Kwankwaso 0%

Totals=
Peter Obi has 438% possibilities of winning
Atiku has 228% possibilities of winning
Tinubu has 205% possibilities of winning
Kwankwaso 63% possibilities of winning.

What do you think guys??























where did you get the obi 438%
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 4:26pm On Oct 11, 2022
asanausana91:
where did you get the obi 438%
428
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 4:30pm On Oct 11, 2022
goshikid:


Zombiedient
..

Who told you Obi is going to win atiku in South south? You must be high on cow sh1t.

Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 5:21pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:

428
where did you get that, pls go back and calculate your percentage.
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by shegzbillionz(m): 5:34pm On Oct 11, 2022
asanausana91:
where did you get that, pls go back and calculate your percentage.
It’s not my fault that you can’t see properly where the percentage started counting
Re: 2023 Elections, Presidential Candidates And Their Chances. by asanausana91: 5:39pm On Oct 11, 2022
shegzbillionz:

It’s not my fault that you can’t see properly where the percentage started counting
why not explain. I only ask for an explanation.

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