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Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest - Politics (4) - Nairaland

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Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by garfield1: 9:29pm On Oct 12, 2022
fergie001:

Salary raise plus revitalisation funds for tertiary institutions:
N470bn

Thats 1 mil for prof and 150 for grad ass
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Polchiz(m): 9:35pm On Oct 12, 2022
raumdeuter:


The only SW state where Obi will finish 2nd will be Lagos

Everywhere else na distant 3rd. There are many indigenous Yorubas who are core party PDP men from 1999 and hardly will you find anyone who is a core Labor person
See the way talk like God. You know the future.
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Igba123: 10:10pm On Oct 12, 2022
lhordspy:
Obi 38% in lagos? .. You kidding me right?

Lagos state as a voter's registration of 7million and expected voters turnout of atleast 5million atleast.

So mathematically, you are trying to tell me OBI will have over 2million votes in Lagos, where you also stated that Atiku will be having 10% Which is like 500,000?


Lol. This is joke right? Atiku 500,000 then obi 2million.


you guys surprise me with your analysis. Lagos has never recorded 3m votes. Not even Kano will record 3m votes bc there's no provision for incident form. Infact the highest voters turnout nationwide may not be up to 45m and you are already allocating 5m to Lagos bc it has over 7m registered. It does not work like that.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by mandarin: 10:19pm On Oct 12, 2022
majole:


I tend to agree with you this time on the SW. My own rough estinste:
LAGOS TINUBU 60% PO 25% ATIKU 14%
OSUN TINUBU 60% PO 10% ATIKU 28%
OYO TINUBU 60% PO 10% ATIKU 28%
OGUN TINUBU 57% PO 22% ATIKU 20%
EKITI TINUBU 63% PO 17% ATIKU 19%
ONDO TINUBU 55% PO 23% ATIKU 20%

Ekiti ba? Tinubu won't get less than 85-95%. Fayose, Fayemi and the incoming governor are all his men. No one will want to even campaign for others there at the grassroot.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by CapitalCee(m): 10:50pm On Oct 12, 2022
raumdeuter:


Atiku will clear the entire NE minus Borno and Yobe

Atiku has a good chance in all NW and NC states

Atiku will only win Taraba and Adamawa very Narrowly, he will lose very woefully in Borno and yobe, the 2 states can give APC up to 1.5m votes margin. Bauchi and Gombe will be a toss up. Atiku will lose NE in general.

APC will win Katsina, Kano and Zamfara sure banker. Atiku will win Kebbi and Sokoto. Jigawa and Kaduna are toss up. Even if Atiku wins NW he cant come out with any good margin. I see Tinibu Narrowly edging NE/NW.

In Northcentral. Obi's candidacy is doing a lot of damage to Atiku. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi on a landslide. Nassarawa will be very very Narrow for any winner. Plateaue and Benue will be narrow as well due to Peter Obi. Overall Tinubu will win NC.

Tinubu will score like. 13.5m- 16.5m. Atiku 9-12m. Peter Obi 2.5-3.5m. Kwankwaso 2.5- 3.0m.

3 Likes

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by raumdeuter: 11:53pm On Oct 12, 2022
CapitalCee:
Atiku will only win Taraba and Adamawa very Narrowly, he will lose very woefully in Borno and yobe, the 2 states can give APC up to 1.5m votes margin. Bauchi and Gombe will be a toss up. Atiku will lose NE in general.

APC will win Katsina, Kano and Zamfara sure banker. Atiku will win Kebbi and Sokoto. Jigawa and Kaduna are toss up. Even if Atiku wins NW he cant come out with any good margin. I see Tinibu Narrowly edging NE/NW.

In Northcentral. Obi's candidacy is doing a lot of damage to Atiku. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi on a landslide. Nassarawa will be very very Narrow for any winner. Plateaue and Benue will be narrow as well due to Peter Obi. Overall Tinubu will win NC.

Tinubu will score like. 13.5m- 16.5m. Atiku 9-12m. Peter Obi 2.5-3.5m. Kwankwaso 2.5- 3.0m.

Between SE, SS and NC Obi will get more than 3.5M

Atiku is stronger than you are giving him credit for, He is in PDP the oldest party in Nigeria at the moment with deep roots all over Nigeria. Every corner of Nigeria PDP has a ward leader and structure. Buhari with all his popularity and incumbency barely beat Atiku by 4m votes in 2019
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by CapitalCee(m): 1:14am On Oct 13, 2022
raumdeuter:


Between SE, SS and NC Obi will get more than 3.5M

Atiku is stronger than you are giving him credit for, He is in PDP the oldest party in Nigeria at the moment with deep roots all over Nigeria. Every corner of Nigeria PDP has a ward leader and structure. Buhari with all his popularity and incumbency barely beat Atiku by 4m votes in 2019


Obi will not score more than 500k votes in NC. Where will he get the votes? He cant muster 50k votes from Kogi/Niger /Kwara combined. He wont score more than 100k in any of each of Benue, Plateau and Nassarawa. He wont score more 1million votes in the SS. The total vote cast in the SE will not exceed 1.5m votes. 500k per state is a big big stretch in the SE.
So where is the more than 3.5m going to come from.

Infact Note this, peter will not score up to 100k votes in the entire NE/NW.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by GeneralPula: 2:09am On Oct 13, 2022
CapitalCee:


Atiku will only win Taraba and Adamawa very Narrowly, he will lose very woefully in Borno and yobe, the 2 states can give APC up to 1.5m votes margin. Bauchi and Gombe will be a toss up. Atiku will lose NE in general.

APC will win Katsina, Kano and Zamfara sure banker. Atiku will win Kebbi and Sokoto. Jigawa and Kaduna are toss up. Even if Atiku wins NW he cant come out with any good margin. I see Tinibu Narrowly edging NE/NW.

In Northcentral. Obi's candidacy is doing a lot of damage to Atiku. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi on a landslide. Nassarawa will be very very Narrow for any winner. Plateaue and Benue will be narrow as well due to Peter Obi. Overall Tinubu will win NC.

Tinubu will score like. 13.5m- 16.5m. Atiku 9-12m. Peter Obi 2.5-3.5m. Kwankwaso 2.5- 3.0m.
This is somebody that knows whatsup.

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by huptin(m): 4:58am On Oct 13, 2022
lhordspy:
Obi 38% in lagos? .. You kidding me right?

Lagos state as a voter's registration of 7million and expected voters turnout of atleast 5million atleast.

So mathematically, you are trying to tell me OBI will have over 2million votes in Lagos, where you also stated that Atiku will be having 10% Which is like 500,000?


Lol. This is joke right? Atiku 500,000 then obi 2million.

During the 2019 presidential election, total voter turnout was less than two million in Lagos, in 2023, it won't be much higher.


Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Abdu81: 5:16am On Oct 13, 2022
CapitalCee:


Atiku will only win Taraba and Adamawa very Narrowly, he will lose very woefully in Borno and yobe, the 2 states can give APC up to 1.5m votes margin. Bauchi and Gombe will be a toss up. Atiku will lose NE in general.

APC will win Katsina, Kano and Zamfara sure banker. Atiku will win Kebbi and Sokoto. Jigawa and Kaduna are toss up. Even if Atiku wins NW he cant come out with any good margin. I see Tinibu Narrowly edging NE/NW.

In Northcentral. Obi's candidacy is doing a lot of damage to Atiku. APC will win Niger, Kwara and Kogi on a landslide. Nassarawa will be very very Narrow for any winner. Plateaue and Benue will be narrow as well due to Peter Obi. Overall Tinubu will win NC.

Tinubu will score like. 13.5m- 16.5m. Atiku 9-12m. Peter Obi 2.5-3.5m. Kwankwaso 2.5- 3.0m.

Your madness is just starting.

Tinubu will get16 million votes?
Atiku 9 million ?
Kwankwaso 2.5 million?
Obi's should be like 100 votes.


The Yoruba will vote tinubu because of tribe? Good,but the north will vote for party not tribe, thanks, please tell more of madness, fools parading.

This is the tinubu that everyone in Nigeria will vote for,this man?

Who in the north or south do not know that tinubu is very corrupt and seriously sick,who?
Delusional soul.

When illerates voters forgets tinubu's name they describe him as the sick candidate, this I have seen in many occasions, and you are here dreaming rubbish.

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by kufreabasi86191: 7:20am On Oct 13, 2022
The happenings in the past 5 months in Labour Party is abnormal. Don't compare this with last election cycle. A lot of free thinkers voting on their own now and not being controlled by a crowd.The happenings in the past 5 months in Labour Party is abnormal. Don't compare this with last election cycle. A lot of free thinkers voting on their own now and not being controlled by a crowd....

2 Likes

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by TookDownYourMum: 11:03am On Oct 13, 2022
Where the hell are all of you lot basing your stats on? Sounds like a lot of guessing.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by garfield1: 11:10am On Oct 13, 2022
raumdeuter:


Between SE, SS and NC Obi will get more than 3.5M

Atiku is stronger than you are giving him credit for, He is in PDP the oldest party in Nigeria at the moment with deep roots all over Nigeria. Every corner of Nigeria PDP has a ward leader and structure. Buhari with all his popularity and incumbency barely beat Atiku by 4m votes in 2019


4 million is a lot of votes oh.you know it was 2.8 million in 2015.the gap keeps increasing
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Workch: 11:14am On Oct 13, 2022
Lol, Peter Obi will come second in southwest.

E sure die
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Perfectbeing(m): 11:25am On Oct 13, 2022
successmatters:


Lagos has an educated, young population who knows that the money Atiku stole is enough to feed 400 million Nigerians for 300 years - Obasanjo.
And educated/literate person will know that amount is just a blatant exaggeration by Obj.

If 400 million people spends as low as N500 a day to feed for 300 years, that's about N60 trillion.
Nigeria budget from 1999 to 2007 was less than N7trillion.

So there's no way Atiku would steal almost times 10 of Nigeria's 8 years budget..

If that happened, the Obj should be the world dumbest President for that to happen under his watch.

An educated person should learn how to think for himself and not accept very figure he sees.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by CapitalCee(m): 7:43am On Oct 14, 2022
Abdu81:


Your madness is just starting.

Tinubu will get16 million votes?
Atiku 9 million ?
Kwankwaso 2.5 million?
Obi's should be like 100 votes.


The Yoruba will vote tinubu because of tribe? Good,but the north will vote for party not tribe, thanks, please tell more of madness, fools parading.

This is the tinubu that everyone in Nigeria will vote for,this man?

Who in the north or south do not know that tinubu is very corrupt and seriously sick,who?
Delusional soul.

When illerates voters forgets tinubu's name they describe him as the sick candidate, this I have seen in many occasions, and you are here dreaming rubbish.

You must be a steewpeed id.eeot. so if you have sencse you will know that Yobe and Borno are predominantly Kanuris, People from Nassarawa, Kogi, Kwara, and Niger are they fulani too? You speak like and IPi.iob miscreant.

1 Like

Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by sreamsense: 8:30am On Oct 14, 2022
Wrong prediction! Tinubu will get more than 60% in South west in 2023. South west sees Tinubu as their own that must be rallied round instead of having bias opinion about buhari then. Tinubu will get between 78-85%, only few people in South west will vote for PDP at presidential level. Expectation of PDP is only from Oyo, but in this case that Tinubu is involved, Oyo can only vote for PDP at governorship level, but vote for Tinubu at presidential level.

You will also be surprised that Osun will vote massively for Tinubu and not PDP at presidential level because they only wanted change of governorship then and not because of hate of Tinubu. However, obi can't get up to 15% from any south west states. Looking at last LP in Osun state, he got 3000 votes, highest this it can increase to is to get 10,000 votes. How can that translate to 15%? You can't rule out a bit of tribalism sentiment from this election no matter how you look at it. Tinubu is very popular in South west for good course, thy are the one he ruled, they know his impact in Lagos politics. Any good or bad governance in Lagos State will affect other south west directly or indirectly.

No matter how other regions Tinubu did not rule painted bad image of him, it will not work because people he ruled felt his contribution. They are known to always United together when it comes to good course. Tinubu is a good course to south west, PDP and LP can't have much negative impact in voting for Tinubu in South west in 2023
Re: Presidential Election Percentages For Southwest by Ahmedie28(m): 9:26am On Oct 14, 2022
Obi in ballot has make victory easy for Tinubu,

1 Like

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