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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Foreign Affairs / As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out (701 Views)
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As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 9:11pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
These days people in Russia do not have much to boast about—so they take what they can get. Social-media trolls are posting videos, intended for European audiences, showing gas stoves left on full blast for days on end. What might cost hundreds of euros in Berlin or Paris this winter costs a few roubles in Moscow. The taunting may be childish, but it hints at a deeper truth: that the economic war between Russia and the West is at a delicate moment. While Europe teeters on the brink of a deep recession, the economic situation in Russia is improving. Western sanctions, launched in response to Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in February, have wounded Russia’s long-term economic prospects. Blocking the world’s ninth-largest economy from accessing foreign technology and expertise has cut its growth potential by as much as half, forecasts suggest. Output of oil and gas, the lifeblood of the Russian economy, is about 3% lower than it was before the invasion and may fall further once European embargoes come into effect at the turn of the year. In the first six months of the war somewhere in the region of 250,000 to 500,000 Russians fled the country, reckons Liam Peach of Capital Economics, a consultancy. Lots were highly educated and well paid. Mr Putin’s recent decision to launch a partial mobilisation has dealt a further economic blow. It provoked a mini-bank run as people once again worried about the future of the country. By our estimates Russians pulled out $14bn-worth of rouble deposits in September, about a third as much as in February. Another 300,000 or so Russians have probably fled. A further reduction in the labour force is worsening worker shortages, compounding Russia’s inflation problem. Headline inflation is sharply down from its peak, but price pressure in the labour-intensive services sector is getting worse. Despite these difficulties, the recession has probably now come to an end. Many people doubt official gdp data, but it is possible to get a sense of activity from a range of sources. Goldman Sachs, a bank, produces a “current-activity indicator”, which suggests how economies are doing from month to month. The data indicate that Russian activity is quite a bit livelier than it is in big European countries (see chart). A spending measure produced by Sberbank, another bank, wobbled following the mobilisation decree but has since edged back up. Output in the car industry, which a few months ago had practically fallen to zero, has also bounced back, suggesting that producers have managed to source supplies from outside the West. In dollar terms Russia’s monthly goods imports now almost certainly exceed last year’s average. In its latest forecasts, published on October 11th, the IMF upgraded Russia’s economic prospects for this year. In April it thought that Russian gdp would fall by 8.5%. It now expects a decline of 3.4%. This is nothing to gloat about, but it is manageable. Indeed, the economic data suggest that Russia will be able to keep fighting. In late September the government put out a draft budget for 2023 to 2025. According to Elina Ribakova of the Institute of International Finance, an industry group, the budget implies large increases in war-related spending in the coming years—particularly on internal “security”. Having avoided economic collapse, Mr Putin expects to double down, both abroad and at home. ■ Source: https://www economist com/finance-and-economics/2022/10/11/as-europe-falls-into-recession-russia-climbs-out 3 Likes 1 Share
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 9:15pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
Where are those “hungry kids” “western slaves”, gloating about their almighty USA sanction on Russia. In another news, USA is expected to slide into slight recession in 6/9months time. I’d look for the source and add later. Nah you sanction russia but na you Dey feel the pain most, and winter is still coming o Russia is naturally blessed and will overcome any challenges, no be today, and it won’t stop. Y’all western slaves you’re allowed to wail here as usual. Kindly, donate una tears here 5 Likes 1 Share
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 9:22pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
Russia currently run heaven and earth 2 Likes 1 Share
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 9:28pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
This is how the comedian run most of his videos, alaye Dey inside bunker Dey use green screen… another Hollywood movie Central kyiv indeed 5 Likes 1 Share
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Konquest: 9:58pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
Teaser4:Insights. 4 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by DerrickzB: 10:21pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
This man na comedian true true This comrade no wise oo 5 Likes 2 Shares
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 11:55pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
Neighboring countries did not support the UN anti-Russian resolution condemning referendums. Exceptions: Ukraine, Moldova, Georgia and the Baltic States. Belarus voted against. Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan abstained. Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan did not vote. Also among the abstainers are China, India, South Africa, Cuba, Pakistan, Thailand, Vietnam, Mongolia and other countries. Once again the West stand alone
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 11:58pm On Oct 12, 2022 |
As usual US the pressure cooker
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 12:01am On Oct 13, 2022 |
The set of EU leaders are the most clueless in history , no cap, expect Victor Orban , na only that wan have a functioning brain, others na sheeple Winter is almost here
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 10:55am On Oct 13, 2022 |
This is why White House dey vex 4 Saudi ….
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Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Owen247: 1:26pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
Teaser4: victor and vucic [hungray and serbian presidents] are jointly building gaslines from russia to their respective countries speedly. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 2:15pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
Owen247:I saw the news too, I no dey rate the Serbian president yet, he still Dey flip flop but you see Victor no just send, since he was re-elected, wey dem try comot, he has been fearless since then… I like leaders with balls not puppets 2 Likes |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Owen247: 2:31pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
Teaser4: i must say, if with the economic power and co? Victor go stand more than gallant against puppet makers. hope ur seeing what eu is doing to hungray just because victor refused to join their herd of sanctions against russia, is what eu doing not still against the democracy that they are preaching about? Hypocrits! well true sha, sometimes vucic dey fluntuate like nepa. 3 Likes |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 3:00pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
Owen247:don’t mind em bro, dem be hypocrites 2 Likes |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by rottennaija(m): 3:46pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
Teaser4: They are becoming so emotional now. They never believe Russia will bring in their sledge hammer. The 300k reserve are not yet brought in. Ukraine will understand why the whole world went to war against Nazis 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: As Europe Falls Into Recession, Russia Climbs Out by Teaser4(m): 9:29pm On Oct 13, 2022 |
rottennaija:The shelling is going on nonstop, I thought it was a day thing, but I’m loving this….dem never see anything yet…. 2 Likes 2 Shares |
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