slivertongue:


I know you love APC but down here APC is the worst thing to happen to the North since Independence. Nobody here care about party but individuals. Buhari's govt has fractured the North in all aspect. Sadly Tinubu won't win the North though popular.

garfield1:


He doesn't need to win the north,a narrow loss is ok

princdebola201:
werey you never stack up Naira first, you dey ask of dollars

Suffer no dey tire you?

slivertongue:

Of course he can 25 - 35% in some states especially those with negligible Christian population. But the larger share of Muslim and Christian votes are going to LP and PDP.

garfield1:


No sir.lp can only get votes in parts of nc like benue,plateau, kogi...hardcore Muslims dont like atiku,they prefer kwankwaso and will tilt towards a Muslim Muslim ticket.the best atiku can get is in Adamawa.taraba is uncertain for him with bwacga in play

slivertongue:



Sad you are not one of us so you can't relate with the sentiments and realities at the grassroot . The way you write makes me doubt you are from CRS. No politician of Northern region has Atiku's reach, none. Kwankwaso, Shettima, Sheriff, Goje, Ganduje, El Rufia, Namadi etc.


All your previous permutations on PDP primaries failed now you are making bogus submissions. Atiku is the most preferred in the Muslim North followed by Tinubu, Obi is the most preferred in the Christian North followed by Atiku. I have told you times without number that we see Tinubu as a continuation of Buhari and ain't gonna repeat a tragedy a second time under any guise but you keep giving yourself false hopes. Why not bother same in the South.

garfield1:


How many permutations about pdp have I gotten wrong? Did I not tell you in 2019 that atiku will lose woefully up north?
This thing is beyond reach but popularity.those that have always won the core north have similar traits from ahmadu bello to buhari.the closest is kwankwaso not atiku.atiku can win the north but he cannot sweep the north like buhari.infact,tinubu has more reach in the north than atiku. Tinubu has nurtured his alliances up north since 2007 while atiku does so during elections.atiku is not popular among the talakawas.if he is not careful,tinubu will win him....pdp is so weak in some states that atiku votes might be suppressed

slivertongue:



A Southerner says it's not all about reach and not popularity yet doesn't he know both are same. Buhari couldn't sweep the North until all northern hands were on deck in 2015. In 2019 he experienced a rebellion and 2023 I'll be a hurricane. Atiku has been on ground since 1991 compared Tinubu's 2007. Kwankwaso is an Aminu Kano. Tinubu is considered not to have anything to offer the talakawas and NIGERIANS if he he had he would offered it to Buhari to better the chances of his party.
Ask any northerner, 2023 is about the capacity of individuals not party or SAK neither is anyone inheriting popularity or votes.

Indispensable85:
The woman just empty PDP. Lol

garfield1:


Atiku has been on ground since 1999 yet buhari who joined politics recently disgraced him twice.take note that atiku has been on ground among the elites not the talakawas or grassroots like kwankwaso. Some of these elites cannot win their units for him while tinubu always befriends grassrooted politicians in every northern state.
Except in 2007,buhari has been sweeping the core north.inspite of the rebellion in 2019,he still swept.the defection so far this time is not up to the 2019 level so he cannot sweep anywhere plus kwankwaso is in play...there is no sak anywhere.the north is divided.everyman for himself which will favour who has the strongest resources while atiku is running out of funds

slivertongue:



Your fatal idealism ain't allowing you read your own comments and see the contradictions in them. Stop holding on to straw by drawing in Kwankwaso because in your thoughts you think he can garner more votes than Atiku. Kwankwaso was voted out despite the spirited efforts of obj & Atiku but courtesy of Gej he found his way back to power. First you know very little about grassroot politics in the North, you think it's all about your southern style of dashing out money - transactional politics. Second you have very little understanding of the concept of Talakawas in Northern politics. Third the elites have a loose connect to talakawas and that explains why Buhari failed until they came to his rescue. Fourth the North don't hero worship politicians especially at their expense but tried it Buhari and the whole North is now more backward than at Independence.



Your hope that the PDP governors will stop Atiku failed now you are hoping on Kwankwaso to garner more votes. What has been the gain of the talakawas under Buhari to warrant them the repeat APC? SAK means top to bottom. Ain't it laughable that you think Tinubu's resources is more that of Atiku.

garfield1:


She went with all the 14 LGA women leaders in one fell swoop.can you imagine? At least half of pdp women have joined apc