From what is on ground today,. Obi seems to be more popular in the South and in extension to the north.

Obi currently control the South East and South South regions with tremendous inroads to North Central in states like Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, and Abuja.

Again, he's has also made inroads in Taraba, Gombe Adamawa and Kaduna.

However, Tinubu only control SW, but not with high degree in states like Osun, Lagos and Oyo.

The north has understand this and may likely adopt Atiku to ensure they remain in power

100 Tinubu cannot stop 1 Atuku

No. Tinubu should stay in the ballot and divide northern Muslim votes. That will increase the chances of obi faster. Many Yorubas especially Christians won't vote Tinubu because of his MMT and other reasons. He should stay in the ballot.

sanusideunifier:
No. Tinubu should stay in the ballot and divide northern Muslim votes. That will increase the chances of obi faster. Many Yorubas especially Christians won't vote Tinubu because of his MMT and other reasons. He should stay in the ballot.

Tinubu may be disqualified.

joyandfaith:


Tinubu may be disqualified.

That's better.

joyandfaith:


Tinubu may be disqualified.

Over what ground?

wasiubello:

Over what ground?

Certificates forgery.

Tinubu's withdrawal can't help Peter Obi in any way. Tinubu is already massively unpopular in the SS, SE, and parts of SW & NC. These are regions where Peter Obi is popular.

However, with APC structures and bullion vans, he can snatch significant votes from NW and NE. These areas would mostly go to Atiku if Tinubu is not on the ballot. So, let him contest even though we know he isn't going anywhere.

Move this to joke section

The south is more educated than north.
Ss/se and most Yoruba Christians won't vote for an assassin, ritualisst,thieff,drug dealer,Stark illiterate and corruptt man.
Obi as has been confirmed by the elders in ss/se and sw plus middle belt is winning these hands down.
The sick drug lord can continue selling his cocaine

Yeye dey smell.

wasiubello:
From what is on ground today,. Obi seems to be more popular in the South and in extension to the north.

Obi currently control the South East and South South regions with tremendous inroads to North Central in states like Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, and Abuja.

Again, he's has also made inroads in Taraba, Gombe Adamawa and Kaduna.

However, Tinubu only control SW, but not with high degree in states like Osun, Lagos and Oyo.

The north has understand this and may likely adopt Atiku to ensure they remain in power

u igbos n deciet

So a man who moves around with over 20 governors is who u igbos believe u can toy with right?

Even d governor of obi state won’t even vote for him n I believe u heard when imo traders contributed 1bn for tinubu

U can see that they put their money where their mouth is,many of u only disturb us with obi noise but can’t put your 5 naira cos u know he can’t win

God bless Peter obi for contesting at least he will destroy atiku election base

BATified2023:
u igbos n deciet

So a man who moves around with over 20 governors is who u igbos believe u can toy with right?

Even d governor of obi state won’t even vote for him n I believe u heard when imo traders contributed 1bn for tinubu

U can see that they put their money where their mouth is,many of u only disturb us with obi noise but can’t put your 5 naira cos u know he can’t win

God bless Peter obi for contesting at least he will destroy atiku election base

You are analyzing using the old methods. Wake up and upgrade

BATified2023:
u igbos n deciet

So a man who moves around with over 20 governors is who u igbos believe u can toy with right?

Even d governor of obi state won’t even vote for him n I believe u heard when imo traders contributed 1bn for tinubu

U can see that they put their money where their mouth is,many of u only disturb us with obi noise but can’t put your 5 naira cos u know he can’t win

God bless Peter obi for contesting at least he will destroy atiku election base

Obi is destroying Atiku's vote but nobody is destroying Tinubu's votes right ?
So everybody that voted for Buhari will vote for Tinubu right including KWANKWASO and even Atiku that voted Buhari in 2015 abi?

In FACT Tinubu Will inherit Buhari's block votes..

Smh ..

Now listen to me...

The people of SE, SS,SW and NC are too exposed to be influenced by politicians irrespective of the political parties involved . They know their left and right when it comes to voting for a right candidate during election ..

This is the more reasons why some unpopular/unknown political parties are controlling some positions at the National Assembly apart from PDP and APC, even though some of them defected to bigger parties after election. What this means is that these four regions have an independent minds of their own

But this not applicable in the NE and NW where they are heavily influenced by Tribal and religious affiliations.. Even PDP was controlling Kastina state and other NE and NW ststes till 2015... The then PDP governors couldn't deliver their states, it was a total swap of goverment..
Nat chairman of then PDP Adamu Muazu couldn't deliver his Bauchi state too..

Stop hoping and be hiding your candidate in structure because in the SE, SS, SW and MB no candidate would be saved by structure but personality during this presidential election. Then in NE and NW, tribal and religious affiliations have a lot of role to play

Many southerners are voting all parties at different levels during General election..

Some of us are voting..
PDP at house assembly level
APC at Reps level
PDP at Senate level
APGA at Governorship level
Labour Party at presidential level..


Stop waiting for 1 billion A PC governors to help you..

wasiubello:
From what is on ground today,. Obi seems to be more popular in the South and in extension to the north.

Obi currently control the South East and South South regions with tremendous inroads to North Central in states like Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, and Abuja.

Again, he's has also made inroads in Taraba, Gombe Adamawa and Kaduna.

However, Tinubu only control SW, but not with high degree in states like Osun, Lagos and Oyo.

The north has understand this and may likely adopt Atiku to ensure they remain in power

I don't think it is a good idea.

Tinubu is sick and empty

He should step down for people with something upstairs

Supported.

agadez007:
Tinubu is sick and empty

He should step down for people with something upstairs

This I'm my point

wasiubello:
From what is on ground today,. Obi seems to be more popular in the South and in extension to the north.

Obi currently control the South East and South South regions with tremendous inroads to North Central in states like Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, and Abuja.

Again, he's has also made inroads in Taraba, Gombe Adamawa and Kaduna.

However, Tinubu only control SW, but not with high degree in states like Osun, Lagos and Oyo.

The north has understand this and may likely adopt Atiku to ensure they remain in power

You're a leaner. Obi popularity is even bigger in Kano, Katsina, Yobe and Jigaway. Obi is tied with Atiku in Adamawa.

Arindin

We need him on the ballot he is a comic relief. Can't wait for the next APC rally.

XerXers:

You are analyzing using the old methods. Wake up and upgrade

He is in 2015. PDP had more governors and still lost

Ddokie:


I don't think it is a good idea.

SECONDED

I have a Done a step down permutations and here is how it goes

1 If PO steps down for Tinubu , Atiku Wins Ina landslide

2 If Tinubu steps down for PO , Atiku wins

3. If Atiku steps down for Tinubu , Tinubu wins

4. If Atiku steps down for PO Tinubu wins

5. If PO Steps down for Atiku , Atiku wins big

FarahAideed:
I have a Done a step down permutations and here is how it goes

1 If PO steps down for Tinubu , Atiku Wins Ina landslide

2 If Tinubu steps down for PO , Atiku wins

3. If Atiku steps down for Tinubu , Tinubu wins

4. If Atiku steps down for PO Tinubu wins

5. If PO Steps down for Atiku , Atiku wins big

Head or tail, Peter Obi is a loser

agadez007:
Tinubu is sick and empty

He should step down for people with something upstairs

Lol

ALTERNATEID:


Head or tail, Peter Obi is a loser

The fact is that there is no path to Victory for him

wasiubello:

Lol

yes na

If Peter Obi win two states outside South East in this election, I will count myself as political ignorance and will never discuss politics anymore for a longtime

Obi can't make much in-road in the north due to tribal politics.

That's a possibility but considering that it will not likely happen,

Tinubu, Kwankwaso, and Atiku should stay in the race, nobody should step down for the other.

If Tinubu steps down, Atiku will take over the north because Kwankwaso doesn't have enough spread

If Kwankwaso steps down, Atiku will also cover more grounds in Kano and surrounding cities

So to ensure that none of the 4 top contestants win the needed 25% to be declared winner, everyone should stay in the race and campaign vigorously like they want to win it. This will ensure that we head to a run-off likely between Peter Obi and Atiku

A run-off is Peter Obi's best chance of winning the election, because he will only need majority votes to win

PS: In the event that Tinubu goes to a run-off with Atiku, he should better drop his muslim-muslim ticket if he ever wants southern support, I will NEVER support a muslim-muslim ticket, NEVER. When the armed herdsmen invasion of communities, ethnic clashes and non-action from government become a thing of the past, then we can revisit the conversation