1. Crowd at campaign ground:s
While this is understandably used by politicians to brag, it doesn’t in anyway give a clue as to whether they will win or not.
As a matter of fact, many of the crowd that will appear at the campaign ground won’t vote for them. It’s fact, using this to judging can be misleading.

2. Governors:
While I think governors are still very influential, however the BVAS technology means that even a sitting governor has limited power to win his state for himself if he rigged without being tracked.
The only thing these governors can do is to mobilize for vote buying, which will not really have necessarily mean that the best buyer will win if the people of the state don’t like the candidate they are buying for. This can only give that candidate few more votes.
You cannot buy a whole state with BVAS presence.

3. Ignoring preelection polls:
Do this at your peril, they work. They give an idea of the trajectory of people’s sentiment.
Buhari won ANAP preelection polls in 2015 and 2019.

Let support Tinubu to redeem Nigeria

A crowd organically garnerd translate to 90% vote but rented crowd can only transfer to 3% vote.

Vote wisely