misano:



I don't understand how you guys calculate. Are you calculating their weight or what? How can Ayiri in my state secure 25% vote for Tinubu in Delta? I don't understand o. You guys are holding on to impossible things. Just say Tinubu will get 25%, but adding Ayiri as the person that will give Tinubu 25% is impossible.

How did David Lion made Bayelsa to vote him as APC candidate?

He does not need to win 2 more states in the SE/SS, if he does fine, but if not it is ok. The wike camp alignment if it works this month can lead him to win 2 states in the SS.

He will win all 6 southwest states and at least 9 out of the 19 northern states. That is a total of 15 states at least.

PDP still remains his immediate rival, and the margin of win for APC over PDP will be wider than last election in the SW.

9 states in the North he will win (Borno, Yobe, Zamfara, Kwara, Kogi, Katsina, Kebbi, Gombe and Niger)

6 states in the North he may win (Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Benue , Plateau and Nassarawa )

4 states in the North he will lose (Sokoto, Bauchi, Adamawa and Taraba ,fct )

By region SW - 62% SS- 23% SE - 12% NW- 42% NE-40% NC- 45%

It is a 3 horse race as things stands i must confess, but only the first 2 (APC and PDP) has a realistic chance of winning.

33% of the total southern votes and over 40% of the Northern votes will be sufficient

chinchum:
He does not need to win 2 more states in the SE/SS, if he does fine, but if not it is ok. The wike camp alignment if it works this month can lead to him to win 2 states in the SS.

He will win all 6 southwest states and at least 9 out of the 19 northern states. That is a total of 15 states at least.

PDP still remains his immediate rival, and the margin of win for APC over PDP will be wider than last election in the SW.

9 states in the North he will win (Borno, Yobe, Zamfara, Kwara, Kogi, Katsina, Kebbi, Gombe and Niger)

6 states in the North he may win (Kaduna, Kano, Jigawa, Benue , Plateau and Nassarawa +fct)

4 states in the North he will lose (Sokoto, Bauchi, Adamawa and Taraba )

By region SW - 62% SS- 23% SE - 12% NW- 42% NE-40% NC- 45%

It is a 3 horse race as things stands i must confess, but only the first 2 (APC and PDP) has a realistic chance of winning.

33% of the total southern votes and over 40% of the Northern votes will be sufficient

Good submission

Ttalk:


I take back any words that look like insult to you. However many of your peoples points here are insults to a true SSner

You know the truth is, whoever wins this election will not remember either you or me individually. The best we can hope is that a man who will formulate policies that positively affect us and our friends and family wins.

I don't even live in Nigeria, therefore have no real dog in this race. All I wish is the best for my people, Nigerians, and that includes you and me.

The only states Tinubu can win in southern Nigeria is ogun, Osun, Ekiti and Ondo.

Know this and know peace

Ttalk:


How did David Lion made Bayelsa to vote him as APC candidate?

Because David Lyon is supporting Tinubu you think he has the might to dictate to others. I don't know how SW plays politics o. But your politics is different from the politics in SS and SE that's why APC still can't win any SS or SE state on election day.

Fingers crossed. But the way I see it. BAT will get 2 more states in the south outside SW.

Buccalcavity2:
Fingers crossed. But the way I see it. BAT will get 2 more states in the south outside SW.

That is the focus, it is achievable

misano:


Because David Lyon is supporting Tinubu you think he has the might to dictate to others. I don't know how SW plays politics o. But your politics is different from the politics in SS and SE that's why APC still can't win any SS or SE state on election day.

If personality doesn't matter according to you, how come David Lion was able to penetrate Bayelsa electorate who are PDP?

Ttalk:


If personality doesn't matter according to you, how come David Lion was able to penetrate Bayelsa electorate who are PDP?

Because Pdp was disunited and Jonathan was angry with Pdp for not fielding Timi Alaibe. I don't know how you are comparing Tinubu with David Lyon.Tinubu that worked against SS and Jonathan in 2015. You think SS are fools.Same Edo that is headquarter of Obidient movement is what you are saying Edo always vote along with yorubas.Keep dreaming

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Because Pdp was disunited and Jonathan was angry with Pdp for not fielding Timi Alaibe. I don't know how you are comparing Tinubu with David Lyon.Tinubu that worked against SS and Jonathan in 2015. You think SS are fools.Same Edo that is headquarter of Obidient movement is what you are saying Edo always vote along with yorubas. Keep dreaming

Your guy said personality doesn't matter that's what brought about the issue of David Lion, despite all odds was able to pull off such a feat in Bayelsa a PDP state.

Are you saying there is no division in PDP and LP with Wike and his 5governor pressing Atiku's neck while LP is embroiled in corruption with the fight going on in the top echelon of the party hierarchy.

APC has 22 governors and personalities across all regions of the country, these are people and structures that matter during the election.

Tinubu is the candidate to beat in 2023, the earlier you accept the reality the better for you

Did you do your research before posting this?Na the Edo wen I dey you dey talk about or another one? I'm asking because even Auchi people that use to give APC votes in Edo most of them are now OBIdients (even strong Muslim believers here have confirmed this to me). The Benin people constitute about 50 - 65% electoral strength in Edo & have always voted PDP and the current governor (A PDP governor) has told us every household now, including his own, has an OBIdient member

Ttalk:

...Traditionally Edo state has been voting alongside SW party for so many reasons and since those factors are still accessible, it is possible for Tinubu to penetrate Edo South and Central to complement Edo north that is already in the kitty of APC

Ttalk:


If personality doesn't matter according to you, how come David Lion was able to penetrate Bayelsa electorate who are PDP?

In the South South and South East, a good performing politician naturally can't influence the people's votes. Akpabio a good man couldn't win Udom, Oshiomole a good man couldn't win Obaseki, Igbinedion a strong politician couldn't win Oshiomole, Ogboru couldn't beat Udugahn. That's how politics in South South works. Listen Lyon supporters will not vote Tinubu because of Lyon. Understand that logic, maybe when APC understand that politics they will be able to win one state in SS or SE. If they don't learn that they will keep failing.

It is getting clearer that Tinubu would win more than 6 SW in the South if you know you know