Ahead of the forthcoming 2023 governorship elections, a recent Statewide opinion poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOIPolls Limited was concluded in October 2022. The Poll revealed a substantially close race between Abba Kabir Yusuf of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) and Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna of the All Progressives Congress (APC),with an 18-point gap between the pair and other candidates.
The results showed a significant lead for Abba Kabir Yusuf with 29% of voters proposing to vote for him if the governorship election were to be conducted today; and 21% proposing to vote for Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna of the APC who fell in second place. Mohammed Sadiq Wali of the PDP was a distant third with only 3% of voters proposing to vote for him.

Abba Kabir Yusuf’s 9%-point lead at this early stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him completely from his main challenger as the top 3 candidates scored 29%, 21% and 3%.

Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 30% and 11% respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 35% of women are undecided versus 22% of male voters.

Poll Question: Suppose the governorship election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for?



Total (%)

Senatorial Districts

Poll

Ranking

Kano North

Kano Central

Kano South

Abba Kabir Yusuf (NNPP)

29%

28%

29%

26%

1st

Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna (APC)

21%

21%

18%

25%

2nd

Mohammed Sadiq Wali (PDP)

3%

4%

3%

1%

3rd

Sha’aban Ibrahim Sharada (ADP)

2%

2%

2%

3%

4th

Others

3%

4%

6%

3%



Undecided

30%

29%

29%

30%



None

1%

1%

1%

1%



Refused

11%

11%

12%

11%



Total

100









Source: NOIPolls – End October 2022



The percentage of registered voters is as follows in each of the districts - 88% in Kano South, 92% in Kano Central, and 93% in Kano North.

When asked if respondents were aware of the various candidates vying for Governorship, data gathered showed that 85% of the respondents were aware of Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna of the APC, 82% were aware of Abba Kabir Yusuf of the NNPP, 67% were aware of Mohammed Sadiq Wali of PDP and 62% were aware of Sha’aban Ibrahim Sharada of the ADP. All other candidates scored below 50% in terms of name recognition.

Furthermore, the data summarizes top four reasons why voters are more inclined to vote in in the forthcoming elections, these include: - Continuity of Educational Policy (26%), Infrastructure (21%), Insecurity (16%) and Unemployment (11%) amongst others.

31% of the respondents would love to see their preferred governorship candidates participate in a televised interview and/or debate, with the interview/debates spanning across topics like their party manifestos, personality recognition and competence check amongst others.

It is worthy of note that 71% of those aged 18-25, 85% of those aged 26-35, 85% of those aged 36-45, 82% of those aged 46-60 and 82% of those aged 61+ responded they would definitely vote in the coming elections. The age groups that expressed the greatest willingness to vote were those between 26-35 years and 36-45 years.

The Poll shows that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next governorship election. If they stay committed then we could witness a huge turnout in the March 2023 Governorship elections.

While this Governorship Poll result shows some significant trends, it is key to note that the battle ahead lies with the undecided/swing voters as they would ultimately decide which candidate emerges as Governor of Kano State in the 2023 governorship elections.

In summary, our October 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner as the undecided voters are enough to turn the tables. However, Anap Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front runners and so our subsequent polls will concentrate on the 2 leading candidates only.

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.anapfoundation.com/press-releases/kano-abba-kabir-yusuf-of-nnpp-has-an-early-lead-in-a-2-horse-race&ved=2ahUKEwiyk5DhtJ78AhXF9bsIHRbkCx8QFnoECA4QAQ&usg=AOvVaw0NJkaznWZrquTQRmxGD4Xl

This is December not October.

KANO north is APC strong hold. This ANAP poll is rubbish

frank14011991:
KANO north is APC strong hold. This ANAP poll is rubbish

Keep joking around you hear!

BlazinGlory40:


Keep joking around you hear!

Where will PDAPC get this block votes in kano

Crude madness

BlazinGlory40:


Keep joking around you hear!

Mr man Ganduje won both kano north and kano south in 2019, kano Central was won by Abba kabir. KANO Central is highly populated that is why he pulled that much votes

frank14011991:
KANO north is APC strong hold. This ANAP poll is rubbish

. A pc has no stronghold in kano

julaion:

Where will PDAPC get this block votes in kano

they just can't get it in kano

frank14011991:
Mr man Ganduje won both kano north and kano south in 2019, kano Central was won by Abba kabir. KANO Central is highly populated that is why he pulled that much votes

This is 2022!
Get sense, you no gree

frank14011991:
Mr man Ganduje won both kano north and kano south in 2019, kano Central was won by Abba kabir. KANO Central is highly populated that is why he pulled that much votes

Like I said, keep joking around.

BlazinGlory40:


Like I said, keep joking around.

sorry nyamuri

frank14011991:
sorry nyamuri

urchins your drug lord can never be president