My predictions for the 2023 Elections considering ALL NIGERIAN factors:

1. Past elections (since 2003)
2. Religious & Ethnic Demography (by State)
3. Ipob, Oduduwa, Bandits
4. Rigging & Inec Duress
5. 2023 Turnout Interest or Apathy

TurnOut: 30 million or 33%

LP: 18.3 million
PDP: 4.40 million
APC: 7.6 million

* The distribution of APC and PDP might be inaccurate. But their total likely the same. How they share themselves isn't my business.

2. 2011 Election results. Notice Sokoto, Gombe, Kano, Borno... Northerners are not what you think. They don't reject good Christian market.

3. Update:
Ortom endorses Obi (Jan 3, 2023)
Edwin Clark endorses Obi (Jan 3, 2023) - Vanguard

This is closer to reality than what Dr tilde put forward

This is closer to the Truth considering what is on ground!
Let the best happen

kettykin:
This is closer to reality than what Dr tilde put forward

Obi having 100k in borno?

Donwilson88:
This is closer to the Truth considering what is on ground!
Let the best happen

Obi will win ondo?

This is new madness

The same vision I see!

God have mercy on our Nyamirin Zombipigs


This is clear sign of frustration

What more can I say about this

garfield1:


Obi having 100k in borno?

100k is even a very modest estimate, from old Gra in Maiduguri to mashmari to pompomari, customs, railway,post office, I can count more than a hundred thousand obidients, if you now include Askira uba down towards Gwoza , Obi might get more than 200,000 votes if the election is free and fair .

Shettima is an old war horse but Borno people are tired of being tired, they want a new lease of life.

And there are more than 400,000 igbos and Easterners in Borno , where do you think their votes will go to.

garfield1:


Obi will win ondo?

Have you been to ondo of recent? If you have you would have noticed an alignment of some sorts. My only prayer is let the election be free and fair

garfield1:
This is new madness

Lol some "Buhari is dead and replaced by Jubrin from Sudan" type of madness precisely.

Okay...I no dey talk pass like that. February na next month

kettykin:


100k is even a very modest estimate, from old Gra in Maiduguri to mashmari to pompomari, customs, railway,post office, I can count more than a hundred thousand obidients, if you now include Askira uba down towards Gwoza , Obi might get more than 200,000 votes if the election is free and fair .

Shettima is an old war horse but Borno people are tired of being tired, they want a new lease of life.

And there are more than 400,000 igbos and Easterners in Borno , where do you think their votes will go to.

When will you grow up because I know you're likely more than 60 in age. Grow da eff up.

Delusion is condemnable in young people but downright obscene when found in an elder.

The election is between Tinubu and Atiku. Tinubu will win comfortably , Atiku will be runner up and Obi or Kwankwaso will come a distant third.

Peter Obi is the incoming president of Nigeria.

Dsalvo:


When will you grow up because I know you're likely more than 60 in age. Grow da eff up.

Delusion is condemnable in young people but downright obscene when found in an elder.

The election is between Tinubu and Atiku. Tinubu will win comfortably , Atiku will be runner up and Obi or Kwankwaso will come a distant third.

Very interesting, if my giving you some on the ground statistical analysis of Maiduguri makes you unstable, how would you now feel when it is extrapolated to the whole country.

It seems you people underestimated the impact of a Muslim Muslim ticket on Nigerians

garfield1:


Obi having 100k in borno?

Borno has very many Christians. They are just super supressed, & some dress in like muslims both men/women (you won't know it's a Christian). Besides Boko Haram has pushed many into Cameroon or other States.

Goodluck had 200k votes there in 2011.

There are many things indomie youths don't know about good North.

A Northerner sometimes isn't pissed off by your Religion. He is pissed off by your inability to behave like a MAN or your fellow potential to steal.
They rejected Goodluck in 2015 for "the Dieziani corruption", not because he was a Christian.

NigerianAngelo:


Birno has very many Christians. They are just super supressed and Boko Haram has pushed many into Cameroon or other States.

Goodluck had 200k votes there in 2011.

There are many things indomie youths don't know about good North.

A Northerner sometimes isn't pissed off by your Religion. He is pissed off by your inability to behave like a MAN or by your potential to steal (so he will ask, if you and my person are both thieves, why should I choose you over him? - But if you prove a just man, 25% will follow you. History shows). They rejected Goodluck in 2015 for "perceived corruption", not because he was a Christian.

I just dey laugh them, they will be super shocked by February, Muslim Muslim ticket is the trigger that will force northern minorities out to vote for their survival

kettykin:


100k is even a very modest estimate, from old Gra in Maiduguri to mashmari to pompomari, customs, railway,post office, I can count more than a hundred thousand obidients, if you now include Askira uba down towards Gwoza , Obi might get more than 200,000 votes if the election is free and fair .

Shettima is an old war horse but Borno people are tired of being tired, they want a new lease of life.

And there are more than 400,000 igbos and Easterners in Borno , where do you think their votes will go to.

The votes were 200k in 2011. I just put that modest number based on what I'm seeing in Borno.

Leave kids here. Anybody that insults you in comments doesn't know Nigerian polity. I recently discovered insults is a mark of lack of knowledge of political reality.

I don't think PDP will lose bauchi.
I don't think APC will lose Ekiti.
I don't think LP will win Kaduna
LP cannot get as much votes in Kano

Lol, I support Peter Obi but this is unrealistic. Abeg

Donwilson88:
This is closer to the Truth considering what is on ground!
Let the best happen

I stopped reading at Adamawa state. How exactly will Obi get more votes than Tinubu in Adamawa? Who will give Obi over 200k voter in Adamawa?

Anyway, you guys are free to keep up deluding yourself. The grand delusion will end after the election next month and you guys will go back to ipob agitation.

Anyone trying to predict this elections is wasting their time, it is too unpredictable

gidgiddy:
Anyone trying to predict this elections is wasting their time, it is too unpredictable

I swear, it's just too unpredictable. We don't know how BVAS will impact the outcome yet

NigerianAngelo:
My predictions for the 2023 Elections

Soft reminder about the 2k votes by your mushroom party in last election in a state with about 2 million registered voters

NigerianAngelo:


Borno has very many Christians. They are just super supressed, & some dress in like muslims both men/women (you won't know it's a Christian). Besides Boko Haram has pushed many into Cameroon or other States.

Goodluck had 200k votes there in 2011.

There are many things indomie youths don't know about good North.

A Northerner sometimes isn't pissed off by your Religion. He is pissed off by your inability to behave like a MAN or your fellow potential to steal.
They rejected Goodluck in 2015 for "the Dieziani corruption", not because he was a Christian.

Yes,he had 200k there when there was manual voting and rigging was easy but I'm 2015 he had less than 50k.he did not win the Christian areas.atiku in 2019 had 70k.obi will fail woefully.

kettykin:


Have you been to ondo of recent? If you have you would have noticed an alignment of some sorts. My only prayer is let the election be free and fair

Oga no matter what,obi cannot win lagos talkless of ondo

As long as people have access to Internet, these are the kind of madness we'll keep on seeing.

kettykin:


100k is even a very modest estimate, from old Gra in Maiduguri to mashmari to pompomari, customs, railway,post office, I can count more than a hundred thousand obidients, if you now include Askira uba down towards Gwoza , Obi might get more than 200,000 votes if the election is free and fair .

Shettima is an old war horse but Borno people are tired of being tired, they want a new lease of life.

And there are more than 400,000 igbos and Easterners in Borno , where do you think their votes will go to.

Where did their votes go to in 2015 and 2019? Pdp lowest votes is alwats in borno.obi can't have up to 10k in borno.instead,tinubu will have 100k in anambra

seunmsg:


I stopped reading at Adamawa state. How exactly will Obi get more votes than Tinubu in Adamawa? Who will give Obi over 200k voter in Adamawa?

Anyway, you guys are free to keep up deluding yourself. The grand delusion will end after the election next month and you guys will go back to ipob agitation.

If you don't know Christianity is up to 45% in Adamawa population alone

Do you think Mus-Mus would be accepted by Northern Christians or what also Adamawa don't like Atiku

kettykin:

Very interesting, if my giving you some on the ground statistical analysis of Maiduguri makes you unstable, how would you now feel when it is extrapolated to the whole country.

It seems you people underestimated the impact of a Muslim Muslim ticket on Nigerians

Brov, you're just catching cruise, that's what Obidients are known for.... Lmfaooooo

garfield1:


Yes,he had 200k there when there was manual voting and rigging was easy but I'm 2015 he had less than 50k.he did not win the Christian areas.atiku in 2019 had 70k.obi will fail woefully.

1. Many persons weren't interested in Atiku or the Northern election.

If Atiku got 70k there, then expect 140k for LP, corroborating with what is on ground.

2. You can't rig 200k in the North if the people didn't want you.

3. GEJ was rejected in 2015 bc of Dieziani corruption. If he was a saint, they would have rejected Buhari for the fourth time.

Southern pvc collection is suppressed.

OP your head dey there. This analysis is spot on, you for pity Atiku dash am 5 million lols.

My own analysis showed that both Atiku and Baba blu votes are not up to Obi's votes