My pumutation and projection will be based on election data of 2003 and 2011
2003 presidential election;
Nasarawa state:
PDP:470936
ANPP:244005

Niger state:
ANPP:390103
PDP:486621

2011 presidential election;
Niger state:
PDP:321429
CPC:652574
Nasarawa state:
PDP:408997
CPC:278390
From the election data, you will see that Christian presidential candidate from the south have won in Nasarawa state. Nasarawa state is made of Nasarawa north, where kwankwaso,BAT and atiku are popular there. Peter obi has had some level of success in penetrating Nasarawa north. Peter obi is very popular in Nasarawa south where people there are mostly christians. Peter obi should win Nasarawa state with a narrow margin
From the data above, you will also see that both presidential candidate from the north and south has won in Niger state, I think any of the top 4 presidential candidate stand a good chance to win in Niger state

Using 2011 and 2015 election results to predict or guess 2023 results is "A town hall different from bala blu".

DaddyFreeze2020:
Using 2011 and 2015 election results to predict or guess 2023 results is "A town hall different from bala blu".

bulaba