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Obi's Path To Becoming President. - Politics - Nairaland

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Obi's Path To Becoming President. by FatherOfJesus: 10:28am On Jan 23, 2023
I'm assuming that there will be around 40%+or-500k voters turnout in all regions.

1. SouthEast
40%: 4.5m

Obi: 3.3million
Atiku: 700k
Tinubu: 250k
Others: 250k

2. Southsouth
40%: 6.5million

Obi: 3.2million
Atiku: 2million
Tinubu: 1million
Others: 300k

3. Southwest
40%: 8million

Tinubu: 3.5million
Obi: 1.7million
Atiku: 1.2million
Sowore: 500k
Abiola: 500k
Others: 600k

4. Northcentral
40%: 7million

Obi: 2.5million
Atiku: 2million
Tinubu: 1.5million
Kwankwaso: 500k
Others: 500k

5. North East
40%: 5.5million

Atiku: 2.5million
Tinubu: 1.5million
Kwankwaso: 800k
Obi: 500k
Others: 300k

6. Northwest
40%: 10million

Atiku: 3.5million
Kwankwaso: 3million
Tinubu: 2.5million
Obi: 800k
Others: 200k

Total
Obi: 12million
Atiku: 11.9million
Tinibu: 10,250million
Kwankwaso: 4.3millions + 1million


Whether or not, he gets 25% in 24 states, we will see. But this is probably what's gonna happen that will at least give him a chance in a rerun

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Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by kettykin: 10:35am On Jan 23, 2023
You clearly understood the game but underated Obi

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Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by saintokwuluora(m): 10:37am On Jan 23, 2023
Atiku is overrated in your projections especially in the Southeast and Southsouth.
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Emmanuella00(f): 10:39am On Jan 23, 2023
Bravo
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by FatherOfJesus: 10:41am On Jan 23, 2023
saintokwuluora:
Atiku is overrated in your projections especially in the Southeast and Southsouth.
Maybe, I don't want to be too emotional about giving Peter Obi too much votes. I am considering the role that PDP structure can play...

Whether or not BVAS will overtly suppress the influence of structure, we will find out.

1 Like

Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Urchinpainer: 10:44am On Jan 23, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
I'm assuming that there will be around 40%+or-500k voters turnout in all regions.

1. SouthEast
40%: 4.5m

Obi: 3.3million
Atiku: 700k
Tinubu: 250k
Others: 250k

2. Southsouth
40%: 6.5million

Obi: 3.2million
Atiku: 2million
Tinubu: 1million
Others: 300k

3. Southwest
40%: 8million

Tinubu: 3.5million
Obi: 1.7million
Atiku: 1.2million
Sowore: 500k
Abiola: 500k
Others: 600k

4. Northcentral
40%: 7million

Obi: 2.5million
Atiku: 2million
Tinubu: 1.5million
Kwankwaso: 500k
Others: 500k

5. North East
40%: 5.5million

Atiku: 2.5million
Tinubu: 1.5million
Kwankwaso: 800k
Obi: 500k
Others: 300k

6. Northwest
40%: 10million

Atiku: 3.5million
Kwankwaso: 3million
Tinubu: 2.5million
Obi: 800k
Others: 200k

Total
Obi: 12million
Atiku: 11.9million
Tinibu: 10,250million
Kwankwaso: 4.3millions + 1million


Whether or not, he gets 25% in 24 states, we will see. But this is probably what's gonna happen that will at least give him a chance in a rerun

Hahahaha... You people don't know South East... When don't do this or this... Giving Atiku 700k in SE is dreaming beyond the reality

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Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by FatherOfJesus: 10:49am On Jan 23, 2023
Urchinpainer:


Hahahaha... You people don't know South East... When don't do this or this... Giving Atiku 700k in SE is dreaming beyond the reality
I know, I am just trying to do my analysis baed on the worst case scenario.

If you observe, I said Obi will get 800k in northwest, I think he can actually get more than that. In Kaduna, if 40% turnout, we will have about 2million voters, Obi can get 25% in Kaduna, by virtue of southern Kaduna, that's 500k. There's no way Obi will not be able to get 500k from 6 other northwestern states to reach 1million.

But I don't want to raise everyone's hope.

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Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Urchinpainer: 10:52am On Jan 23, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
I know, I am just trying to do my analysis baed on the worst case scenario.

If you observe, I said Obi will get 800k in northwest, I think he can actually get more than that. In Kaduna, if 40% turnout, we will have about 2million voters, Obi can get 25% in Kaduna, by virtue of southern Kaduna, that's 500k. There's no way Obi will not be able to get 500k from 6 other northwestern states to reach 1million.

But I don't want to raise everyone's hope.

I get your point though.
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by FatherOfJesus: 11:02am On Jan 23, 2023
kettykin:
You clearly understood the game but underated Obi
How did I underrate Obi?
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Deprofessional(m): 11:15am On Jan 23, 2023
Tinubu get 250k and 1 Million in SE and SS respectively?

Is it by insulting a whole nation of Igbos?

Did you hear Tinubu promising to give Igbos a slice of bread soaked in bad water?

If Tinubu get up to 30 votes in the entire SE and up to 100 votes in the entire SS call me a fool.

You will understand.
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by FatherOfJesus: 11:19am On Jan 23, 2023
Deprofessional:
Tinubu get 250k and 1 Million in SE and SS respectively?

Is it by insulting a whole nation of Igbos?

Did you hear Tinubu promising to give Igbos a slice of bread soaked in bad water?

If Tinubu get up to 30 votes in the entire SE and up to 100 votes in the entire SS call me a fool.

You will understand.
lol 🤣, let's don't get emotional.
250k out of 4.5m is just 10%. That's not too much if you ask me
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Deprofessional(m): 11:42am On Jan 23, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
lol 🤣, let's don't get emotional.
250k out of 4.5m is just 10%. That's not too much if you ask me

He wont see it.

All the efulefus in SE such as Chukwuma Soludo, Nnamani, Uzodinma, and the Ebonyi man are gradually getting some sense.
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by haffaze777(m): 12:06pm On Jan 23, 2023
You underrate obi bro.

These are Obi votes in all region
South East =Obi 100%

Atiku=0℅
Tinubu=0%
Kwakwaso=0%

South South

Obi=98%
Atiku=1.5%
Tinubu=0.2%
Other =O.3%

South West

Obi= 70%
Tinubu=20%
Atiku=7%
Others=3%

North Central

Obi =60%
Atiku=15%
Tinubu=14%
Others=10%

North East

Obi=55%

Atiku 30%

Tinubu=%

Others =5%

North West

Obi= 40%

Atiku =20%

Tinubu=10%

Others=30%🤣🤣🤣🤣
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by Igba123: 12:29pm On Jan 23, 2023
Deprofessional:
Tinubu get 250k and 1 Million in SE and SS respectively?

Is it by insulting a whole nation of Igbos?

Did you hear Tinubu promising to give Igbos a slice of bread soaked in bad water?

If Tinubu get up to 30 votes in the entire SE and up to 100 votes in the entire SS call me a fool.

You will understand.
that's too harsh on yourself. Tinubu has a few idiots in umahi, uzodimma, ayade, et Al who will galvanize some simpletons to give him some votes as much as slightly less than half of what the op allocated to him. Everybody knows Tinubu is not fit, both physically and mentally. Those who supports him do so out of tribalism and selfishness.
Re: Obi's Path To Becoming President. by saintokwuluora(m): 4:20pm On Jan 23, 2023
FatherOfJesus:
Maybe, I don't want to be too emotional about giving Peter Obi too much votes. I am considering the role that PDP structure can play...

Whether or not BVAS will overtly suppress the influence of structure, we will find out.
It's good to playdown your expectations...I respect your opinion.

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