derealj:
This analysis is gotten from data gotten from the conglomeration of the various opinion polls that has been conducted. This is a turnout of 40% all things being equal

Points to note.
1. Only Atiku has the spread of 25% in 27 states of the 36, Tinubu is short of 1 state while Obi is short of 3.

2. Obi has the majority votes while Tinubu is first runner up

3. If the turnout remains like this, then Obi and Atiku will go into a run off.

4. If new voters come out for Obi, then he will win at first ballot.

5. Tinubu and Atiku cannot get more than this unless Kwankwaso steps down for either of them then they will enter a run off with Obi.

Dear Obidients, the ball is in your court, come out and vote then Obi wins at first Ballot, stay at home, then he might risk a run off.

KanwuliaExtra:


Being bigotted does not mean 'hate' but prejudice.
Please, educate yourself.
Not everyone carries bigotry to the next level like those who love to kill and maim.
Mine is strictly political.

POGazette:
Students are also voting, majority of them are Obidients

Tinubu should step down asap
It is over

ogunprince18:

you are a bigot. own up to it. calling yorubas tribalistic when you already know you are a full blown bigot.

ahiboilandgas:
south east student. Northern student no follow.

KanwuliaExtra:


Yes! Just like your Tinubu. . . .I would rather support the North, than the SW.
Now, go and report to GOD!

seunmsg:
Lol. Another ipobic projection that lacks common sense. How will anybody project Peter Obi to get more than 5% in any North west state other than Kaduna? How exactly will Atiku defeat Tinubu in Oyo and Osun state? How exactly will Peter Obi get more than 5% in Ekiti, Osun, Ondo and Ogun? Make una just dey play.

ogunprince18:

you don't even know who you support.

KanwuliaExtra:


Is Atiku not from the North?

ogunprince18:

Support atiku then. You were rooting for obi to win in your earlier post. Confused lot

KanwuliaExtra:


If you have problems with OBI, I don't
For the last time. . .
First Choice. . .Atiku
Second Choice . . .Obi.

Tinubu. . . . NOT AN OPTION.
Good NIGHT!

Onovo3:
Very unrealistic analysis. So you think only Obi has the monopoly of bloc votes in his region ? What makes you think Tinubu and Atiku will not get the same ? at the end same tribalism will play out across board.

derealj:
This analysis is gotten from data gotten from the conglomeration of the various opinion polls that has been conducted. This is a turnout of 40% all things being equal

Points to note.
1. Only Atiku has the spread of 25% in 27 states of the 36, Tinubu is short of 1 state while Obi is short of 3.

2. Obi has the majority votes while Tinubu is first runner up

3. If the turnout remains like this, then Obi and Atiku will go into a run off.

4. If new voters come out for Obi, then he will win at first ballot.

5. Tinubu and Atiku cannot get more than this unless Kwankwaso steps down for either of them then they will enter a run off with Obi.

Dear Obidients, the ball is in your court, come out and vote then Obi wins at first Ballot, stay at home, then he might risk a run off.

dochenaj:

Your analysis can't be unbiased.

You hope Obi will win and that is reflected in your analysis.

While your analysis could end up being correct, but unbiased is something it is not.

KanwuliaExtra:
Still on pills!

If no rigging or voter-buying. . . The run-off will be between OBI AND ATIKU!✅

derealj:


Thank you for bringing this, people thought I pulled this analysis off my head but it's not so.

I got statistics from different opinion polls as basis for this and what you posted confirmed that.

senatordave1:


I like the arrangement and methodology but you are being incredibly biased.for ne,obi can't get up to 50,000 in bauchi,borno,yobe.how dare you say obi will get more votes in bauchi and borno than gombe? Obi cannot beat kwankwaso there. What rubbish.the analysis in taraba,Adamawa and gombe are ok.
For nw,obi won't score up to 20,00) in sokoto,katsina,jigawa,kebbi.he won't score more than 100,000 in kano.I am ok with kaduna but tinubu will get 25% in kano...
Obi will likely win plateau and benue but tinubu and atiku will get 25%.tinubu will beat atiku in benue definitely.obi won't see 25% in kwara same as atiku.obi won't get up to 50,000 in niger.nasarawa and kogi is acceptable...
Obi won't score more than 60% in edo and rivers.tinubu will surely get more than 25% in Edo and rivers now that wike is with him.obi might not get 25% in bayelsa.this is obi weakest state.tinubu will win or lose crs narrowly.. All parties will get 25% in delta...
Apart from anambra and enugu obi can't get 80% in any se state.tinubu and atiku will get 25% 25% in the other three states or one or two of them or worst case 20%.
Finally tinubu will meet the 25% spread,atiku will miss out.

Eteka1:
Obi will win on first ballot

KanwuliaExtra:


Yes! Just like your Tinubu. . . .I would rather support the North, than the SW.
Only because I know OBI will have a tough time clinching the presidency.
If Atiku does not get it. . . let OBI get it. If Tinubu wins. . . I hope he dies there within 6 months and BACK TO THE NORTH!
Now, go and report to GOD!

ZKOSOSO:
Your figures for Obi wins in Nasarawa, Kogi, Kebbi, Taraba Kaduna and Adamawa are lower than projected.

Minimum Obi Wins is 18.5M.....

backtovillage:

Gu morning

backtovillage:

I don't know how you are feeling since the declaration of Asiwaju but God go touch your bitter heart