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How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls - Politics - Nairaland

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How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by garfield1: 3:43pm On Feb 22, 2023
Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


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Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
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Silvertongue

3 Likes 3 Shares

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by JoeNL22(m): 3:44pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1:
Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Nplfmod
Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
Arrewanort
Majole
Ityp
Ttalk
Svoboda
Itstutsi
Ceowaltz
Ihenzy
Silvertongue
We are winning Kaduna 90%.
#ObiOurPresident!

29 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Nobody: 3:45pm On Feb 22, 2023
grin

8 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by fortunateme: 3:56pm On Feb 22, 2023
Apc can't win kd south LGA. Check your projections again. LP will win gov.

16 Likes 3 Shares

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by aylive02(m): 3:57pm On Feb 22, 2023
Urhcins will be relieved with this a bit
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Kukutenla: 4:01pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1 reporting from beer parlour

20 Likes 2 Shares

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by garfield1: 4:02pm On Feb 22, 2023
Kukutenla:
garfield1 reporting from beer parlour

Down atiku

1 Like 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by garfield1: 4:02pm On Feb 22, 2023
fortunateme:
Apc can't win kd south LGA. Check your projections again. LP will win gov.

Apc usually win kad south lga sir.lp can't win gov.asake can only win kad south

2 Likes

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by kaylardz(m): 4:11pm On Feb 22, 2023
God bless Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, our incoming president.

8 Likes 2 Shares

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Svoboda(m): 4:16pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1:
Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Nplfmod
Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
Arrewanort
Majole
Ityp
Ttalk
Svoboda
Itstutsi
Ceowaltz
Ihenzy
Silvertongue

Garfield1, your encyclolaedic knowledge of our terrain is so impressive. Once again, respect.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by EMMNIG: 4:22pm On Feb 22, 2023
[quote author=garfield1 post=121134305]Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Nplfmod
Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
Arrewanort
Majole
Ityp
Ttalk
Svoboda
Itstutsi
Ceowaltz
Ihenzy
Silvertongue[/quot

WRONG PROJECTIONS.

Zango/Kataff lg --Lp 90%
Kachia lg ---Lp 85%
Kaura lg --Lp99%
Kagarko lg -- Lp70%
Sanga lg---Lp85%
Jamaa lg --Lp85%
Kauru lg -- Lp 75%
Kauru lg-- Lp 99%
Chikun lg-- Lp90%
Jabba lg---Lp 90%
Kaduna south lg -- Lp 50%
Kaduna North lg -- Lp35%
In kaduna we have 23LGA.
The lga predicted above are Christian dominated areas, except kad south and kad North which is around 50/50.
The other lga are dominated by Muslims.
I can assure obidients that OBI/DATTI Will surely get 50% in this particular Election. Because apc/pdp/nnpp will share the rest of votes.
We're on ground in KD .

Oh my God , Lere Lga is also obidients 50/50
Christian/Muslim

9 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by buchilla: 4:50pm On Feb 22, 2023
[quote author=EMMNIG post=121135324][/quote]I didn't know that OBI is so popular in Kaduna State. If your projection occurs, it will be a great one. Please, can u predict LP performance in other states in the Northwest ?
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Rahkman: 5:50pm On Feb 22, 2023
Oga stop to dey open nonsense thread joor ode

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by MikeofAfrica: 5:55pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1:
Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Nplfmod
Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
Arrewanort
Majole
Ityp
Ttalk
Svoboda
Itstutsi
Ceowaltz
Ihenzy
Silvertongue

A technical review of your prediction shows that Peter Obi will likely win Kaduna.

You strictly believe that Kaduna people will vote along religious line. Hence if Obi will win LGs dominated by Christians, it implies that LGs dominated by Muslims will be battlegrounds for Tinubu , Atiku and Kwankwaso.

Atiku is very popular in Kaduna. If you remove party structure, Tinubu will not be a march for him in Kaduna. Kwankwaso is a core Muslim and will get the votes of most Muslim radicals in Kaduna.

Without Buhari on ballot, many people who voted APC in 2015 & 2019 will vote either Atiku or Kwankwaso. This means that Atiku and Kwankwaso will win some of the LGs that you gave Tinubu.

Hence the voting pattern will be

Peter Obi 30%
Atiku 25%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 20%

8 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Walai(m): 5:58pm On Feb 22, 2023
Seen
Hope you are okay right?
Relax and look for something to eat let's wait for INEC result.







garfield1:
Kaduna southern senatorial zone
Sanga:the apc deputy gov is from here.apc won here narrowly in 2019.same will happen.narrow win for tinubu.

Jemaa:they will vote obi but some will vote atiku.

Kachia:obi will win narrowly here but apc and PDP will get good votes.

Kaura: obi will win here massively.

Kauru;apc usually wins here narrowly.therefore apc wins of they divide the votes.

Zangon kataf; they will give obi bloc votes.

Kagarko; pdp usually wins here narrowly therefore votes will divide into three places.

Jaba; they will vote obi massively.

Kaduna central zone
Kajuru: obi will win here but pdp will get good votes.
Chikun: they are radical Christians and will vote obi massively.pdp highest votes is usually here.

Giwa; they usually vote apc massively.tinubu will win here.
Birnin gwari; tinubu will win here but pdp will get some votes.
Igabi: they are fanatics and will vote apc and nnpp

Kaduna north: el rufai will deliver here for tinubu with atiku getting some votes.
Kaduna south lga: tinubu will narrowly win with pdp and lp getting votes from the Christian axis

Kaduna northern zone
Zaria; tinubu will win here with a good number going to nnpp

Lere; tinubu will win here but Christians in saminaka who form 30% will vote obi.

Sabon gari;apc should win here but hon aminu shagali will give atiku votes here.

Ikara: tinubu will win here with nnpp coming second

Kubau: massive win for tinubu

Kudan: hunkuyi will deliver for nnpp with tinubu coming second.

Makarfi: tinubu and atiku will share votes here...

Summary
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Nnpp 15%
Pdp 15%

For the governorship,Jonathan asake will win most parts of kaduna south except kauru and sanga.uba sani of apc will clear kaduna central bexcept chikun and kajuru.hunkuyi,uba sani and isa ashiru will share kad north..uba sani will emerge victorious


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Nplfmod
Mukina2
Farano
Kyase
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Kahal
Arrewanort
Majole
Ityp
Ttalk
Svoboda
Itstutsi
Ceowaltz
Ihenzy
Silvertongue
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Ttalk: 6:07pm On Feb 22, 2023
[quote author=EMMNIG post=121135324][/quote]

How does a Christian vote translates to Obi vote is what marvels me? These Obidients naivety is becoming embarrassing,
Does it mean me and family and millions of Christians in the north are going to be forced to vote for Peter Obi?

2 Likes

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by 175(m): 6:15pm On Feb 22, 2023
MikeofAfrica:


A technical review of your prediction shows that Peter Obi will likely win Kaduna.

You strictly believe that Kaduna people will vote along religious line. Hence if Obi will win LGs dominated by Christians, it implies that LGs dominated by Muslims will be battlegrounds for Tinubu , Atiku and Kwankwaso.

Atiku is very popular in Kaduna. If you remove party structure, Tinubu will not be a march for him in Kaduna. Kwankwaso is a core Muslim and will get the votes of most Muslim radicals in Kaduna.

Without Buhari on ballot, many people who voted APC in 2015 & 2019 will vote either Atiku or Kwankwaso. This means that Atiku and Kwankwaso will win some of the LGs that you gave Tinubu.

Hence the voting pattern will be

Peter Obi 30%
Atiku 25%
Tinubu 25%
Kwankwaso 20%

I align with your technical analysis. Makes more sense!!! Kudos!
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Mylove55(f): 6:19pm On Feb 22, 2023
JoeNL22:

We are winning Kaduna 90%.
#ObiOurPresident!
obi can't get 15% ,
He don't have structure and nobody knows labour party in kaduna central and kaduna north,
Kaduna South will be share between labour and pdp, some to APC

2 Likes 2 Shares

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Kukutenla: 6:23pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1:


Down atiku
Is that all?
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Mylove55(f): 6:23pm On Feb 22, 2023
175:


I align with your technical analysis. Makes more sense!!! Kudos!
you're both wrong,
Buhari is not on ballot, but buhari could not influence election in 2015 and 2019,
Those in grassroot will always deliver the result

1 Like

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by 007inc: 6:24pm On Feb 22, 2023
Mylove55:
obi can't get 15% ,
He don't have structure and nobody knows labour party in kaduna central and kaduna north,
Kaduna South will be share between labour and pdp, some to APC

Can u bet 1 million ? Or u just keep mute. Election is in 3 days.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Blazebond(m): 6:30pm On Feb 22, 2023
Pdp will win Kaduna so stop all this your hallucinations, labour party won't win one northeast,north west or north central state,go and stake your money on it.
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by LibertyRep: 6:34pm On Feb 22, 2023
But why qualify the people of Igabi as fanatics?

That's not cool .
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by OKOATA(m): 6:39pm On Feb 22, 2023
Garfield is the most reasonable APC urchin I know, no matter how much you abuse him he will answer you maturely. From an Obedient to an Urchin, one love bro 🤞🏻💚.

2 Likes

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Mrete(m): 6:50pm On Feb 22, 2023
Ttalk:


How does a Christian vote translates to Obi vote is what marvels me? These Obidients naivety is becoming embarrassing,
Does it mean me and family and millions of Christians in the north are going to be forced to vote for Peter Obi?

Abeg, help me tell dem.
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by goshikid: 6:51pm On Feb 22, 2023
you must be a fool to think apc will win kaduna

I am in kaduna right now and apc is dead here. its pdp or nothing
you stay In ogbomosho brown roof and you're here typing trash

fool
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Digitron: 7:00pm On Feb 22, 2023
Very objective projection.

LP has a slim chance of winning Kada. I have spoken to alot of guys there.

Garfield1, I wanted us to run a thread on a state by state analysis but time no dey my hand.

We dey fight Wike for rivers now

2 Likes

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by garfield1: 7:05pm On Feb 22, 2023
Digitron:
Very objective projection.

LP has a slim chance of winning Kada. I have spoken to alot of guys there.

Garfield1, I wanted us to run a thread on a state by state analysis but time no dey my hand.

We dey fight Wike for rivers now


I also did an lga by lga analysis on delta and edo na.it is better to do lg by lg,it shows you what will really haspen.I'll do my final analysis in Friday...
Atiku won't get 25% in kad. He will miss out in kano and maybe kwara..

Why are you fighting wike? It is a fight you cannot win.ask amechi
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Digitron: 7:08pm On Feb 22, 2023
garfield1:



I also did an lga by lga analysis on delta and edo na.it is better to do lg by lg,it shows you what will really haspen.I'll do my final analysis in Friday...
Atiku won't get 25% in kad. He will miss out in kano and maybe kwara..

Why are you fighting wike? It is a fight you cannot win.ask amechi

Lol, we go win am hands down.

IGP don approve our request for a change for CP.

His CP has been moved to my state Enugu.

Rivers has been flagged as "prone to electoral violence"

An AIG will take charge from tomorrow evening with three CP for each senatorial zone.

He should allow people vote, that's all

1 Like

Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by Raheeqilmaktoom: 7:12pm On Feb 22, 2023
PDP 15%.
LP 30%.
NNPP 15%.
APC 40%.

Garfield1 are you okay? You use to atleast be objective.
Re: How Kaduna Will Vote In Presidential And Guber Polls by garfield1: 7:14pm On Feb 22, 2023
Digitron:


Lol, we go win am hands down.

IGP don approve our request for a change for CP.

His CP has been moved to my state Enugu.

Rivers has been flagged as "prone to electoral violence"

An AIG will take charge from tomorrow evening with three CP for each senatorial zone.

He should allow people vote, that's all


See,wike doesn't have issues with obi fans,his issue is with atiku.again,he has to win his lga obio akpor so you guys must remove your minds from that lga.
If you like change all the police comm,inec recs,everybody,wike will buy them over.ask amechi.sending him to Enugu means he will align with another g 5 gov in ugwuanyi and do damage.shortsightedness.
I'll rather you guys put pressure on kwankwaso to step down for obi or nef or acf to endorse obi yo get that 25%

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