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Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting - Sports - Nairaland

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Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by Ashleyokeneye(f): 2:49pm On Apr 26, 2023
Generally speaking, line movement is caused by one team or side of a total getting a majority of the bets. Odds makers will then move the line in an effort to entice bettors to take the less popular side and offset their liability for that game. Use the following to learn how to predict line movement in sports betting.

Follow the Money
The main reason sports books move their lines is the main reason any company does anything: to make a profit. There is a general fallacy that exists among the betting community that “Vegas” can lose on its bets. You’ll always hear after an upset, “Wow, Vegas lost a ton on that one. Nobody expected that underdog to win.” This couldn’t be further from the truth.

The Favorite Will Jump First
Typically, the line will tend to move toward the favorite after the initial lines are set. For example, if Manchester City is favored over Chelsea by six points when the odds are released, the public is more inclined to bet on the favorite early. The sports book will then adjust their line accordingly and raise Manchester City to either a seven or eight-point favorite depending on the amount of money they receive.

Keep an Eye on Injuries
Another factor that causes betting lines to move is injury. When a key player for either team suffers an injury, suspension, or any circumstance where they would miss a game, the line will move in response to how this will affect the team’s competitiveness. For some players, the number may only be half of a point. But for big names like LeBron James or Tom Brady, lines could sway multiple points. This could create an advantage for the keen observer.

Watch for Weather
Weather is another external force that impacts betting lines. While it mostly will affect both sides evenly from a point spread perspective, inclement weather will have an impact on the over/under bets. As the weather gets more treacherous, the game total will start to decline as people expect it to affect scoring.
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Re: Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by Fakeashley: 4:35pm On Apr 26, 2023
requires a combination of knowledge about the sport,first
Re: Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by Okenejude: 4:38pm On Apr 26, 2023
Look at historical data and analyze past performances of the teams or players involved in the game.
Re: Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by Oyinola1005: 4:40pm On Apr 26, 2023
great writeup
Re: Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by tinuke19: 4:43pm On Apr 26, 2023
Most importantly,analyze the betting market because the movement of the betting line is a reflection of the market's sentiment towards a particular outcome.
Re: Ilot BET: How To Predict Line Movement In Sports Betting by habeebsalami: 4:45pm On Apr 26, 2023
Consider the weather and playing conditions,this one is also important

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