Tinubu will win hands down. I won't vote Obi in a rerun.

aswani:


This is a superb question DeAdvokate.

Obi has shed a lot of non IGBO followers, he can thank his Obidient's toxic presence on social media for that.

President Tinubu has seemingly started well, that might help in picking up some of those former Obidient votes but not sure how much.

Atiku's votes will hold steady.

It should cover all states and INEC will conduct it again. There also will not be an interim government, President Tinubu will be in charge until he is dislodged at an election.

Or he can thank the APC ethnoreligious propaganda machinery.

Jogs1900:

No rerun..

Nigeria can't afford to spend another 400bn for presidential election .

Probably right.

Also, the court will also have to decide what a Tinubu disqualification will mean for the country. It might bring about turmoil and violence.

Also, what stands in Tinubu's favor is that he got the required 25% voters threshold in 28 states and that was due to him having a Northern Muslim as a running mate. Peter Obi whose fans crow about got a distant 16, which isn't up to half the number of states in the federation.
I just feel Peter Obi is just being obstinate to please his fans and nothing else.

In past presidential elections where there were glaring cases of rigging, the courts sided with the winners as the cost to the polity of a disqualification would be too high.

Rerun is very Possible,that FCT 25% will play a huge part and the altered EC8Ai and blurred uploads is a glaring evidence.Its good for Politics what's playing out now

Akwamkpuruamu:


So you didn't no that rerun was captured in inec budget?

Re-run is only conducted IF there is no clear-cut winner and it is for Num-1 and Num-2 parties.

There won't be any re-run because the APC met all the criteria for victory.

senatordave1:


Worst case is a partial rerun in 18000 units

This will NOT happen, the Tribunal will rule based on the Provisions of the Laws.

The blurred images on the IREV is just what it is images, poorly captured...they are NOT valid grounds for nullification of the elections in those units.

He wants an opinion, if a rerun is done, who do you think will win