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How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 3:15pm On Jul 31, 2023
This thread is for critical thinkers who are Pro -Russia....
How can Russia usurp western influence in Africa without falling out with civilian governments...??
With the military coup happening around Africa, civilian governments are on edge and wondering who is next....if Russia continues to throw its weight behind juntas, it might claw back western influence as civilian leaders will pander towards the west for support...
How do you suggest Russia react to military coups, especially the Niger situation, given the strong backlash from Ecowas leaders..
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Curse777: 3:24pm On Jul 31, 2023
Military are capable of conducting free and fair election without western influence

Most election in Africa is heavily influenced by the West...

If Russia installs Military rule, and also get Military to get an election within 6 months of take over then it's a win win

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by orisa37: 4:04pm On Jul 31, 2023
UNTIL RUSSIA GETS OUT OF UKRAINE AND CRIMEA.

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 4:14pm On Jul 31, 2023
Curse777:
Military are capable of conducting free and fair election without western influence

Most election in Africa is heavily influenced by the West...

If Russia installs Military rule, and also get Military to get an election within 6 months of take over then it's a win win
It is very difficult for the military to conduct free and fair elections after a military coup, because the head of the junta would still want to cling on power ...but nevertheless it is important to create a political system after a coup
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 4:15pm On Jul 31, 2023
orisa37:
UNTIL RUSSIA GETS OUT OF UKRAINE AND CRIMEA.
That wouldn't matter so much to African countries because the view from Africa is that, the war is a European problem, it favors Africa coz the war is increasing the influence of China and Russia, and also making the West sit up to shore up their influence in Africa as well

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by OkCornel(m): 4:21pm On Jul 31, 2023
Trade and infrastructure deals, just like China

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by orisa37: 4:29pm On Jul 31, 2023
AFRICA HAS SEEN RUSSIA AS UNFAIR BULLY.
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 4:57pm On Jul 31, 2023
OkCornel:
Trade and infrastructure deals, just like China
Russia does not have economic might
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by OkCornel(m): 5:36pm On Jul 31, 2023
Minsk24:

Russia does not have economic might

They can supply arms and technical know how. That’s still trade.

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 6:29pm On Jul 31, 2023
OkCornel:


They can supply arms and technical know how. That’s still trade.
Yes when it comes to arms, they are a force to be reckoned with...it will be dicey how they play their games going forward...if they are not smart, they will loose support from other African countries
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by pansophist(m): 1:38am On Aug 01, 2023
Russia may have the will, but they do not have the might.

Russia should have worked to be strong like China financially, after all, it was Russia (then the Soviet Union), that incubated CCP China to grow into the behemoth that it is today.

From heavy industries such as steel production to military technology, nuclear secrets, political umbrellas, and even Mao, the founder of present-day China studied in the soviet union.

So for Russia to just stand still and be comfortable just being a resources powerhouse directly affects its weight in geopolitics. It might interest you to know that if the Russians didn't get a firm YES from the Chinese, they will not have invaded Ukraine.

So China is fully behind Russia, to absorb any blow the West throw at it. China is that strong. It is not a coincidence that before the Ukraine war, Putin went to China first, to sign the no-limit agreement.

So to be good to others, you have to be strong. A weak country/person can't be good because the foundation of goodness is strength. China understood this, hence they didn't waste time developing so fast as never seen before in human history.

So Russia must first develop its economy and max out its potential, then African countries can be confident to ignore the Western-led order, and onboard with the new world.

You are strong not because you think you are, but because you are actually are and in this regard, the Russians have a lot of work to do.

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 6:09am On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:
Russia may have the will, but they do not have the might.

Russia should have worked to be strong like China financially, after all, it was Russia (then the Soviet Union), that incubated CCP China to grow into the behemoth that it is today.

From heavy industries such as steel production to military technology, nuclear secrets, political umbrellas, and even Mao, the founder of present-day China studied in the soviet union.

So for Russia to just stand still and be comfortable just being a resources powerhouse directly affects its weight in geopolitics. It might interest you to know that if the Russians didn't get a firm YES from the Chinese, they will not have invaded Ukraine.

So China is fully behind Russia, to absorb any blow the West throw at it. China is that strong. It is not a coincidence that before the Ukraine war, Putin went to China first, to sign the no-limit agreement.

So to be good to others, you have to be strong. A weak country/person can't be good because the foundation of goodness is strength. China understood this, hence they didn't waste time developing so fast as never seen before in human history.

So Russia must first develop its economy and max out its potential, then African countries can be confident to ignore the Western-led order, and onboard with the new world.

You are strong not because you think you are, but because you are actually are and in this regard, the Russians have a lot of work to do.
I fully agree with your perspective,
Russia should have focused more on economy before trying to challenge the West ,that is the main reason i do not rate Vladimir Putin...
The West and Russia were getting closer when Putin took power.... Putin was on a charm offensive and it was working...
Then he invaded Georgia , sanctions started coming in...he invaded Crimea, more sanctions,
These sanctions have hindered Russian economy one way or the other...
China is best placed when it comes to competing with the west, they took their time to build their economy without confronting the west..even on Taiwan issue, they are still very sensible on how they deal with...
While African countries might sense an opportunity to align with the east, but, if civilian governments see that the east are backing military coups, do u not think it will give them concern?

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by pansophist(m): 4:02pm On Aug 01, 2023
Minsk24:



I fully agree with your perspective,
Russia should have focused more on economy before trying to challenge the West ,that is the main reason i do not rate Vladimir Putin...

About Putin not building the Russian economy, it's more complicated than that. If you compare the Russian economical strength with China, then yes, Russia will measure low.

But if you compare Russian economy with the rest of the world, they are not doing bad at all. Russia is among the top ten largest economy in the world.

Also about Putin not developing Russia's economy, please be aware that Putin inherited an almost defunct country from the drunkard Gorbachev, and built Russia to where it is today.

For russia to be able to withstand the most deadly sanctions the West can give, only goes to show the economical resilience of the Russian economy. Economy is not only about GDP.

Most importantly, a solid economy can be built when you're left alone, not when you're being poked from every corners by aggressive powers. The West will never leave the east alone, so they put more effort to defend than grow their economy.

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by pansophist(m): 4:03pm On Aug 01, 2023
Minsk24:


The West and Russia were getting closer when Putin took power.... Putin was on a charm offensive and it was working...
Then he invaded Georgia , sanctions started coming in...he invaded Crimea, more sanctions, These sanctions have hindered Russian economy one way or the other...

About Putin being on a charm offensive, those days are the early days of his career as a politician. He trusted the West, he wanted to integrate Russia into the West, he asked to join NATO, and even left the base in Cuba as a goodwill gesture.

Putin and Bush had a bromance, that Bush actually spoke good about him. But to the West, such frienship is nothing more than the relationship between a farmer and his chickens. You feed it treat it nice, to make it trust you, get bigger, then it becomes easier to slaughter.

So while the so called frienship between the West is on, the West betrayed that friendship.

It was the West that announced in Bucharest NATO summit of 2007 that he will invite Ukraine and Georgia into NATO, even after promising Soviet Union of not expanding one inch eastward

It was the West that bombed Russia's ally (Yugoslavia) for weeks, because Russia was weak and couldn't do anything.

It was the West that engineered the 2014 maiden coup, overthrowing the democratically elected president for an anti-Russian one. Russia/Putin didn't do this, the west did.

It was the West that also tricked Georgia to invade, and Russia have to react and pushed them back. All what Russia was doing is defend, not offend. Of course you can argue that the war that started last year was an offensive, but that's another topic.

So I don't think it's right to say that Putin messed the relationship up. No, just that he rufused to be a western bittch. And that's what a true leader should be.

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by pansophist(m): 4:05pm On Aug 01, 2023
Minsk24:


China is best placed when it comes to competing with the west, they took their time to build their economy without confronting the west..even on Taiwan issue, they are still very sensible on how they deal with...

About china being the best with competing with the West, I agree with you, BUT, let's give honour to whom honour is due. If not for Russia keeping the West busy and absorbing all its blows, china will not develop in peace.

As far as the West is concern, china and Russia are one target. The target may have two governments, may be called two countries, but as far as destruction is concern, they are one target.

I'm approaching this practically, not as the media wants you to see it. Africa also is one target, the idea of countries are all illusions, the globalist don't think in that angle.

To destroy Russia and china, the first target must be Russia. It's impossible to destroy china when Russia is strong, and if you destroy Russia, then china will fall.

Just open Google Maps, survey the geography of Russia and china, then my point becomes very clear as day.

First of all, the engine of war is industry, and industry needs fuel, gas and resources. Russia is a giant in resources and gas, and china is not. If the West go fight china directly, then Russia will give it endless supply of oil.

The West can't win that way. But if Russia is destroyed first, then china will naturally fall, becuase your population, industry and skills are useless without oil to power them.

Also, if Russia is destroyed and divided into smaller states, then you should expect an American military bases close to China in maybe Vladivostok.

Don't take my word for it, look at the realities on ground. All the former Soviet States are now in NATO and under American alliances. Now Finland is also discussing building NATO infrastructure jist months after joining NATO.

Also, when Taiwan was still recognized as the real china, the US had a military base inside Taiwan (Ching Chuan Kang Air Base) was in the 80s I think, that china was recognized as a country, and they told the US to pack up and leave.

So to destroy China, Russia must go down first. Then you surround it with bases, and puppet government, then starve China from resources to fuel it's war machine.

So while you're praising China for growing economically, we should also appreciate Russia for taking all the blows, which allows China to grow in peace.

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by pansophist(m): 4:10pm On Aug 01, 2023
Minsk24:


While African countries might sense an opportunity to align with the east, but, if civilian governments see that the east are backing military coups, do u not think it will give them concern?

The real enemy is western imperialism, not whether you're western or eastern aligned. What the Eastern powers are doing is dismantling it, that's exactly what Brics stands for.

So they won't be backing coup and overthrowing governments, that's an American thing. The evidence is there to see.

China is building infrastructures, strengthening the BRI, bringing peace to the middle East, and just do business. They are not making conditions that you must align with them like the West does.

They are not preaching about democracy, sanctioning, and ganging up with Russia to punish countries. So no, the east are more benevolent and won't descend into the evil the West culturally engage inti

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Masterviolence: 4:22pm On Aug 01, 2023
These comments by pansophist will go down as the best comment on nairaland in recent times.
👏

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Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by hodari: 4:39pm On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:


About Putin not building the Russian economy, it's more complicated than that. If you compare the Russian economical strength with China, then yes, Russia will measure low.

But if you compare Russian economy with the rest of the world, they are not doing bad at all. Russia is among the top ten largest economy in the world.

Also about Putin not developing Russia's economy, please be aware that Putin inherited an almost defunct country from the drunkard Gorbachev, and built Russia to where it is today.

For russia to be able to withstand the most deadly sanctions the West can give, only goes to show the economical resilience of the Russian economy. Economy is not only about GDP.

Most importantly, a solid economy can be built when you're left alone, not when you're being poked from every corners by aggressive powers. The West will never leave the east alone, so they put more effort to defend than grow their economy.

You're absolutely correct.

Russia debt is the lowest in the world.

When the drunkard Yelstin was president, Russia was poverty stricken and all the national resources were owned by a few Jewish oligarchs. People queued for scarce bread. It was like Congo.

Honestly, Russians should erect statues all over Russia to honour the great statesman Vladimir Putin.

2 Likes

Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 4:50pm On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:


About Putin not building the Russian economy, it's more complicated than that. If you compare the Russian economical strength with China, then yes, Russia will measure low.

But if you compare Russian economy with the rest of the world, they are not doing bad at all. Russia is among the top ten largest economy in the world.

Also about Putin not developing Russia's economy, please be aware that Putin inherited an almost defunct country from the drunkard Gorbachev, and built Russia to where it is today.

For russia to be able to withstand the most deadly sanctions the West can give, only goes to show the economical resilience of the Russian economy. Economy is not only about GDP.

Most importantly, a solid economy can be built when you're left alone, not when you're being poked from every corners by aggressive powers. The West will never leave the east alone, so they put more effort to defend than grow their economy.


Russia does not have the economy to become a superpower, yes he inherited a dysfunctional country, but going to challenge the West without shoring up ur economy is pure folly. Yes they have done well to withstand sanctions, i applaud the Russian government for such resilience...
Who is feeding u garbage that the west is poking Russia? How can u build an economy in a globalized world by standing alone?
Did not Angela Merkel strive to build economic ties between the EU and Russia...even when USA frowned at some things, the German government position was simple, there would be more peace if there's more economic integration....
So please tell me how the west were damaging Russia growth, mind you, sanctions started after Russia invaded Georgia
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 5:04pm On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:


About Putin being on a charm offensive, those days are the early days of his career as a politician. He trusted the West, he wanted to integrate Russia into the West, he asked to join NATO, and even left the base in Cuba as a goodwill gesture.

Putin and Bush had a bromance, that Bush actually spoke good about him. But to the West, such frienship is nothing more than the relationship between a farmer and his chickens. You feed it treat it nice, to make it trust you, get bigger, then it becomes easier to slaughter.

So while the so called frienship between the West is on, the West betrayed that friendship.

It was the West that announced in Bucharest NATO summit of 2007 that he will invite Ukraine and Georgia into NATO, even after promising Soviet Union of not expanding one inch eastward

It was the West that bombed Russia's ally (Yugoslavia) for weeks, because Russia was weak and couldn't do anything.

It was the West that engineered the 2014 maiden coup, overthrowing the democratically elected president for an anti-Russian one. Russia/Putin didn't do this, the west did.

It was the West that also tricked Georgia to invade, and Russia have to react and pushed them back. All what Russia was doing is defend, not offend. Of course you can argue that the war that started last year was an offensive, but that's another topic.

So I don't think it's right to say that Putin messed the relationship up. No, just that he rufused to be a western bittch. And that's what a true leader should be.



When you are neck deep in Russian propaganda , and cannot individually dissect issues ,u end up with extreme one sided views of geo-political issues...
There was no legal binding agreement of non-eastward expansion of NATO...
Even the 2007 declaration did not even give a clear pathway for Ukraine and Georgia to join the alliance,
What does the balkan wars have to do with this topic? I think u might be referring to NATO intervention in Serbia, that led to the birth of Kosovo..

So its the west that engineered the fall of the Russian backed president...
This is what propaganda has done to you...you have failed to consider the fact the president signed a deal with Russia which angered the ethnic Ukrainians who were in favor of Western alliance...and it led to massive protests which toppled the government...
How can you ignore this fact and go straight to blame the west, is that how u analyze issues? Ukrainians are the clear majority, the protested and toppled the government and now u blame the West...is it the first time that protest have toppled a government?
May God remove the scales of propaganda from your eyes ...so now they have brainwashed u to believe that it is Georgia that invaded Russia ? The territories of South Ossetia and abhikazia were part of Georgia...
Relations between Georgia and Russia started deteriorating after Georgia started looking westwards...it came to a head in 2008 when Russia invaded Georgia to back separatist forces ..
Why does Russia neighbors want to ally with the west? Because of history of occupation from Russia....
Even if you a pro-Russia, have some common sense to denote fact from fiction...
Putin messed up big time, the sanctions started to bite, in 2014 it got worse ..
So because your puppet in kiev was toppled? U now had to invade...
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 5:05pm On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:


About china being the best with competing with the West, I agree with you, BUT, let's give honour to whom honour is due. If not for Russia keeping the West busy and absorbing all its blows, china will not develop in peace.

As far as the West is concern, china and Russia are one target. The target may have two governments, may be called two countries, but as far as destruction is concern, they are one target.

I'm approaching this practically, not as the media wants you to see it. Africa also is one target, the idea of countries are all illusions, the globalist don't think in that angle.

To destroy Russia and china, the first target must be Russia. It's impossible to destroy china when Russia is strong, and if you destroy Russia, then china will fall.

Just open Google Maps, survey the geography of Russia and china, then my point becomes very clear as day.

First of all, the engine of war is industry, and industry needs fuel, gas and resources. Russia is a giant in resources and gas, and china is not. If the West go fight china directly, then Russia will give it endless supply of oil.

The West can't win that way. But if Russia is destroyed first, then china will naturally fall, becuase your population, industry and skills are useless without oil to power them.

Also, if Russia is destroyed and divided into smaller states, then you should expect an American military bases close to China in maybe Vladivostok.

Don't take my word for it, look at the realities on ground. All the former Soviet States are now in NATO and under American alliances. Now Finland is also discussing building NATO infrastructure jist months after joining NATO.

Also, when Taiwan was still recognized as the real china, the US had a military base inside Taiwan (Ching Chuan Kang Air Base) was in the 80s I think, that china was recognized as a country, and they told the US to pack up and leave.

So to destroy China, Russia must go down first. Then you surround it with bases, and puppet government, then starve China from resources to fuel it's war machine.

So while you're praising China for growing economically, we should also appreciate Russia for taking all the blows, which allows China to grow in peace.
Stop all this crap, without the West, will China be what it is today? Who invested massively in china's growth?
The west containment of China is very recent, as it began under Trump with China becoming more assertive as it bids to become a superpower...
Why will the west want to destroy China? Do they want to contain china ? Yes, but they also want China to be successful because a strong Chinese economy is beneficial to the entire world...
China is very integral to global economy and if it sneeze, the world will catch a cold...
As the feed u propaganda, use your sense to look at issues from different angles....
So they are also targeting Africa? What is globalists? Even if such people exist, is globalization not a good thing for the world? Without multi-lateralism, globalization, will the world have achieved such unprecedented growth and stability?

How has the west tried to destroy Russia?
Has there been any military posture to threaten Russia? Yes the expansion of NATO is worrisome but NATO have never done any provocative act towards Russia...

The only reason that the US and China may go to war is because of Taiwan or escalation in the South China sea....
Stop deceiving yourself, NATO was never planning any military posture towards Russia, there was huge economic integration between EU and Russia before Russia invaded Ukraine...
All former soviet states want western alliance because the west can be trusted...u do not know the reality of been occupied for centuries, so stop talking crap, when u see people running away from something, they have a reason...
Look at Central asia that has been under Russia sphere of influence, they are becoming increasingly attached to China and wanting more US presence because nobody knows what Russia will do next

Yes the USA switched recognition to the PRC, j agree...

I can only judge Vladimir Putin for a masterstroke in Ukraine invasion if he is able to tire the west out or cause divisions between them...and ultimately win this war and leave the west in a weakened position...all this will favor China...
One of the advantages of Crimea annexation was gaining strategic dominance of the black sea ,but it came at the cost of economic sanctions...
Only time will tell if Putin made the right decision to invade Ukraine again...
There are strategic reasons for invading Ukraine, not the nonsense reasons they feed u guys with..
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 5:33pm On Aug 01, 2023
pansophist:


The real enemy is western imperialism, not whether you're western or eastern aligned. What the Eastern powers are doing is dismantling it, that's exactly what Brics stands for.

So they won't be backing coup and overthrowing governments, that's an American thing. The evidence is there to see.

China is building infrastructures, strengthening the BRI, bringing peace to the middle East, and just do business. They are not making conditions that you must align with them like the West does.

They are not preaching about democracy, sanctioning, and ganging up with Russia to punish countries. So no, the east are more benevolent and won't descend into the evil the West culturally engage inti
How is the west the enemy? BRICS my left foot, stop fooling yourself with BRICS, brics is nothing...apart from Russia-China alliance in BRICS, is there any such strategic partnership between the other members? India and China that are feuding over the arunachal Pradesh... India even had to join a US led defence group with Japan QUAD...
Who is backing and enabling coups in Africa currently, is it not Russia? Did Russia not back khalifa haftar? Who is propping the junta in Mali? In Burkina-faso? China is propping the junta in Myanmar...
Stop all these crap, the west are not your enemies, they are not saints either, same thing goes to the east...
Analyse what the two blocs can offer and see how u can balance your interest...

Is China building the infrastructures for free? Is China not expanding its influence with these deals? Who was providing the funds for infrastructure before China came on board?

What the west have done is to create order, and with order, laws must be enforced...the west are no saints but they have created the best order the world has ever seen...
If China becomes the superpower today, it will create order and will use tools to enforce order and their strategic interest...
China sanctioned Australian companies and banned Australian exports after Australia called for an inquiry into the origin of covid...
China has flexed its muscles in the south china sea and also on via its economic power...
Nobody is a saint, stop been fooled by China and Russia...
Look at what they can offer and see how u can maximize their influence, combine it also with the west ..
The foolish thing would be to think one bloc is better and then go completely align yourself with one
Re: How Can Russia Play A Strategic Game In African Politics by Minsk24: 5:36pm On Aug 01, 2023
hodari:

You're absolutely correct.

Russia debt is the lowest in the world.

When the drunkard Yelstin was president, Russia was poverty stricken and all the national resources were owned by a few Jewish oligarchs. People queued for scarce bread. It was like Congo.

Honestly, Russians should erect statues all over Russia to honour the great statesman Vladimir Putin.

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