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‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by rottennaija(m): 5:10am On Apr 12
‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff

Here's why I think so:

Russia and China have now made their mutual defense alliance EXPLICIT.

But, as tensions with Iran rise to a boil, few seem aware that both Russia and China now regard Iran as a KEY geopolitical ally and a paramount geostrategic interest — and have therefore forged long-term economic and military agreements with Iran.

Russia and China will NOT stand idly by as the US and Israel make war against Iran.

That said, Iran can almost certainly defend itself quite successfully for at least many weeks against a US / Israel air campaign. In fact, in the face of even a few dozen aircraft losses, and severe damage to US bases in the region, I believe the US would seek an early exit from the conflict.

The simple fact is that US air power as a theater-wide undertaking could not be sustained in the context of a non-permissive battlefield against a peer adversary.

As for Israel — without direct and massive US assistance, the Israelis could not sustain a credible air campaign against Iran, and the Iranians would inflict substantial damage against both Israeli aircraft and their bases.

US/Israeli strike missile inventories would be exhausted LONG BEFORE the Iranians lost the capacity to shoot back.

And, make no mistake, if the Iranians ask for material assistance from Russia and/or China, they will not be denied.

The Russians and the Chinese are FAR PAST being intimidated by US threats. They will act without hesitation to protect their interests. They understand perfectly well that the US military is fatally overextended and acutely depleted.

In light of these realities, I remain highly dubious that the US will make open war against Iran.

In fact, if the Iranians do little more than execute a relatively proportional counterstrike against Israel in retaliation for the Iranian embassy attack, I don't believe the US/Israel will escalate the situation any further. I think their tough talk in recent days is nothing but an empty bluff.

https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/1778569415757611519?t=6_E-RW7Y_7qwP0q0D1ImoQ&s=19

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Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by rottennaija(m): 5:15am On Apr 12
The extraordinary failure of "Operation Prosperity Guardian"

There's rarely been a more extraordinary military failure as "operation prosperity guardian", it's almost unbelievable.

Think about that: an operation announced by Lloyd Austin in December as a broad coalition of the US Navy, the Royal Navy, the Royal Australian Navy, the Royal Bahrain Naval Force, the Royal Canadian Navy, the Royal Danish Navy, the Finnish Navy, the Hellenic Navy, the Royal Netherlands Navy, the Royal New Zealand Navy, the Royal Norwegian Navy, the Republic of Singapore Navy and the Sri Lanka Navy...

against... Ansarallah [the Houthis].

At the time the Pentagon was all gung ho, officially telling Ansarallah: "They really need to ask themselves if they've bitten off more than they can chew".

And turns out, they hadn't! 3 months later the "prosperity guardian" coalition is suing for peace and offering an extraordinary array of concession, including "lifting Yemen's siege entirely, repairing the damages, removing foreign forces from all occupied Yemeni lands and islands, and removing Ansarallah from the State Department’s ‘terrorism list’".

Ansarallah, undeterred, say they will "continue operations as long as Israeli aggression against Gaza persists".

Genuinely incredible.

https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1778620453411864661?t=gu9Y8RZgkWlwVae3fDO3mw&s=19

1 Like

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by Gentlevip: 6:32am On Apr 12
The fact is nothing last forever.

Israel and Us end is at hand.

Killing children in homes and hospitals has sealed their fate.

1 Like

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by tinnymerit(m): 7:30am On Apr 12
But terrorists can use children and women in the hospital as shield?

3 Likes

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by misreal(m): 7:50am On Apr 12
grin grin grin grin
What about the threat made by Iran,what have they done?
See ba!!
Make una calm down with unna hatred for Israel.
Remember the 6day war abi?

2 Likes

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by rottennaija(m): 8:00am On Apr 12
🇹🇷Acc to Turlish analysts:

Russia produces 8,000 bombs of the FAB and KAB series with a caliber of 250 to 1,500 kg per month, a significant amount is being prepared for air strikes as gliding bombs.

Russia uses 500-600 glide bombs per day.

There are already tens of thousands of them in warehouses. Once Russia increases production beyond daily consumption, it will increase bombing to above 1,000 bombs per day

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by SS777(m): 8:04am On Apr 12
rottennaija:
‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff

Here's why I think so:

Russia and China have now made their mutual defense alliance EXPLICIT.

But, as tensions with Iran rise to a boil, few seem aware that both Russia and China now regard Iran as a KEY geopolitical ally and a paramount geostrategic interest — and have therefore forged long-term economic and military agreements with Iran.

Russia and China will NOT stand idly by as the US and Israel make war against Iran.

That said, Iran can almost certainly defend itself quite successfully for at least many weeks against a US / Israel air campaign. In fact, in the face of even a few dozen aircraft losses, and severe damage to US bases in the region, I believe the US would seek an early exit from the conflict.

The simple fact is that US air power as a theater-wide undertaking could not be sustained in the context of a non-permissive battlefield against a peer adversary.

As for Israel — without direct and massive US assistance, the Israelis could not sustain a credible air campaign against Iran, and the Iranians would inflict substantial damage against both Israeli aircraft and their bases.

US/Israeli strike missile inventories would be exhausted LONG BEFORE the Iranians lost the capacity to shoot back.

And, make no mistake, if the Iranians ask for material assistance from Russia and/or China, they will not be denied.

The Russians and the Chinese are FAR PAST being intimidated by US threats. They will act without hesitation to protect their interests. They understand perfectly well that the US military is fatally overextended and acutely depleted.

In light of these realities, I remain highly dubious that the US will make open war against Iran.

In fact, if the Iranians do little more than execute a relatively proportional counterstrike against Israel in retaliation for the Iranian embassy attack, I don't believe the US/Israel will escalate the situation any further. I think their tough talk in recent days is nothing but an empty bluff.

https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/1778569415757611519?t=6_E-RW7Y_7qwP0q0D1ImoQ&s=19

Despite the Billions of dollars weapons shipped to Tel-Aviv against hamas for over 6 months, Hama's still remains in Gaza, can isreal withstand Hezbollah for six months?

Isrealhell think American and British will come to her aid of course they will but will soon abandon you cos Tehran owns middle east.
Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by SS777(m): 8:08am On Apr 12
rottennaija:
The extraordinary failure of "Operation Prosperity Guardian"

There's rarely been a more extraordinary military failure as "operation prosperity guardian", it's almost unbelievable.

Think about that: an operation announced by Lloyd Austin in December as a broad coalition of the US Navy, the Royal Navy, the Royal Australian Navy, the Royal Bahrain Naval Force, the Royal Canadian Navy, the Royal Danish Navy, the Finnish Navy, the Hellenic Navy, the Royal Netherlands Navy, the Royal New Zealand Navy, the Royal Norwegian Navy, the Republic of Singapore Navy and the Sri Lanka Navy...

against... Ansarallah [the Houthis].

At the time the Pentagon was all gung ho, officially telling Ansarallah: "They really need to ask themselves if they've bitten off more than they can chew".

And turns out, they hadn't! 3 months later the "prosperity guardian" coalition is suing for peace and offering an extraordinary array of concession, including "lifting Yemen's siege entirely, repairing the damages, removing foreign forces from all occupied Yemeni lands and islands, and removing Ansarallah from the State Department’s ‘terrorism list’".

Ansarallah, undeterred, say they will "continue operations as long as Israeli aggression against Gaza persists".

Genuinely incredible.

https://twitter.com/RnaudBertrand/status/1778620453411864661?t=gu9Y8RZgkWlwVae3fDO3mw&s=19

America era as world power ended the 8/04/24 isrealhell is empty cos American is their god.

Arabs,Iranian and the Russians won because they belief in God, right from time against the devilsh European players.
Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by Floky215: 9:03am On Apr 12
Self delusion is allowed and never a crime...!!

We all know those who don't talk but act...!!

No point arguing nonsense...the world is waiting for Iran to respond and strike Israel then we all shall know what the meaning of bluff is...!! grin

1 Like

Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by Br4life: 9:04am On Apr 12
SS777:


America era as world power ended the 8/04/24 isrealhell is empty cos American is their god.

Arabs,Iranian and the Russians won because they belief in God, right from time against the devilsh European players.
nothing will stop israel from wining Israel is a pure country super power stand with Israel
Re: ‼️ US / Israel Threats Against Iran Are Almost Certainly A Bluff Here's Why by SS777(m): 9:29am On Apr 12
Br4life:
nothing will stop israel from wining Israel is a pure country super power stand with Israel

Super power has failed the world, and isrealhell has gone down with them the abomination of the world.

Majority people are illiterate uneducated including the Americans cos the bible is beyond their understanding.. you included.

(1) (Reply)

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