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Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni - Politics (5) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralPoliticsObi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni (21776 Views)

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Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by uchennamani(m): 8:33am On Jul 10, 2025
Jaylord12:
If Atiku will not respect other region then let Tinubu a southern continue
I don't know why this is hard for people to understand. It is either Peter Obi or nothing.

If ADC fails to give him the ticket, he will leave, split votes and Mr. Balablue will be elected again. This is how you make a pronouncement with your votes.

Chikina!
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Hismercy234: 8:33am On Jul 10, 2025
DrAkpa:
There is really something wrong with the way you people reason. So you expect Atiku who is spearheading and doing all d groundwork in ADC, to finish cooking the food , and then you obidients with your Obi will come and eat? Abi

Why can't you and your obidients remain in labour party or start up a new party and push for a Southern president? You guys are very very unthinkable
In as much as this pains me, you are very correct. Atiku will never leave this. He has more money to waste than they all. The ticket certainly belongs to him. If am one of the delegates, I will surely collect the money. After all I need it.
When I reason all these, it is sad but the truth is, I need to congratulate Tinubu second term in advance. Obi vs Tinubu, Tinubu will surely be defeated but Atiku will never leave the stage for the person who can win. He keeps counting the number of times he failed.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Jaylord12(m): 8:39am On Jul 10, 2025
uchennamani:
I don't know why this is hard for people to understand. It is either Peter Obi or nothing.

If ADC fails to give him the ticket, he will leave, split votes and Mr. Balablue will be elected again. This is how you make a pronouncement with your votes.

Chikina!
Leave them........Atiku is old let him allow person much younger,competent and vibrant to run for the number one seat nd beside this is the turn of the south
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by zelnababa(m): 8:49am On Jul 10, 2025
DrAkpa:
There is really something wrong with the way you people reason. So you expect Atiku who is spearheading and doing all d groundwork in ADC, to finish cooking the food , and then you obidients with your Obi will come and eat? Abi

Why can't you and your obidients remain in labour party or start up a new party and push for a Southern president? You guys are very very unthinkable
lolz las las both will lose out
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by zelnababa(m): 8:52am On Jul 10, 2025
sleek214:
We know that already... Obi is working for Tinubu but hopefully most southerners will vote for Atiku in 2027...
For those asking what Atiku forgot in Aso Rock, Atiku was not the president, he was a VP and we all know VP is like a spare tyre and most times we don't remember we have a spare tyre until we need it. For those saying Atiku is desperate, Atiku is not desperate, Atiku is ambitious and everyone should be ambitious, because most of you guys are not ambitious that's why you abused and cursed leaders all the time and open a different username and be begging for money. Most of you would've wished your father was half as ambitious as Atiku, you wouldn't be online and be abusing people...
ambitious since 1993, hope he will not carry that ambitious go heaven
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by BuharisBoy: 9:01am On Jul 10, 2025
lapintoz:
Are you a yahoo boy........

You seem detached from the reality on ground or you want to continue to hallucinate......till 2027 when reality hits you in the face.
No I am a Google boy!
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by olax02(m): 9:05am On Jul 10, 2025
DrAkpa:
There is really something wrong with the way you people reason. So you expect Atiku who is spearheading and doing all d groundwork in ADC, to finish cooking the food , and then you obidients with your Obi will come and eat? Abi

Why can't you and your obidients remain in labour party or start up a new party and push for a Southern president? You guys are very, very unthinkable
if Peter Obi really has Nigeria's interest at heart and he didn't want this ship called Nigeria to sink, then he should allow Atiku to be president and him Vice president. I bet you that with this arrangement, things would work out.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Freeworldbutfre: 9:06am On Jul 10, 2025
That's not true the plan in ADC is to make Obi insist on contesting he will split Tinubu Vote in the south. Why Atiuku get the north bulk vote. Check the last election Atiku could not have bulk vote because of Burhari. Now Burhari is no longer in the picture and the perceive tinubu policy the North said is against them. So they are going to have bulk vote why Tinubu and Obi share the south.
Filing Obi is an esay win For APC. In the North who are the heavy political weight that's with Tinubu either in the cabinet or Open alliance. The so called kokososo is now weighing options. South will always be divided not because of money but of personal reasons.
Pin 📌 my word.

BlessedGift

post=136048318:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2pc6dxAWF14


The ADC has said it has no preferred or favourite presidential aspirant but has set out to first put out a platform that would be attractive and acceptable to majority of Nigerians.

“We are doing this because we do not want this great ship called Nigeria to sink because if we do not rise up, and now, they will sink all of us.

“I don’t own this party more than any of our members and I urge all members to prepare to show Nigerians that ADC is a different party," the interim Chairman, David Mark has said.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by uchennamani(m): 9:09am On Jul 10, 2025
Jaylord12:
Leave them........Atiku is old let him allow person much younger,competent and vibrant to run for the number one seat nd beside this is the turn of the south
Peter Obi is the best candidate. He is young. We know his history, the schools he attended, how he made his money. We also know how well he governed Anambra state and left lots of money for the next person, something nobody has even done in the history of Nigeria.

If ADC doesn't want to him the ticket, then let Agbado man continue. By the time he through with Nigerians, even Agbadorians go dey cry.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Brenbentondiaz: 9:16am On Jul 10, 2025
The huge delusion that made the mob believe Atiku would gather his cheerleaders in one place and hand the control to obi needs to be studied under human psychiatry. And by the way, is Rufai Oseni no more part of the mob? As a member of the mob it's a taboo to analyze with logic.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Educationalserv: 9:21am On Jul 10, 2025
aribisala0:
You need to write more coherently

You have not communicated anything

The only thing I observe which I think I need to address is this Buhari 12 million figure




First of all the presidential election in Nigeria is not determined just my the total number of votes

Many people claim to be educated and fail to understand this elementary fact

Just like in football league

If you win 1-0 or 100- 0 you will still get 3 points

To win the presidency the candidate must get 25% of the votes in 24 states

24 STATEs

In 2011 Buhari DID NOT GET 25% in A SINGLE STATE in Southern Nigeria

He also did not get 25% in Benue , Borno, Kogi or Kwara

That is he got 25% in 15 states in the North and Abuja = 16
And zero in the south

8 STATES SHORT OF THE 24 NEEDED

whether he got 100 million votes in Kano it is like winning a game 100-0 still only 3 points


Now to the 12 million issue.
In 2011 Buhari got 12 million and Jonathan Got 22 million

I do not believe those figures are real. Apart from the obvious underage voting I think both Jonathan and Buhari were able to conjure votes that did not exist

With BVN in 2023 the total votes of Tinubu , Atiku and Obi were 22 million while Jonathan and Buhari got 34 million in 2011


I do not believe those 12 million votes are real and more importantly what matters is National spread = 25% in 24 states not 100% in in Kano and katsina
You didn't understand yet had a long respond ! Or it didn't suit your Narrative .
You selective choose a single Criteria of 25 percent .
How about having the Highest Number of Casted votes ?
Currently as it stands Tinibu cannot have the Majority of casted votes
Why
The 5.8m he had from the Far North is Gone it was CPC votes
ATIKU 6 Million Northern votes is intact he will have new 3m from CPC ( 5.cool
Southwest produces only 2.5m vote
In South South where Tinibu is hoping Obi is standing on the way South east no go area .
Atiku actually needs few million like 2 million in South South.
Worst case scenario a Second round
This will be knock out for Tinibu and his ACN nepostic crew .
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Brenbentondiaz: 9:28am On Jul 10, 2025
Karlovych:
My name is Lateef Adegoke, I'm a Yoruba Muslim and Peter Obi has my vote in 2027,

#Back to Bourdillon remains inevitable.
Sukudi we've heard you.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by aribisala0(m): 9:29am On Jul 10, 2025
Educationalserv:
You didn't understand yet had a long respond ! Or it didn't suit your Narrative .
You selective choose a single Criteria of 25 percent .
How about having the Highest Number of Casted votes ?
Currently as it stands Tinibu cannot have the Majority of casted votes
Why
The 5.8m he had from the Far North is Gone it was CPC votes
ATIKU 6 Million Northern votes is intact he will have new 3m from CPC ( 5.cool
Southwest produces only 2.5m vote
In South South where Tinibu is hoping Obi is standing on the way South east no go area .
Atiku actually needs few million like 2 million in South South.
Worst case scenario a Second round
This will be knock out for Tinibu and his ACN nepostic crew .
I selectively chose one point because your post was incoherent and I was making a point for the forum
It is not clear what your point is do you have one?
You cannot become president without 25% in 24 states Full stop All this talk about millions and billions is irrelevant 25% 24 STATES
I think I have addressed everything I need to say and there is nothing more to add.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Pickieox(m): 9:29am On Jul 10, 2025
Jaylord12:
Why can't Atiku support a southerner......must he be president...That was how Tinubu just wanted been called president and he has messed the country's economy in the guise if reform
Atiku is different from Tinubu in its entirety. Atiku can not rubbish Nigeria the way Tinubu bastardise Nigeria like this. This is not about Northerner orSoutherner, this is about Tinubu leaving Aso Rock come 2027.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Brenbentondiaz: 9:31am On Jul 10, 2025
Thewesterner:
So your way of reasoning is the best thing after chin chin? Is people not entitled to their opinions? Do you want to force yours on him?
Lolz. Coming from a member of the mob. The irony is skyhigh.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by IgOga(m): 9:31am On Jul 10, 2025
givedemwotowoto:
That's exactly what APC is praying for now, for their blood pressure to start working normally, because things are not alright within the APC
grin grin grin grin grin grin

I don't know why I like this comment but it just made me laugh. Well done
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by IgOga(m): 9:32am On Jul 10, 2025
Pickieox:
Atiku is different from Tinubu in its entirety. Atiku can not rubbish Nigeria the way Tinubu bastardise Nigeria like this. This is not about Northerner orSoutherner, this is about Tinubu leaving Aso Rock come 2027.
When Atiku is done selling everything. You will be a debtor to foreigners. "Our resources" will be gone you will beg foreigners for some rights to what was your former resources.

All the dollars Atiku has spent since 1992 he will realise.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Nodogragra4me(m): 9:33am On Jul 10, 2025
Jaylord12:
If Atiku will not respect other region then let Tinubu a southern continue
Obi doesn't need atiku to win if they allow the votes to count.

If they released the true votes from Port Harcourt to Lagos, to Akwa Ibom , and even the east where voting didn't start in many polling units due to so called glitch to the middle belts states all the way to Kaduna, Obi won't be needing any coalition.

Coalition is for them to have a platform to be relevant beyond 202

Obi everyday life has continued to draw people from all divides to him

He has the momentum and El ruffai of Kaduna knows this
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by ifinger: 9:35am On Jul 10, 2025
Educationalserv:
It not same the Condition are not same .The Muslim Muslim Buzz that made Northern Christian Votes obi is not there again . It was 3 Muslim Candidate VS single christian
So it was a Religious contest .
Now it a single Northern Candidate Atiku VS Two Southern Candidate so Obi is splitting South Votes if he leave especially South South where Tinibu hope to get Votes .
Tinibu is not getting any 5.8 million from the North the Muslim Muslim mantra has failed his vote is going to Atiku Majority.
Obi is the only candidate with organic vote the others are bolekaja vote 📌☣️ Atiku must be over estimating himself he got not chance in the south west, south east and South South that is a fact he can do well in the north as we no the north alone can't win him election
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by SoaringLife01: 9:35am On Jul 10, 2025
It is well known that under the gentleman agreement , till 2030 the President should be from the Southern part of the country.
Against this backdrop, Atiku has no moral right to contest for Presidency.He should retire and be an elder statesman.
If ADC eventually give the Presidential ticket to Atiku, that means the Coalition agenda to unseat PBAT is DoA.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by anonimi: 9:37am On Jul 10, 2025
Demurray:
[/b]
The northerners are to be blamed, they forced Yar'adua on people knowing fully he was battling with health issues.
Please how is Obasanjo a northerner?
When did he stop being a southerner from Abeokuta?
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Satya1: 9:48am On Jul 10, 2025
With the way you think and talk . Tinubu will still win next election. Cause that's what Oseni is say ing . if ADC does same mistake PDP did two years ago , tinubu will still win
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 9:59am On Jul 10, 2025
TRAPLORD13:
So if Buhari did straight 8 years why should the south not enjoy same.
I am telling you now that Tinubu will win a landslide if Atiku mistakenly grabs the ADC presidential ticket..THE SOUTH CANNOT BE SHORTCHANGED BECAUSE ATIKU WANTS TO BE PRESIDENT..THE SOUTH MUST DO 8 YEARS LIKE THE NORTH
if obi gets d ADC ticket, tinubu will still win cos obi too will want to use 8 years n he will also eat into the norths 4 years


They will rather support Tinubu to finish his 4 years n give it back to them


See none of them can stop Tinubu in 2027

If Atiku runs, tinubu will defeat him even many core northerners in APC will work against him cos many of them have ambition towards 2031 n they won't let Atiku ruin that.


They won't even vote obi cos that means they will wait for 12 years
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:00am On Jul 10, 2025
MyExpression:
Why is anyone else coming out to contest?
If not Peter Obi, what then is the point of it all?

The Nation has more confidence in Peter Obi that Atiku, El-rufai and Amaechi.

Any other person with an agenda, is not ready to be president come 2027
which nation or the ibos?

Dey decieve yourself
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:04am On Jul 10, 2025
Myrepublic:
How is that possible? Buhari did 8years,and if bat is leaving a northerner can't come in yet,a Southerner has got to do another four years. Except bat will complete the eight years.. It's an unwritten rule that has been in existence for sometime now,so I don't know where the 17 years you are talking about is coming from
so what is the guarantee that another new southerner will use 4 years n leave?

Which rule or constitution can stop him?

What if he decides to use his complete 8 years?

Who will stop him?

That means the north will b out of power for 12 years cos constitutionally u can't stop a person from contesting second term so the north will rather support Tinubu that they know constitutionally he can't use more than 8 years than to start another gamble with a southerner that can contest second term

Don't decieve yourself, tinubu will win either atiku is flagbearer or obi is flagbearer
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:07am On Jul 10, 2025
Bananapill:
You think Obidients will allow a northerner to be president come 2027?
If Obi doesn't get the ticket, we will vote a Southerner.
u better plan to support a southerner now cos obi won't win, it will b primary n atiku will outspend all of them
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:09am On Jul 10, 2025
uchennamani:
I don't know why this is hard for people to understand. It is either Peter Obi or nothing.

If ADC fails to give him the ticket, he will leave, split votes and Mr. Balablue will be elected again. This is how you make a pronouncement with your votes.

Chikina!
just Dey play

U think this is LP where u Ibos were given ticket on a platter of gold, see ehn u better realize it earlier now that obi won't get d ticket n he will b embarrassed if he leaves ADC again


We have told u already that obi joining the coalition is a political suicide
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:10am On Jul 10, 2025
Hismercy234:
In as much as this pains me, you are very correct. Atiku will never leave this. He has more money to waste than they all. The ticket certainly belongs to him. If am one of the delegates, I will surely collect the money. After all I need it.
When I reason all these, it is sad but the truth is, I need to congratulate Tinubu second term in advance. Obi vs Tinubu, Tinubu will surely be defeated but Atiku will never leave the stage for the person who can win. He keeps counting the number of times he failed.
I want to see the analysis of how obi will defeat tinubu if obi gets d ADC ticket?
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Goodnewsforlife: 10:13am On Jul 10, 2025
uchennamani:
Peter Obi is the best candidate. He is young. We know his history, the schools he attended, how he made his money. We also know how well he governed Anambra state and left lots of money for the next person, something nobody has even done in the history of Nigeria.

If ADC doesn't want to him the ticket, then let Agbado man continue. By the time he through with Nigerians, even Agbadorians go dey cry.
how well he governed anambara but poverty rose under him

How well he governed anambara but doctors went on strike for 13 months

How well he governed anambara but lecturers went on strike for 6 months

How well he governed anambara but no infrastructure development

How well he governed anambara but many cursed him even here on nairaland

How well he governed anambara but left enough debt.


Obi failed woefully as governor of tiny anambara n he can't handle Nigeria
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by Pickieox(m): 10:21am On Jul 10, 2025
IgOga:
When Atiku is done selling everything. You will be a debtor to foreigners. "Our resources" will be gone you will beg foreigners for some rights to what was your former resources.

All the dollars Atiku has spent since 1992 he will realise.
So all the money Tinubu is spending where is he getting them? Stop being sanctimonious here. I repeat Atiku is better than Tinubu by far. When Atiku said he will sell Nigeria redundant sectors to private individuals, through privatisation. APC blamed him. Didn't APC swallowed their spits later? You are talking because you don't know Tinubu sha😂 If you know Tinubu very well, you will know he doesn't mean well for Nigeria.
Re: Obi Will Leave ADC, Split Votes And Tinubu Will Win Easily In 2027 - Rufai Oseni by koning: 10:29am On Jul 10, 2025
For ADC, there is no plan B. There's only one sure way to victory. MAKE PETER OBI THE PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE.


Otherwise the votes of the opposition will be split even more than in 2023.

NNPP and PDP are not totally dead yet FYI.
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