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Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? - Properties - Nairaland

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Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by lekkipro: 4:44pm On Apr 11, 2012
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by Reference(m): 8:55am On Apr 13, 2012
Any commodity trading market driven by sentiments and without the underlying dynamics of real demand is a bubble and will experience a correction dometime down the line. Does this apply to the real estate market. I'm not sure. You have several factors interplaying here. For the top end of the market in three cities - Abuja, Lagos and PortHarcourt - the market is driven by politics & governance, commerce and the oil industry respectively. For Abuja, if the present government tightens cash flow the market will begin affected, if a new and more pro-anti corrption government is elected, many people will naturally pack their bags and leave towm. In Lagos, I think the greatest drivers are commerce which directly relates to the state of the national economy and population increases which are very rapid, so as the economy retreates, prices are held up just because of demand. PortHarcourt responds to the oil industry directly in terms of security and investment (which good international oil price brings)and this is okay at the moment. So if you want to invest in real estate like most businesses in Nigeria in any of these three markets (the most dymanic, most liquid) look at the factors likely to drive demand and act acordingly. One other thing, like most commercial transactions in Nigeria, tend to invest on the shortest possible terms. We are yet to have the policy or the will to create the enviroment for long term investment.
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by lekkipro: 8:18pm On May 25, 2012
Good one there. You just hit the nail on the head.
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by lekkipro: 4:00pm On May 31, 2012
nice write up
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by spyder880(m): 4:31pm On May 31, 2012
The writer has not told us anything we dont already know, that big boys in Government are buying up Abuja and that poulation increase is driving up prices in Lagos plus the commerce there makes the city attractive for new settlers.

So, will our real estate market crash one day? It is very possible, especially when those factors holding it up are tampered with. Normal demand and supply economics.
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by lekkipro: 7:19pm On Jun 07, 2012
spyder880: The writer has not told us anything we dont already know, that big boys in Government are buying up Abuja and that poulation increase is driving up prices in Lagos plus the commerce there makes the city attractive for new settlers.

So, will our real estate market crash one day? It is very possible, especially when those factors holding it up are tampered with. Normal demand and supply economics.
Right on point bro
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by lekkipro: 11:02am On Jun 08, 2012
lekkipro:
Right on point bro
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by doctokwus: 12:24pm On Jun 08, 2012
Having studied d nigerian situation 4 sometime,av bn one of d regular critics of d nig real estate mkt,bc am convinced beyond any doubt dat its a grossly overpriced 1.My grouse is not however wt d overpricing,but bc d inflated prices are due to distortions in our body polity;specifically corruption,most pronounced amongts govt officials @all levels.Yes,real estate prices in abj,ph& lag wud not come cheap,but not @d astronomical prices dey go for now,& y is dis so?because,politicians wt astronomical,corruption induced wealth,& other govt officials in d military,paramilitary arms& ministries can& are ready to pay astronomical sums to buy up properties.Anoda instance is d case of Umuahia& some oda choice city areas,where its rumoured dat d gov or pple close to him are buyin up lands.Of course,owners of dese lands will inflate d costs,whc no mata what price,will b paid for.Thus,dis kind of high cost are not demand/supply related,but because somepeople av excess cash to throw around& bc of d average nigerian mentality,want to acquire as many properties as possible,many not needed or used,as a sign of having"arrived".Whether there will b a property crash is however difficult to say bc d corrupt wealth driving up d prices seems not to b abating,rather,its getting worse & more primitive by d day.
Re: Will The Nigerian Real Estate Industry Experience A Crash? by spyder880(m): 12:38pm On Jun 08, 2012
doctokwus: Having studied d nigerian situation 4 sometime,av bn one of d regular critics of d nig real estate mkt,bc am convinced beyond any doubt dat its a grossly overpriced 1.My grouse is not however wt d overpricing,but bc d inflated prices are due to distortions in our body polity;specifically corruption,most pronounced amongts govt officials @all levels.Yes,real estate prices in abj,ph& lag wud not come cheap,but not @d astronomical prices dey go for now,& y is dis so?because,politicians wt astronomical,corruption induced wealth,& other govt officials in d military,paramilitary arms& ministries can& are ready to pay astronomical sums to buy up properties.Anoda instance is d case of Umuahia& some oda choice city areas,where its rumoured dat d gov or pple close to him are buyin up lands.Of course,owners of dese lands will inflate d costs,whc no mata what price,will b paid for.Thus,dis kind of high cost are not demand/supply related,but because somepeople av excess cash to throw around& bc of d average nigerian mentality,want to acquire as many properties as possible,many not needed or used,as a sign of having"arrived".Whether there will b a property crash is however difficult to say bc d corrupt wealth driving up d prices seems not to b abating,rather,its getting worse & more primitive by d day.

Good points, once the corrupt wealth continues to spread, prices will be up. When can we be sure corrupt funds will dry up?

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