₦airaland Forum

We underestimate Tinubu alot, infact Tinubu does not underestimate his opponents the way obidients underestimate him
most of you just refuse to learn anything from the past about Nigerian behaviour and attitude to election.
we saw all the by election and APC won. Yet our analysis has always gone in the opposite direction
we keep on shouting rigging anytime APC won with valid evidence. we are playing the script APC or Tinubu wants to play. we should believe that there's rigging.
Tinubu family are campaigning rigourously. Remi dey go from town to town across the country and many of us have not stepped out of our comfort zone yet we are making predictions on something we can not grasp. if rigging is possible and easy,Remi would have saved her energy and time and save the money for rigging, but not as easy as it use to be especially during this social media era.
they have to campaign to get more followers. how many village to village NDC or ADC has embarked on?
yet they keep saying Tinubu won't get 50k because they assume everybody will see things from their point of view.
It's even waste as Obi and Atiku change thier parties.Many people in the rural areas will still vote for pdp thinking they are voting for pdp.
Tinubu with his foot soldiers, it takes God intervention for him not to win

Linzo:
But let's put the jokes and banter aside.

Which state in Nigeria can President Tinubu get 20k organic votes in during the 2027 election outside the South-West states?

Nobody should mention the South-South because, here in the South-South, and Delta State in particular. Tinubu can NEVER get 5k organic votes based on the current mood of the people.

Even with rigging, he can't get up to 100k votes in Delta. The people here are not easy to fool.

Remember, election rigging in Nigeria works only on two grounds:

1. Rigging works best in your strongest stronghold.
2. Rigging works effectively only if you are already very popular.

On both grounds of electoral manipulation in Nigeria, President Tinubu falls short, except in the South-West to a reasonable extent, but not absolutely.

everyone uses gas to cook?
we just argue blindly, only people in the cities use gas, many still use firewood, charcoal to cook till date.
I remain that people from Ekiti can't be hungry because they have food

realG101:
Is cooking gas from the soil, abi they won't cook the crop.

Is petro or diesel from the soil, a I they won't transport it to the market.

Is electricity from the soil, they must preserve the produce for sustainance.

Lastly, are they safe while tilling the soil.

There's more to food security than just having arable soil.

Where there's irresponsible govt, there will be hunger. It's simple.

only one sperm cell will fertile an egg and the other sperm cells will die off. in artificial insemination, they only extract good sperm cells to fertilize the ovum.
if a man ejaculates and we take the sperm to the lab, we can extra as many as possible sperm cells that can fertilize ova from thousands of women in vitro fertilization (IVF).
yes, I know that some animals maintain fidelity, they are only few of them compared to those that do not.
if there's no religion, do you think Men will stick to only one wife?
beside, you only scrutinized only 2 points I raised, what about others.

immortalcrown:
There are animals that maintain sexual fidelity for life. So, are those animals better than the men you defend here? Does science tell you the total volume of sperm in one man is too much for one woman?

i don't think we should look it only from human angle, we should look down animal line and find a common trend about male animal behaviour.
in the lower animals , male animals usually have multiple partners infact if you are raising animals, you have to make the ratio of female animal more than that of male, technically, we are confirming that male animals are wired to be polygamy in nature.
male animal can procreate for a longer time compared to female ones, no menopause in male animals like the female ones.
a drop of sperm contains millions of sperm cells which can pregnant an many women as possible depending on the viability and a male animals can ejaculate as many times has possible in a month.
but when it comes to Human, due to morality which is being influenced by culture and civilization, how many wives a man should have is now refined.
I forgot to even mention gestation period. once a female animals are pregnant, no more ovulation till after birth whereas, the male animals continue to procreate
a woman can only drop 1-3 eggs per month

immortalcrown:
Going by nature, women are the ones that should be considered polygamous.

An average man has no need to bed many women but an average woman has the need to bed many men.

The thing is, humans invented wrong philosophies that misinterpret nature. Some of the philosophies favour women and are unfair to men. Some of the philosophies favour men and are unfair to women.

I am not supporting any form of sexual immorality. But let us face the reality. An average woman can satisfy up to 80% of the men that sleep with her. But an average man cannot satisfy up to 80% of the women that sleep with him. A man that sleeps with 10 different women will probably ejaculate (orgasm) on those 10 occasions. A man that sleeps with only one woman 20 times will probably ejaculate (orgasm) on those 20 occasions. But a woman that sleeps with 10 men will likely not reach orgasm up to 5 times out of those 10 times. A woman that sleeps with only one man for 20 times may not reach orgasm up to 10 times with him. Now, tell me the gender that naturally has the reason or need to keep sleeping around in search of satisfaction.

But like I said earlier, the world accepts and lives according to false ideologies. The claim that men are the ones that are polygamous in nature is widely accepted the same way the world believes that mothers make more sacrifices for children than fathers do. Whoever gets up to explain that men are not the ones polygamous in nature will be persecuted the same way anybody that says that fathers make more sacrifices than mothers will be persecuted. So, trying to debunk a false narrative that people have lived with over time is suicidal in today's world.

A man that cannot satisfy his wife in bed will be sleeping around in the name of men being polygamous and everyone will act cool about it. A man that labours day and night to feed his family will grow old to suffer while the children are shouting "I will make mama proud" and everyone is cool about it. In conclusion, life is not balanced for any gender, and this is because we operate with ideologies built on emotions and sentiments.

that's not action, that's stupidity if he said so, I want to believe he never said so and if he said that, I also want to believe that he didn't mean it, but if he meant it, then it's actually stupid.
The president has alot on his table to attend to.
if he left his work and started doing the work of security personnel, then he is not worthy to be a president.
Bibi has never gone to a battle field despite that Isreal fight war everyday as a prime minister
As far as we have competent people in charge, the work will be done, either he is there or not, it doesn't automatically get the work done because he knows nothing about security
Infact, he will permanently leave office and join the rescue team because kidnapping is not stopping anytime soon.
the root cause of insecurity has not been addressed yet.
it will take us 10-20 years to address it

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Obi is an action man,always leading from the front.

no industrialization without local production of steel.

RichDad1:
I think anything about this Ajaokuta steel should be outlawed in this country. For so many years now, it's been the same old story.

you have a point that Obi should not be underestimated and in fact, I don't think Tinubu is underestimating any of his opponents even if most of us do.
Most human choices are being influenced by the moment, the trending event.
Obi gathered more votes especially in Christian dominated communities because of muslim Muslim ticket game Tinubu played. it was quite risky but he played it anyway and he was just lucky.
so, I don't think current belief of Nigeria Christians is the same as 2023.
2. currency swap also influenced that election, many people considered it as an harsh policy and Tinubu bore the consequence.
Obidients movement was influenced by this 2 factors.
Buhari neutrality, Buhari was just neutral giving a kind of level ground for everyone, you know Tinubu lost in all the 3 K, it was just because Buhari did really buy the idea of Tinubu taking over from him.
2027 election will be a different game.
inflation will affect Tinubu chance of winning election, the opposition party will take advantage of that against him
2. incumbency will positively influence Tinubu chance of winning, he has the architectures to win, the money , the police and the army etc.
3. Stability of party. APC is more stable and organised then the opposition party. more resources, more foot soldiers even to the grassroot level.
Obi major mistake is leaving LP, he would have built on the mistake of last election, joining NDC is starting all over again.
it will be difficult to easily reach the grassroot because there's no footsoldiers to do the job. the only places with enough foot soldiers are in the south east and Kano, so building foot soldiers is not easy like that for a new party, remember that there are no big guns in the party except Obi and Rabiu, it will be difficult to raise money for campaign and all the rest. election is not cheap, it's money intensive.
Atiku is even waste except he can get Buhari organic supporters which I don't think so, Buhari had states under his control , states whose governors were loyal to him in the north, Atiku doesn't have that privilege.
Politicians interest, I think Tinubu is a better at negotiating than the other 3, it will be very difficult for the governors to work against him, most of the state governors inherit the Buhari supporters in Thier respective state.
One very serious factor that people may not understand is Tinubu family factor, remi and Seyi underground work of sharing money and gifts will make many people in the grassroots to tint toward BAT.
Another thing is vote buying, that alone will make alot of different in winning the heart of voters to the ruling party.
Corruption, corruption under Tinubu will hamper his chances to gather votes, opposition party will hammer on it
2027 election is a

givedemwotowoto:
Do Not Underestimate the Obi – Kwankwaso (OK) Movement

war mongering country. USA can't survive without war
they have not won any war recently but believe me, they don't lose war neither

safarifarms:
Thought they said US reps were against the war?

I just laugh at you guys if you think any world leader will help to boot Tinubu out of power.
Tinubu might not be good in governance but in politics, he's a genius.
he's good at reaching a compromise with people to have a common interest.
You notice that only APC has a staple party in Nigeria, Atiku and Obi can not sustain such for a long term
even though politics is a game of interest but you must learn to compromise so that you can reach a common ground with other people. that's what the other contestants don't have especially Atiku.
Obi is even better

Memphis357:
Show us the letter.

Donald J. Trump might be sarcastic to you guys.
Show us the letter 😂😂😂😂😂
At least it's not a private letter!

Bola Tinubu is a shameless and worthless election rigger!! He commands absolutely NO respect from his counterparts all over the world.

Shameless thief!!

I pour am spit on top his senile and worthless head!🤮

have you been to Ilorin before?
I doubt it.
Ilorin is 80% Yorubas
forget about politics

dododawa1:
ilorin is North central.

amaridigital:
Are you from Agulu to be thinking like this?
In Nigeria nothing happens to ex presidents. If not, people like Obasanjo, Babangida, Gowon and Jonathan won't be able to breathe today. No president will try that. You think Asiwaju doesn't have the record of Obj's recklessness and corruption? They would rather try to torment few corrupt people in the former administration but not the Presidents themselves.
Again, where would you start from since all the past presidents have skeletons in their cupboards? Are you going to be selective and bypass some leaders and you think people from that tribe won't shout witch hunting?
When was the last time they jail any US past president or you think they are Angels?

to buttress your point, common popular presidential candidate, they hardly prop them because of public discourse,
why didn't they prop the corruption case of Atiku?
infact the government knows that there won't be public displeasure that is why ElRufai was arrested.
ElRufai over estimated himself.
no protest , no concern from any quarter about his arrest. that's very bad

they will definitely do that once they have power,
you think anyone can criticise obi if he's the president of Nigeria

Kukutente23:
Let's look at the facts
Obidients have not killed anyone like buhari's supporters did in 2011
They have not snatched ballot boxes like Tinubu's supporters did in Okota way in 2019
They have not threatened a whole tribe against voting their choice like another Tinubu supporter did in 2023
Obidients are yet to threaten to form a parallel government like an APC frontrunner did in 2014
No Obidient has been found to be actively defending terrorists like some APC bigwigs defended boko haram and some now defend bandits
No Obidient has confessed to bringing terrorists into the country out of fear of things not going their way
No Obidient has expressed an interest in shooting Seun Okinbaloye dead for asking questions they don't like
Yet zone Bees will like us to believe that Obidients are the cause of 90% of the world's problem
If this isn't schizophrenia I don't know what else it is!

Tinubu got to power 3 years ago, the last time I checked, Nigeria has existed before that time..
why didn't other presidents before Tinubu develop the seas ports, Jonathan was in power for complete 6 years end yet he didn't start the sea ports.
the same OBJ you are praising now was in power for 8 years and you didn't care to pressure him to open Seaports in south south. atleast they should have started and we would have been saying the project was abandoned, no, the didn't do anything and you were comfortable. since you were comfortable then, you should also be comfortable now tll

esnbrutality:
Apart from religious extremism from Northern ardents, the Igbos and northerners cohabit peacefully and make money constructively.

The real impediment to Igbo growth are the betrayals that constantly shout 1 Nigeria but are quick to remind you that Lagos is their own. Forgetting that its resources from the SE, under Military Regimes that developed Lagos.

The Electricity generation has been proven to be doable by IGBOs

The Private Airline Space has been proven to be doable by IGBOs

Other spheres they dominate in are thriving and surviving

All their so called Yoruba $ Billionaires are Politically exposed subjects of political gladiators .

The same people, will fight tooth and nail to sabotage Airports in the SE and even seaports, because Lagos will be abandoned in an instant.

They fear these developments in the SE, because their parasitic tendencies will be nipped in the bud and they will feast on themselves, as leeches that they are from inception.


The people that fear development in the SE the most are the 'OUR LAGOS' noisemakers, who migrated from osun, oyo, ogun, ekiti, kwara, edo, itsekiri, uhrobo, ijaw even Benin Republic., shouting 'On your mandate nonsense.

Ekiti hungry? Ekiti can't be hungry, they may not have money for luxury but they can't be hungry because they have the best soil in Nigeria

what about if he gets there and he discovers it's not as easily as he thought.
you think others do not want to solve the problem.
everyone wants thier names to be written in the gold of time.
we just assume the problem is easily to solve but the past leaders do not want to solve it

Heffalump:
Some people are very low in understanding. Obi is very correct. His statement is a philosophical one in nature.
He doesn't know how rotten/ terribly bad Nigeria is until he gets into office. What's bad in that? There are many things happening in government today that're hidden from the citizens.

How do you expect Obi to know many of the real problems confronting the nation? Basic issues like light, bad roads, insecurity, inflation, poverty, and corruption are well known. But the real issues orchestrating these problems are still hidden in the government of the day. Obi is truly an uncommon politician.

Easier said than done, do you think all our leaders don't want to do all these?
Everybody wants to achieve remarkable things. From Obasanjo to Tinubu, you think none hasn't thought about this? the question is how easy is it ?
we dont even have the money to achieve that

nairalanda1:
Mali and Burkina are in a bigger mess than Nigeria, especially security wise

Rwanda is only good in the capital..outside, it's a typical African country

Gabon is a poor country too.

Botswana is a small country that produces very large amounts of diamonds, probably as much as South Africa, but they got 2 million people. When the diamonds run out dem go dey poor.


Many of you Nigerians do not want to vote sane leaders, Na Tinubu and emilokan type leaders you want.

Until you vote leaders that would be committed to using our natural resources to develop exportable goods and stop thinking that everything must be cheap, especially electricity and fuel, we will remain where we are.

Dangote is rich because he is using raw materials to make exportable goods. Most African nations would be richer if they made that the cornerstone of their economy

you are saying Ojukwu who wanted to liberate Biafra is not competent
chai

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Same Igbos that voted OBJ over Ojukwu,Igbos have always voted competence.

I am surprised that even Peter Obi would be petty about Nigeria debt.
he's not an intelligent as I think.
naira devaluation doesn't increase our debt. our debt can be measured using more stable currency which is dollar, because all the money borrowed were not in naira but dollar.
if we check the debt profile before Tinubu took office and the debt profile now, it's almost the same in dollar term.
Nigeria debt has not really increased in dollar term.
we shouldn't forget that Nigeria is also paying debt monthly so, we should not expect the debt not to change.
Tinubu also paid more debt than other presidents before him that's why despite that he was borrowing, the debt profile has not increased.
Peter Obi should look for other things to criticise the government not on petty thing like debt

Burob:
U people have refused to work, so o guy Jagaban must borrow to cater for una.

The Igbos have given alot to Lagos Economy just as Lagos has also made them who they are.
Igbo never made Lagos what it is hence they would have replicated the same thing elsewhere. Lagos state is favoured for it's strategic location
Lagos state is favoured for it seaport and high population which serves as market for the Igbos being into trading .
why hasn't they made Anambra like Lagos , is the Igbos in Anambra not the same with the Igbos in Lagos. Anambra, imo, Abia, Enugu and ebonyi are 90% Igbos yet they couldn't replicate Lagos. technical, it's not the present of the Igbos that made Lagos but other factors like functioning Seaports and good administration who have been piloting the affairs of Lagos

UncleAyo:
We also wish they can look homeward and give back to the economy of their region too. And make the region a place every Nigerians will cherish (covet and call a nomansland) and want to call home for her available opportunities.

All region in Nigeria must equally experience economic growth. Not until Yorubaland is overpopulated.

You (literally) can't give what you don't have (- or can't replicate - in your own home)...

poverty reduces religiosity.
paying tax makes people to hold Thier government responsibility just as we see in Western world. they pay tax heavily and when they felt unsatisfied with any leader, they take it up with that person.
Our problem still lies heavily on poverty. we are on survival of the fittest mode which is natural whenever resources are limited.

Kobojunkie:
I disagree! Nigeria's problem is hinged on the fact that its constitution was created for its failure from the beginning. When you have two different sets of laws for people, you create a condition for failure. Let me provide you with an example. 😒

A couple of years ago, Orji Kalu was arrested and prosecuted. He was expected to spend many years of his life in jail. But suddenly, he came back wearing Islamic garb, claiming he had turned to Islam. And you know what happened right after that? The cases against him simply disappeared, and he was rewarded with a position in government. Why do you think that happened? It had everything to do with Sharia Law. Under Sharia Law, what Orji Kalu's crimes against kafirs(an Arabic term meaning "disbeliever" or "infidel," referring to someone who rejects Allah's authority or Islamic teachings) are not criminal at all. 😒

---

Here are a couple of books from Islamic Scholars to read to understand Sharia from the fairy tales(Takiyah-driven) that have become commonplace even in Nigeria, among non-Islamics. 😒
1. The Life of Mohammed (aka Sirah Rasullulah) by Ibn Ishaq
2. History of AL-Tabari(History of the Prophets and Kings) by Muhammad ibn Jarir al-Tabari
3. Reliance of the Traveller by Ahmad ibn Naqib al-Misri
4. Muqaddimah by Ibn Khaldun
5. Tahrir al-Wasilah by Ruhollah Khomeini
6. Islamic Government: Governance of the Jurist (also known as Velayat-e Faqih) by Ayatollah Ruhollah Imam Khomeini

---

You can read this up for yourself. 😒

what was Anambra money doing in Fidelity bank if he's not a thief, come on

Dalohad:
You wey you like 'struggle' we don see how you loot Rivers to stupor, kill voters for Tinubu during 2023 elections for your ambitions. Your boys wey you dey handpick give tickets, dem dey contest primaries?

Anyway, dem go fail this time..People don ready for your rigging strategy of bribe-or-kill.

Peter Obi no be thief like you wey become overnight billionaire after Governorhip. During Senate screening when GEJ made you Minister of State for education, you claimed only N145,000 was found in your account by EFCC..Today na stolen billions dey your account.

Wike, which business you dey do before you enter Rivers politics? You get lawfirm? Abi you get hire-purchase Okada wey dey remit money give you?

Which 'food is ready' pass to chop Rivers people money since 1999 till day, as agbero chairman, LGA chairman, Governor and Minister?

Fashola get second address, after politics he has gone back to his profession. Peter Obi left Governor's house and went back to his business..

Wike where is your second address? Where is your shop or law firm located?

Without politics and stolen money, how you for take see food chop for this country?

lol, you want to justify why he bought cards for kings but you condemned the same act when other politicians did it

helinues:
Only if you have a clue about the story behind the SUV bought for over 100 kings, you won't be saying all this about Obi

with outspoken Peter Obi, that had trust issue, okay, we should be deceiving ourselves

Penguin2:
The truth is that you can’t have somebody as formidable as Kwankwaso and you will render him as useless as Shettima currently is in Tinubu government.

So, the north knows they will be getting a better deal with Kwankwaso as Vice President than the disaster they currently have in Shettima and his Balablu.

they know politics more than Tinubu.they can even teach him politics
Governors know the problems of Nigeria and they know Atiku or Obi won't solve the problems. they still refer him. some of you are saying governors don't have influence over their subjects. a very myopic reason. even a local government chairman can influence his people to vote for a particular candidate. you have been influenced to buy a brand you never intended to buy by an Igbo man before

Burob:
A very clueless & vague minded assertion, very sure that Kanwulia scripted it on your behalf?

and you think people will believe this your report. it's only religious people that will, what about the others

SyrusdeHansome:
Don't worry, when you have the experience first hand you'll know there's nothing like sleep paralysis. Science think everything can be explained on the basis of observation and theory. I've seen someone confess of how he was fun of pressing pple in their sleep and as someone that use to have the experience almost every night nobody can ever tell me I was experiencing sleep paralysis.

some people are very insensitive and unreasonable. why will someone make such tweet, Oyo didn't vote for Tinubu to start with. I pray Peter Obi wins, we will see if Nigeria will turn Dubai overnight m it seems the Igbos especially are making it look Peter Obi is Messiah

is it today insecurity started. security has improved in the East compare to previous years

Omayie:
Can you think rationally?

How safe would those roads be to ply when there is heightened insecurity. Hasn’t it occurred to you that people feel so unsafe to travel, transport goods and make economic use of roads because of the same insecurity.
Why invest such funds on infrastructure when insecurity has eaten up the lives of thousands of people.
Brother this isn’t about party or political support. It’s about Nigerians. Try to day think properly

only you replied with sense, we want to compare what IBB borrowed in Naira to what Obasanjo borrowed, for us to properly make logical sense, we must find a common ground for comparison, that's comparing the money in dollars. Those money were borrowed in dollar.
that's why I said Tinubu time as the president of Nigeria is way better than others. I can now see the effect of frequent strike in our institution on the quality of graduates we are producing Poor thinkers without sense. shey 4 years program most of the time will end in 6 years where most of the students would have lost interest in Thier study, tell me how quality graduate will be produced.

oyebanji:
This is being clever by half. What is the dollar value of the loans for the 2 periods?
To put this in context, under Buhari, Naira to USD was averagely N320 while under Tinubu its averagle N1400. At Buharis N75trn and Tinubu's N65trn, loans under Burai is $234bn while same under Tinubu is $46bn.

chai, Nigeria youths are not intelligent at all, no critical thinkers. look at what we are dragging for several hours. for our information, the same old men will rule us for a long time because we don't have the tenacity and capacity to handle leadership.
Tinubu is a thief, dubious and curry but definitely smarter than most of the youth in Nigeria. he planned ahead and put ensure no stone is left unturned.
he started by introducing LG autonomy, so that even LG chairmen will be encouraged to mobilize Thier people to vote. it was difficult for him but he Scape through. he tested his experiment through the primary.
2. He already knows human are not rational as we think, they are gullibles, ejsy People were criticizing the same Peter Obi when he was governor but today, most of the same people consider him as Messiah. even Buhari was treated the same way.
So, to influence people to vote even against Thier wish won't be difficult. he set up enough footsoldiers to do the job even without rigging. Rigging is not necessary to win elections in Nigeria, just have enough footsoldiers that will brand you in a good light. Otoge was used to end Saraki dynasty in Kwara state. Edo no be Lagos was used by Obasiki to win his second term. those slang just got into the heart of the people, without much thought, they were bewitched to vote for the initiator.
very simple, even obi had to use religion sentiment to get votes from Christians especially in the north central

I believe Obi won't go to the election with this your mindset. He won't assume the figure is fake hence he's defeated.
it's stupidity to underestimate your opponents in a competition. even Tinubu doesn't underestimate his opponents despite that he's the president

evanpass:
Inflicted figure,buy crowd doing campaign come manipulate and inflict election results.