sapele914:
That is to you, only speaking as I perceive it, they will laugh with Peter Obi, on Election Day it is Nyamiri they will be saying, if you can point to any statement where Peter Obi condemned the activities of ipob, then he can come & beg other tribes for consideration.

Bro, no need for unecessary arguments. North is not only NW & NE.

Most of those christian minority don't allign with Hausa/Fulani mentally because anytime there's any religious crisis, they kill and attack any christian including yoruba and northern Christians.

Northern sentiments are more of religion than tribe. Know that and know peace

Igbos are victims of religious crisis in NW/NE most times because they travel more than any other tribe. And when that happens Igbos in South East retaliate by killing Hausas/Fulani, that's why it looks like tribal war sometimes.

Those northern Christians sees Igbos as brother than Hausa/Fulani.

sapele914:
In all honesty I don’t think Peter Obi will win any state across the River Benue, no way those tribes will vote for an Igbo man on Election Day, unless he is a fluent speaker of The Hausa language.

Bro, all those slogan of not voting igbo man is now a stale.

The better you realize that tinubu is the most hated politician alive by masses the better for you.

No body reason about that your Igbo propaganda again except your tribalistic mindset.

Hope you travel, not staying in one state since you were born and be concluding some hateful thoughts.

If this coming election is conducted free and fair between tinubu and any other contestants, any of those contestants will beat tinubu hands down.

Know that and know peace.

garfield1:
I think not.with kwankwaso in play and obi cornering northern Christian votes and with atiku losing out in ss/se,tinubu just needs to get 30% in the north alongside 60% in the sw.if tinubu gets 30% atiku 35% kwankwaso 25% obi 10%,it will be ok.if tinubu gets 35%,atiku 40% kwankwaso 20%,its still ok provided atiku does not beat tinubu by more than 10%.worst case scenario should be tinubu 30% atiku 40% kwankwaso 20% or tinubu 30% kwankwaso 40%, atiku 25%.but he must get 60% in sw and defeat atiku in the north central and as it stands,atiku has lost the north central yo obi and tinubu.its now left for tinubu to win one of ne/nw or if possible win both or lose narrowly while staying close to atiku in se/ss...


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Nplfmod
Noethnicity
Kyase
Majole
Immaculatejoe
Penguin2
Ojiofor
Murphyibiam
Pakute
Osunoriginal
Omonnakoda
Indispensable
Okoroawusa
Arewanorth
Ttalk
Ityp
Benuejosh
Oghenaogie

When you're referring to North, hope you're aware that middle belt is among. If so, then you're underating Obi's possible percentage/performance.

If Obi win 2 - 3 states including Abuja, with enough votes from Taraba, Nasarawa and Kaduna due to the number of christians in those states, then he will get like 30 - 35 percent from north.

Note: you can't predict who will win Nasarawa, Taraba and Kaduna.

Unless your rating is base on NW & NE

SilverOrLead:


So you accusing Igalas as part of Fulani herdsmen now ?

You be mumu.

I pity you, if your tribe can't stop them from operating from your land just know that you have been conquered... It's just a matter of time before they will sack you from your land as they're doing in benue.

Why claiming land that you don't even have control. Stranger operating from your land unopposed

SilverOrLead:


So because Fulani terrorist use that axis that means all igala people in Akpanya are privy to the attacks and so also guilty.

OK.

When the Army now attacks and levels communities in proximity to ESN terrorist camps , please do not complain.

You dey yarn rubbish.

Can you allow arm rubber to use your home as hideout?

If you can't stop them from using your land as their hideout then you're harboring them.

Don't come here to yarn rubbish.

This your report is incomplete.. Although am not in support of IPOB, but what did you do that attracts IPOB to your community?

Is the community colliding with heardsmen to attack Enugu community, this is one of the questions you have to answer because I don't know why heardsmen will be launching attack from your land to Enugu community if you're not in support of it.

Your land is now hideout for heardsmen, ask yourself whether Kogi east is owned by fulani or igala, for them to be launching attack from your land.

If your community is supporting or harboring heardsmen, then I have no pity for you and your people.

Nothing but the Truth.

Wike keep whining tinubu and his urchins

Truthisunique2:
lol

Bende my Abia friend, you people would later realise Na una elect Tinubu with una hands

I am just here to say it cos na everybody go suffer am, a very funny irony

I told someone close to me for months that wike is working with Tinubu but he said he is obidient

That's how emotionally blinded you guys are about politics, it's not about reality but assumption, eye-marking things from sentiment

Bro, am not from Abia

Whether wike is working for tinubu or not, let's wait till Feb to see who wins Rivers state.

But if he fails to deliver rivers to APC, then I wonder of what use he is to the party.

Truthisunique2:
you people are too emotional

The noise makers you see saying Obi are not enough to make him president

See wike that he has been begging, wike no rate Obi

Politics no be your mate, you hear Obi in igboland and hear it in SS doesn't mean that's majority

Bro, rest and support your Atiku in peace... Why crying all over the thread na.

You're the one being emotional here, because you know that Atiku won't win. Just rest na

Atiku won't win any southern state, even the 25% will hard him

Kilometres:


Mind you, it is only in the imagination of ipob yoot that Yorubas will not consider their own as South West candidate...even when the candidates in questions made even the Osinbajo and other prominent yorubas.

I'm not supposed to tell you this but

There's a reason they say Yorubas are cunning...it's because they are very smart...you don't see them coming

Yorubas needs Northern votes and acknowledged that...

Yorubas are not over emotional but rational in politics unlike igbos.

If 90% of Yorubas carry Tinubu matter for head the way 90% of igbos carry Obi for head it will be detrimental.... because Northerners may follow suit.

You see those Yorubas especially on socal media claiming to be neutral or politically sophisticated are doing it for one reason or the other....na when result come out you go see.

Nb: do remember how many Yorubas always join igbos to talk trash about Tinubu every election year...especially in Lagos? What has always been the outcome of the election results?



Obi's margin will be insignificant considering the total number of registered votes.

Another long epistle.

February will clear all doubt bro, no much yarning.

Kilometres:



You still make hasty conclusions...

The situation of 2023 has never happened in Southwest.

Southwest will prove that they can do bloc votes in 2023... the reason is that the interest now is totally different.

Let me explain to you.

1999....there were two Yoruba for the main political parties.... but even at that....

Obasanjo was a candidate of the establishment.

Olu Falae was the Southwest choice and the bloc votes went to Olu Falae...go and check.

In 2003 Obasanjo even though was not the candidate of the Southwest but because he was the only candidate of Yoruba extraction for a major political party...the Southwest states voted for him this time....go and check

Other subsequent elections...that you can claim Southwest did not give bloc votes....it was because Southwest didn't have any Yoruba as a candidate of any of the major parties....to your tents oh Israel.

Which state is more populated Abia or Oyo state? Which state has more registered voters between the two...now go and check the 2011 abracadabra pdp results for total votes cast in the two states.

You're just writing long epistle without understanding my point. Tinubu is not loved by majority of SW, forget the media.

Tinubu can't be said to be the SW candidate because those that loves him are at most let me say 50%.

Assuming that Osinbajo is the APC candidate the case will be different.

Watch out the margin Obi will give the other candidates in SE, compare it with SW margin after the election.

Kilometres:


No sir, Jonathan was still on the ballot in 2015 he was the seating president.

If you're referring to 2019

2019, was the peak of anti-Buhari and Anti-Fulani campaign in South east....and guess what? Obi was the VP.


Just use your sense and stop being the usual ipob be clouded with sentiments.

There's is a pattern... pdp abracadabra began to erode after 2011.... as a matter of fact it was Jonathan that set the ball rolling for electoral process reviews (PVC and card reader was introduced under Jonathan b4 2015 election) and ever since then the electoral laws and system have been modified year in, year out...which brought about BVAS now.

Let me tell you...the 2023 own will even be better...true representation not bogus figures...

2015, 2019 and then 2023 check the sequence and pattern of the results coming out....especially the ones from the southeast

That was a mistake

But even at that, SE always delivers Over 90% plus of their votes to any part they support especially when a southerner is the contestants unlike SW that shares something like 55% : 45%

During last presidential election, only anambra votes to PDP cancelled the whole SW votes to APC . That's what you should be considering not only the number of registered voters.

I can stake that tinubu may not even win more than 65% at most from SW states.

Kilometres:


Lol


This was when pdp magic was at it's peak.

Did you notice how the Eastern States (Anambra, Abia, Enugu and Imo) got PDP over 1m votes?

Go and check the last (2019) election with a well improved electoral system.... No Eastern state could get up to 500k votes even with Obi on the ballot.... only Anambra got 500k

You are wrong and not wise. Igbos came out in mass to vote for PDP during 2011 presidential election because of Jonathan, a southerner unlike 2019 when two northerners are the contestants.

Watch out the votes Obi will gather from SE by February. You know that SE always delivers bloc votes unlike SW.

SE always delivers Over 90% plus of their votes to any part they support especially when a southerner is the contestants unlike SW that shares something like 55% : 45%

During last presidential election, only anambra votes to PDP cancelled the whole SW votes to APC . That's what you should be considering not only the number of registered voters.

pacespot:
Has anybody noticed that APC rally is bigger in the north when Tinubu is not present? This is to tell you many people do not have problem with APC but their old, tired, filthy and expired presidential candidate, Tinubu. That is why i think a lot of these supporters will change their votes to other candidates like LP, PDP or NNPP when it comes to presidential election. This election is bound to show us many surprises

Is like this is the only wise comment I have read so for here.

yarimo:
Hahahaha 99% of them don't have PVC

Anything to console yourself, do that bro.

We no longer hear the slogan "No one will vote Igbo Man"

Obi the man to beat.

madridguy:
When are you going to stop recycling same garbage people have been countering with facts and figures ?

Obiano and Soludo that took after your lie lie candidate have been saying your candidate didn't left anything in the coffer of the State yet you keep on bringing on the lies.

Baba go and rest, Obi can only be your online president not Nigeria president.

Which state are you from?

Proudlyngwa:


Kindly point to the details.
Dont give me those made up bullshit .
Because both Obiano and Soludo has trashed it.

I grew up in lagos and i once worked in Anambra. So am qualified to talk about the two.
Onky someone who didnt live in Lagos pre tinubu or vist Anambra during Peter Obi era will open his mouth to say jargons.

Please can you drop any link or memo where Obiano/Soludo trashed all those details he listed.

I hate too much yarning.

Comparing Lagos to Anambra, I see that as ignorance.

Even some normal states don't supposed to be compared to each other considering the existence of them talkless of formal capital.

Some people are educated illiterates sha

Proudlyngwa:
Some people will just wake up and start typing rubbish.

Even Peter Obi will be ashamed of this rubbish you just pushed out

Op gave you details, counter him with your own facts too instead of ranting and throwing insults.

Moh247:



Since you have proper information and you have visited all region.. why not simply educate us about Obi's achievements

Op has already tried to educate you on that but you refused to learn.

Try get sense before 2023.

Moh247:
1999 to 2007 Tinubu Governed Lagos
2007 to 2015 Obi Governed Anambra

Questions would be asked on Education Tinubu paying for WAEC, building Millennium Schools, Reducing LASU tuition

On health care, the Number of primary health care center built even people from neighboring states travel to use Lagos centers

On electricity , Tinubu was the first Governor to build a State owned power plant

Security, Tinubu Started Rapid Response Squad with dedicated toll free number 112

On Transport, Tinubu started LAGBOAT,BRT and Lag Cab

Oga, peter Obi governed Anambra from 2006 - 2014

Obiano took over from 2014.

Most of you guys like yarning what they don't know.

Na still your type will be comparing lagos to Anambra without proper information.

The problem of most of you guys from SW is that you don't travel to other regions and also lacks proper information but yet always talk pass others.

I don't blame these people but Nigerians.

How will fulani Bleep ups end when they made Yoruba and Hausa to see Igbos as the enemy while the real enemy keep on running Nigeria unopposed.

Anytime these two other major tribes wake up is when these rubbish will end.

Most of Nigeria tribes na mumu... Imagine herdsmen attacking enugu and always use Kogi and benue as hideout.

Localemperor:
This analysis is purely my opinion and what I think he is trying to do.

Kwankwaso is not contesting to win the election next year,but he is trying to use the Buhari model in the north.

Did you know how many times Buhari contested before he was able to annex the 12m northern vote? Despite being former head of state, Buhari had to rally round North 3 times before he got it right.

Buhari becoming the most powerful contender in the north was because of his consistent hunger for power. Over years, he made the people rally round him.

In 2015, Tinubu saw that the fastest way to get the presidency was to cut shot the reign of Good-luck Jonathan, because if he had allow Jonathan to rule till 2019, then power moved north, it's would take South another 8 years (2027) before power returns and by then he ( Tinubu) would have been too old to contest, so he got his calculation well by saving 4year.

When Tinubu looked North to find an alliance, he went to no other person than Buhari who already is the biggest power house in Northern Nigeria, and the rest they say is history.

Now this is exactly what Kwankwaso is trying to do in a lesser time. Kwankwaso want the presidency to go South, any body that win between Tinubu and Peter Obi is a win for him. You will also agree with me that this is Tinubu and Atiku's last chance at the golden egg and when Atiku is out of the way in the North, who do you think his supporter in the North will rally round ( Mind you, Kwankwaso already have massive cult-like followers in Northwest).

When Atiku is gone and the South has ruled and when power returns to the North, who do you think would be the most likely to succeed?

Under the Nigerian standard, he can still vie for the presidency at least twice before he retires.

What I'm trying to say is this, since Atiku has lot his block vote in Southeast and still having issues with the G5. He has no base in the South because Tinubu owns the Southwest and majority of the SS states will be fest for all.

Kwankwaso is planning to disrupt and divide the Northwest vote and with this, were will Atiku get his votes from? Northeast can not win the election for him.

Kwankwaso is a visionary and futuristic politician

What do you think..

Nice one, you understand politics.

But Obi will win SS.

The funny thing is that his followers/supporters keep deceiving themselves that he is popular in the north forgetting to ask themselves whether the popularity is on negative or positive side.

For example, some people can vote anybody but tinubu. If election will be between tinubu and kwakwanso, many people in SE/SS don't know kwakwanso but will still prefer to vote for him instead of tinubu.

The man is just notorious in both north and south.

MikeofAfrica:


In 2019, Atiku defeated Buhari with over 500,000 votes in Anambra while Buhari defeated Atiku with about 100,000 votes in Lagos.

Hence the block votes of Anambra alone can nullify the entire SW in a presidential election.

Buhari only survived due to the block votes of NW/ NE. However there will be no way of escape for Tinubu.

Those guys are slow to understand this your analysis.

Abdul4trust1:
You don't know politics. Let me leave but I'll reach by God's grace after February 25 2023.

May God grant us that time.

Ok

Abdul4trust1:
you're obviously new to Nigeria politics and you do not understand Nigeria politics.
To think rigging is common to only the party in power is laughable.

People rigg election in their strongholds. I have conducted election on three different occasions in Nigeria as inec ad-hoc Staff and I have be voting as well.

This election is between Tinubu and Atiku.
And Tinubu have the highest chance of winning this election.

The PDP structure has been weaken by obi, Kwankwaso and the 5G governors while that of APC remain intact.

You don't view politics from sentimental perspective.

This your analysis shows that you're not even a politician or inec official as you claimed.

Maybe you worked with INEC during your NYSC.

You said that APC states remains intact, how?

Kwakwanso is also there making it third candidate hoping on northern votes.

Even if he won't win any state but at least he will have enough votes from core north. He might even gather enough votes than that your tinubu.

Secondly, we're talking about individual here and your mentioning party. Your so called APC stronghold is north because I know that you're not talking of SW that doesn't give bloc votes.

And let me remind you, APC won core north during last election because of the contestant, buhari plus rigging to boost the margin.

Now that buhari is not contesting and the electoral system changed, what gives you the assurance that APC will still sweep core north as they did during last presidential election?

9jii:

I'm in the north you are in the south, I should tell you our political atmosphere here. But you are infected with Obi's unrealistic statistical nonsense that distance you from the fact on the ground of wats to come.

What's the political atmosphere in the north?

Hope your fellow northerners will concur?

Like I said earlier, most of tinubu's supporters especially outside SW are those benefiting from him or party agents of which you're one of them.

9jii:

With just 2 states, Benue and Jos.
Middle, don't forget kwara,kogi,Nasarawa, and Niger are APC states plus have more personal and cultural relationship with Jagaban and South West than any other candidate or party.
In our core north Obi is in the same rank as Soware, and all those mushrooms parties

What about Abuja

What is giving you confidence that tinubu will get more votes than ob in the north is because of power of incumbency. But let me remind you, masses hates the man including that north.

9jii:

25% from 19 northern states will triple what you are calling block vote for Obi in the SE.

The votes that Obi will get from middle belt will reduce the difference too.. use your head