₦airaland Forum

I have doubts about that french ligue 2 fixture i posted earlier to end in a draw....please double check again..i booked it earlier, i have removed it

ANOTHER LOW RISK DRAW TIP FOR TODAY

Yeovil Town - Forest Green (English League 2) TO DRAW @ 2.45....CHECK WELL BEFORE YOU ARE CONVINCED O

bomeri:
those 2 games are on my list too....i sent u a pm but no response yet. so i will ask here, how many hours to the game do i do the research? seeing i might not be able to accumulate.....thanks

sorry bro, first game start by 7pm. second game start by 7:45

LOW RISK DRAW TIP FOR TODAY....PLEASE CARRY OUT YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE BEING CONVINCED...I HAVE DONE MINE

Chamois Niort - GFC Ajaccio TO DRAW @ 2.66 (French Ligue 2)

Coventry City - Lincoln City TO DRAW @ 3.00 (English Ligue 2)

GOODLUCK

TissuePaper:
hmm the odd for the game ending under 0.5 is priced at 5 odds, it's a risky one but let's see how it goes

hmm at 5?? the game will end under 1.5.....that a correct score of 1-0 in favour of the home team....confidence level in this outcome is 70%

TissuePaper:
Bigmex what do you think about this Nigerian game between heartland and plateau united.... Over 1.5 is priced at 1.70, while under 1.5 is priced at 2.10 , I feel this is a sure game of under 1.5.

Thinking of staking 10k on it

its very likely that game will end over 1.5...the price is way past the normal threshold of 1.60 even 1.5 is the threshold i watch out for. anyways still check what the price is for this game ending under 0.5 and revert back

1realBobby:
inplay portland timbers vs new york city over 2.5

confirm...correct one

iRepMyCity:
Value Bet of the Day:

Portland Timbers vs New York City FC

20th position vs 1st Position


Away win is 2.8 odds

2DNB : 2 odds

i am sorry, its not a value bet as you claimed

iRepMyCity:
Value Bet of the Day:

Portland Timbers vs New York City FC

20th position vs 1st Position


Away win is 2.8 odds

2DNB : 2 odds

lol...my brother you see now, thats the mistake some of us has made. right now portland timber has scored and they will win this match. if you go to sofascore.com, you will see what information is given about both teams based on the prices offered for both of them.

bazkid24:
Thanks so much for this, bro

hmm guys something else i should share i tipped this particular game earlier to end in a draw but it didnt

Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido...scoreline was 1-2. the odds for the draw was about 2.87. Home team was given 2.25 to win. Away team was given 2.89. Now at sofascore.com this was the information given on the prices
For Home: When the odds are 2.25 the expected chance of winning is 44%, but this team actually wins 31% matches with these odds.

For Away: When the odds are 2.89 the expected chance of winning is 35%, but this team actually wins 33% matches with these odds.

Since the percentage winning rate was less than the chances of winning for each team, one would have thought that the game will likely end in a draw. But take a more closer look at the information. Home team wins just 31% of the time and has a shortfall of 13% whereas Away team wins 33% of the time with a shortfall of just 2%. Meaning that even when the match result is likely to be a draw, Away team is more consistent in winning than the Home team. Assuming historical data shows that Away team wins 23% of the time with such odds offered, thats a shortfall of 12% that would have made the match a sure draw banker. thats why i keep saying bookies employ statisticians, risk analysts, traders and statistical modelling tools to crunch all information we dont have access to, before arriving at their prices. if you have an analytical mindset on prices offered, then you outsmart them, if not, you keep losing.

Another type of Value bet is when you have researched a team and feel 70% confident that they will win and the bookies are saying they have just 55% chance of winning. thats a banker of 15% value at your grasp and then with playing on multiple betting exchanges, you making smart profits. Goodnite guys

ok so Boys First Tip : Cadiz - Sporting Gijon issa draw. congrats to all who played.

That said, this is how i pick bankable matches to end in draws on bet9ja. Now like i said before i solely mine and compile odd prices. on other bet exchanges prices will differ. if you want to use my method then register on bet9ja and then search for the games and play same on other exchanges.
Now on bet9ja i search for odds ranging from 2.50 - 3.00 for draws. on the double chance side anybody win (12) must start from 1.30 and above.
after making ten selections of such matches to end in draw before the matches start, book the games, dont stake yet. Note down the prices of each games. after one hour, go back and check on your booked bet. if you see any price change upward, please remove the that game or games. if you see any price change downward, that is your banker. i repeat that is your banker game or games. two or three like that will be good for more profit. stake and watch.

now for the games that no price change is seen, you are staking and hoping that it ends in a draw. its 50 50 chance.

who played this second tip from me today?

Fc Isloch - Fc Gorodeya...draw

if you did, you should be smiling by now

first tip now in play Cadiz - Sporting Gijon...goodluck

LOW RISK DRAW TIP...HEHEHE

Cadiz - Sporting Gijon to draw @ 2.85

FC Isloch - FC Gorodeya to draw @ 2.96

Stake plenty to win

testing 12 anybody wins, low risk making sense

B911ERWARAZAAA-4353704

TalabiAudu:
Make I no lie.. Guy, u sabi.

That is the best way to pick draws.
Every weekend, there are draws from reputable prediction sites..

I pick like 5-7 of them in diff tickets with N100.

What do I use to pick them?
I don't check form, I don't check teams. I just pick randomly, using this your method also.
Last weekend, I almost won 630K. I picked 7 draws, 6 came through..

It is not a guaranteed way of picking draws, but according to my research and to me, it is the best way.
I will keep trying every weekend and will limit my acca to 4/5.

I played 5 today, 3 came through, 2 lost by a lone goal of 3-2 and 2-1..


I mainly play England lower leagues. Which site do you use?

i used to visit predictz.com. the draw back of that site is that they predict english games very well compared to other national leagues, since the company is based in the uk. i recommend using them when playing opposite of their draw selection for other national leagues. this method of betting is what i call perceived draw method. instead of playing the game as draw, play it as anybody wins...three or four of that will do

chewbacca:
somebody please beg Man U to win 3-1 thank you

it would have been better u bet on goals...i played over 1.5 for this game among other selctions. they may draw this game or tottenham wins

you can try analysing games. but it doesnt guarantee successful picks. i have chosen to do away with analysis of teams. i only compile odds now.

mistercharles:
how do you see these games for draw??

ehm this is how i pick draws...look for x equaling 3.00 check if 12=1.30 or 1.35 . if these two conditions are met, i see the game as draw

B91ERWAWAQZZA-4353704 ....them say make i cashout...should i?

You bet on over goals lets say..over 1.5...after all the research that shows a match producing more than two goals and still in the 85th minute, its just 1 goal, how frustrating that can be...

bomasek:
Liverpool ruined my smooth sailing ticket

ehn its because they arent respecting the law of averages simply...a team cant keep on winning...after two time wins avoid that team, wait till they lose and wager on them again. or simply bet on goals....straight win nah die

Montez90:
my problem with you is that you think gambling is 1+ 1, see as you sponsored alabi Friday night with the nonsense you played up there, by the time alabi go finish with you, your odds compilation won't save you

lwkmd....have lost much more than that before and won more than that...so dont worry bro. i am fine...ehn thank you for your concern

iamsirmichael1:
By compiling odds?? Have you seen 34 odds beating 1.08 by 2 goals difference before??

Instead of you compiling odds, studying odds whatever, why don't you read about their team form, moral, presence of key players and other determining factors. These bookies as much as we know don't know the future FT scores so they merely take calculated guesses. I remembered the last two games that ajax played and scored just one goal. While the bookies gave them 1.08 odds, I on the other hand thought that ajax would murder them and so I went for 1 & o1.5 at 1.13 odds. It dawned on me that day.

As for beating a dead horse, I'll keep doing so until I help a brother. That's not a way to win.

To think he was hammering about value. Smh. What is 1.14 odds doing in his coupon.

ehm all this technique i have tried before, but wasnt working for me...hasin it didnt work. whereas overtime, compiling odds has worked for me. have said it before, that you can never go on a winning streak. anything can happen in football

Rathor:
I WILL NEVER POST MY COUPON CODE HERE.

jazz strong for here no be small

hehehe...nah posting here has nothing to do with a lost bet

that penalty awarded away team changed everything

alexistaiwo:
Now they done did it.

2-2.

God punish devil.

hahaha...thats why i said i think cos i wasnt so sure

Rathor:
Bro congrats,need only 1 favour

what site did you use to predict and analyse the games?

no site bro. i have simply been compiling odds for some time now and then make sampling techniques on conversion rate of the odds

B91ERZRQEWERT-4353704 - i think i am winning tonite

TalabiAudu:
Lmao.. This one don ruin alabi.

Bonus of 10M kwa? alabi shot himself there

so you see. this guy may have very big bankroll. lets say he lost the bet, he wont be so angry. money he can afford to lose. and see his crazy acca...so crazy...punting is not for the fainthearted. u need to have the balls.. the mind

that one casted but this one...
B940ERZZAEAZRW-4353704...sweet winnings

the other two games are doing perfectly fine

TissuePaper:
then you should be thanking God by now

lol.abi o....but mehn under goals dey sweet o. when in the 70+ minute and just one goal scored

funny what there is another ticket were i played this two games under 2.5...both games are likely to end under 1.5 sef...