₦airaland Forum

HolinessForever:
16yrs in Power and Outsted in a Pure Democratic election and you are Diarrheaing on President Donald Trump.

The Crushing of Your TERRORISTS Fathers Myst Have Really caused you Pains

Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has conceded election victory after 16 years in power, with the opposition on course for a landslide win

Péter Magyar is set to be the country's new prime minister - with more than 80% of the votes counted, his party is set to win a massive majority in parliament

Magyar, a relative newcomer to the political main stage, has pulled off an astonishing victory, our central Europe correspondent writes

Record numbers turned out for an election which was seen as pivotal to the future of Hungary and Europe, and which delivers a blow to Orbán's close allies Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump

Magyar, a former Orbán ally who became his fiercest critic, has promised closer ties to the EU and an anti-corruption agenda

Orbán's era is over and it appears that Magyar could be on course for a two-thirds majority to start putting it into reverse

Galactics:
Only terrorists and upcoming terrorists are against the US.

Mexyz:
Guy better be careful of what you say here, you're not anonymous o.

You saw what was done to Sarki, same and even worse can be done to you. I just say make I tell you.

Just advising you sha, you're free to discard it.

Lebanon was drawn into the Middle East war last month as Israel pursues the Iran-backed Hezbollah group, with Lebanese authorities reporting more than 2,000 people been killed in Israeli strikes.

“I am closer than ever, in these days of sorrow, fear, and unconquerable hope in God, to the beloved Lebanese people,” the pope told the crowd at St Peter’s Square following his Regina Coeli prayer.

“The principle of humanity, inscribed in the conscience of every person and recognised in international law, entails the moral obligation to protect the civilian population from the atrocious effects of war,” he said.

As he has done in the past, without citing names, the pope called on the parties involved to seek a peaceful resolution.

The comments from the 70-year-old pontiff came as Iran and the United States failed to strike a deal during talks in Pakistan to end the war in the Middle East.

On Saturday during a prayer for peace, the soft-spoken Leo made one of his most pointed criticisms yet of the war, imploring leaders to end the violence.

“Stop! It is time for peace! Sit at the table of dialogue and mediation, not at the table where rearmament is planned and deadly actions are decided!” he said.

“Enough of the idolatry of self and money! Enough of the display of power! Enough of war!”

The leader of the world’s 1.4 billion Catholics has repeatedly urged de-escalation in the current US-Israeli war on Iran and a need for a diplomatic solution.

On Monday, the pope heads to Algeria for the start of an 11-day tour in Africa where he will bring a message of bridge-building with the Islamic world.

A senior Iranian source said on Saturday the US had agreed to release Iranian frozen assets held in Qatar and other foreign banks, welcoming the move as a sign of "seriousness" in reaching a deal with Washington in talks in Islamabad.

The source, who declined to be named due to the sensitivity of the matter, told Reuters that unfreezing the assets was "directly linked to ensuring safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz", which is expected to be a key issue in the talks.

The senior source did not give a value for the assets that Washington had agreed to unfreeze.

A second Iranian source said the United States had agreed to release $6 billion of frozen Iranian funds held by Qatar.

Qatar's Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Horus:
What do you mean by "A defeated Iran" ?

That assumption no longer holds. A fourth center of global power is quickly emerging — Iran — that does not rival those three nations economically or militarily. Instead, its newfound power derives from its control over the most important energy choke point in the global economy, the Strait of Hormuz.

The strait had long been an international waterway through which ships from all countries could travel. But the joint military campaign that the United States and Israel began waging against Iran this year has prompted Iran to create a selective military blockade of the strait.

Roughly one-fifth of the world’s supply of oil and liquefied natural gas moves through the strait. There are no real alternatives to these supply routes in the near term. If Iranian control over the strait persists for months or years, as I believe it may, it will drastically reshape the global order to the detriment of the United States.

Many analysts believe that Iran’s grip on the Strait of Hormuz is only temporary. A widespread expectation is that U.S. and allied naval forces will soon stabilize the situation and that oil flows will resume along familiar lines.

That expectation is flawed. It assumes that to continue to control the strait, Iran must physically close it off. But as we have already seen, you can control the strait without closing it. Today, the strait remains open to tankers. Traffic has dropped by over 90 percent since the war began, though, not because Iran has been sinking every vessel that entered the strait but because, given the credible threat of an attack, insurers withdrew or repriced war-risk coverage. Hitting a cargo ship every few days was more than enough to make the risk unacceptable.

Modern economies do not simply require oil. They also require oil delivered on time, at scale and with predictable risk. When that reliability breaks down, insurance markets tighten, freight rates spike, and governments begin to look at energy access as a complex strategic challenge rather than a simple market transaction.

The problem for the United States is one of asymmetry. Protecting each and every oil shipment that passes through the Strait of Hormuz against potential attacks — mines, drones, missile strikes — is a full-time operation. It requires continuous military presence. Iran needs only to hit an oil tanker once in a while to cast doubt on the reliability of the world’s oil shipments.

President Emmanuel Macron of France said as much on Thursday when he declared that it was “unrealistic” to open the Strait of Hormuz by force and that “this can only be done in concert with Iran.” He was all but admitting that the flow of oil cannot be guaranteed without Iran’s agreement.

For decades, the Persian Gulf had a simple arrangement: Oil producers exported, markets priced, and the United States secured the route. That system allowed rivalry without instability. Now, it is falling apart.

Gulf states depend heavily on energy exports for state revenue. When insurance rates spike and shipping becomes uncertain, the fiscal impact is immediate. Governments adjust. Cargoes are rerouted. Contracts are renegotiated.

If uncertainty persists, the Gulf arrangement will inevitably change, giving way to a different regional order — one in which the Gulf states increasingly accommodate the actor that can most directly influence the reliability of their exports. That actor is now Iran.

The global consequences will be most pronounced in Asia. Japan, South Korea and India depend heavily on Gulf energy. China, though more diversified, also depends on the region for a large share of its energy imports. Those dependencies are embedded in infrastructure — refineries, shipping routes and storage systems that cannot be quickly reconfigured.

If disruption to the energy supply persists, the effects will be widespread. Higher insurance and freight costs will raise prices. Trade balances will worsen. Currencies will weaken. Inflation will rise. Energy dependence will begin to shape policy. Governments will prioritize access to energy. Diplomatic choices will narrow. Actions that risk further instability will become harder to sustain. A 1970s world in which oil shocks lead to years of stagflation will no longer be a distant memory but a nearing reality.

Again, Iran will benefit.

China depends on Gulf energy to sustain growth. Russia benefits from higher and more volatile energy prices. Iran gains leverage from its position at the Hormuz choke point.

Each of these three nations has incentives that run counter to the economic stability of the United States and its allies. These three nations do not need to coordinate in a formal way. The structure of the system pushes them in the same direction. This is how a new order emerges — not through a formal alliance (at least not at first) but through converging incentives that reinforce one another over time.

Other plausible scenarios in the emerging new world order are darker still. Imagine Iran with control of about 20 percent of the world’s oil, Russia with about 11 percent and China able to soak up much of that supply. They would form a cartel to deny the West 30 percent of the world’s oil. You don’t need sophisticated analysis to recognize the catastrophic consequences: precipitously declining power for the United States and Europe, and a global shift toward China, Russia and Iran.

The United States faces a difficult choice: either commit to a long-term effort to reassert control over the Strait of Hormuz, or accept a new global energy arrangement in which U.S. control is no longer assured.

If it chooses acceptance, the outcome is clear: The international system will reorganize with Iran as a fourth center of global power. Yet if the United States chooses to reassert military control, it is in for a long battle, one it could well lose.

The Iran war is not a military conflict from which the United States can simply back out, with things reverting to how they were before. Iran would surely demand a heavy price in a new accommodation with the United States — but this price will surely be less costly than that of the alternative future. This is a transformational war, and if these changes continue for even a few years, the global order will change irrevocably.

Pakistan's Defense Minister Khawaja Asif said in a post on X/Twitter that Israel is “evil and a curse for humanity" and that he hopes its founders will “burn in hell" as Islamabad positions itself as a major diplomatic player in the war.

His remarks come as Islamabad tries to position itself as a diplomatic player in efforts to contain the widening regional war.

fuckingAyaya:
both forces will coordinate vessels passing through the straight, US marines are on ground already. Like I said go and thank Pakistan PM y'all saw the stunt Netanyahu pulled on Lebanon yesterday? Now imagine he was trump and the terrorists rogue nation asked civilians to round their power plants, your guess is as good as mine.

fuckingAyaya:
your mouth don dey run now if he happen una go use civilians as human shields lol. Y'all need to kneel down and thank Pakistan for appealing to DT. U think if trump was to be Netanyahu wetin concern am if civilians surround their power plants? A country that took out all Iranians top military commanders is begging for ceasefire? 😄😄😄😄

Oakenshield:
but Israel has humbled Iran. Show us Iran destruction too