₦airaland Forum

Osinbajo and the Call of Destiny

Deng Xiaoping was an unassuming man, a man of small physical stature, but with a mind that giants will envy. Prior to and post-Mao's demise, Deng was not initially part of Mao's likely successors, but succeed him he did after an interlude and his stewardship led to the greatest period of success in material human history.
Human history is a history of patterns, empires rise and fall, alliances made and broken.

Nigeria's political history is filled with 'patterns' or instances of 'outsiders' coming into the driving seat, from the unassuming Balewa in the first republic, to the reluctant Shagari in the second republic, to the quiet and introspective Yar'Adua in the fourth republic and lucky Goodluck. Nigeria's political history is a history of patterns, patterns that seem to favor the 'Underdogs'.

Osinbajo became APC's Vice-presidential candidate under extraordinary circumstances, but Vice-president he became nonetheless, his choice proved to be a masterstroke, his stewardship inspiring confidence, his loyalty unquestionable, his integrity intact, and his conscience at rest.

In the treacherous labyrinth of Nigerian politics, it is rare for a man immersed into the system and not come out with allegations of grand larceny ala Atiku Abubakar, or in Nigerian parlance, 'stain his white'. Osinbajo seems to be a rare breed.

Here's a man of deep spirituality, a vibrant intellect. He began lecturing at the age of twenty-three, a professor of law at thirty-seven.

A combination of a healthy body, a God-conscious soul, and a vibrant intellect. The absence of ethical baggage, and having no corrupt past to hinder him.

He is perfectly placed to complete the transition between the perennial 1966 generation, a bridge to a new Twenty-first century, IT-driven Nigeria. He has the love of his Yoruba base, goodwill of the South-South and East, and acceptance of the North. Unlike other contenders who are viewed with suspicion.

Elephant in the room Tinubu’s candidacy. By standards of decency going back to the allegiance of 2015, Tinubu’s implied right.

However Tinubu must be Muslim-Muslim to practically win. Insensitive to the sensitivities of Nigeria’s Christians.

Moreover Tinubu’s increasing ill-health is a huge albatross, Nigeria cannot afford a sick and absent president. Nigeria must come first.

Indeed, Osibanjo is a product of Tinubu. Osibanjo can be Tinubu’s legacy to the world.

Tinubu can emulate great statesmen like Nelson Mandela, such an act would raise him up to heights of greatness.

Osibanjo has the capacity to rejuvenate, unify and heal Nigeria. He is more of a need than a question of choice.

Najeeb Wali

@NWali_X on Twitter

That is uncalled for, the tribal angle, I'm from Katsina state and I'm also a strong advocate for an Osibanjo Presidency. Osibanjo is not burdened by the moral and ethical baggage of Tinubu, no corruption accusations to hang around his neck, intellectually sound, a true 21st century individual while maintaining fear of God. Zulum is unrealistic, the people of Borno need him more than going to the Presidency and becoming a vice while he can directly touch the lives of his people as Governor.
The ideal VP is either Elrufai, SLS or Ganduje, the problem with Ganduje is the strong corruption accusations, however, an Osibanjo/SLS presidency will be brave and will counterbalance the religious tension in the country, people forget SLS is Khalifa of Tijaniyyah (Largest Muslim sect in Africa). The only problem is will SLS be comfortable being VP. Elrufai is another perfect candidate, however, accusations and utterances he made in the past might come back to haunt him. Though, it'll be a truly 21st century Presidency. I give 100% my support to any of the above.
Osibanjo/SLS or Osibanjo/Elrufai.

Sammy07:


Osibanjo or Fashola

I'm just confident that Tinubu no go run for 2023 election.
He's only playing the game. You don't make your move early

BTW, 2023 should be the first time we chase y
Fulani's out of power
President - Osibanjo - Yoruba
Vice - Zulum - Kanuri
S.P - Orji Kalu - Igbo
Speaker - Just give one S.S man

The Igbo mind is naturally infantile in its disposition, they're still children in their Sociocultural evolution, just as a child grows, so does a society. The Igbos are teenagers, full of energy and bravado, but little tact and wisdom. Unfortunately for them, to their west, they are neighbored by the old wise tortoise of the Yorubas who weigh every step they take, to the North, they have the wise serpent. It's no surprise the Yorubas have consistently manipulated the Igbos using their childishness and gra gra against them. As for us the North, we see them as foolish children who if only they'll calm down, we're willing to nurture and teach them the ways of life. I weep for Ndigbo. �

Tinubuadvocate:
We are patiently waiting for ipob terrorist to turn their own independence celebration to bloody...of course southeast must be burn down.

I shall campaign and vote for him here in Katsina God willing.

Ecstasy154:
https://thenationonlineng.net/2023-osinbajos-presidential-posters-flood-osun/

Yes, a lot of us, we prefer just not to comment.
I personally marvel at the level of vitriol between the Yorubas and Igbos.
I read posts, like some, laugh at the foolishness of some.

Your forecast is very realistic, not in the figures but in percentage margins. The only state I'll dispute is Kwara state where the APC will win. Kudos.

dotcodotuk:
with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

Your Analysis if it can be called that shows deep political naivete. The Buhari of 2015 is not the Buhari going into 2019 polls. The South South and East aren't as solidly PDP as before, Buhari has significantly whittled down PDP stranglehold on the zone, I'm expecting him to get 40% of South South votes while 25+% of South East (The zones aren't really emotionally invested as it's no longer their 'son' running). I expect low voter turn out. The reality is, Kano, Kaduna and Katsina will continue to determine who will win the Presidency, these three states alone will whittle down whatever alleged advantage PDP thinks it has in the East and South. In summary, Buhari will easily win and will be President till 2023. This is the reality devoid of emotions. And to think you said Atiku will win in Niger, LOL, Niger state may be Geographically North Central, but in every other ramification (Politics, Religion) it's a core Northern state. Atiku will win inconsequential states (Taraba, Gombe, Ekiti and South East) but will lose at places that determine Nigeria's political future.
Imagine winning Ekiti only to lose Oyo, Win Taraba only to lose Bauchi, win the South East only to lose Kano and Katsina. Shalom.

benben1000:
Saraki is the only presidential nominee who can win SE and SS at over 90%.
Saraki will likely win SW votes except if the zombies and Afonjas will still vote for Buhari after all what we are seeing
Saraki will win all North Central states...Kwara, Benue, Kogi, Nasarawa, Plateau and Niger states.
Saraki will divide North East states like Adamawa, Borno and Taraba
The only zone he is dead sure to lose to Buhari is North West.

Ramblings of a political neophyte and illiterate. LOL, Saraki cannot even win his Home base talk less of delivering a Zone. Go back and analyse 2015 elections results, Buhari had more votes in Kwara Central than Saraki. You people over rate this criminal.
May he one day lead the imaginary nest of Biafra.

We shall not Stop till the call to prayer Resonates in Anambra, Imo, Abia, Enugu and Ebonyi Government houses. In 30 years time, We shall have at least two Muslim Governors in the South East. We shall guide them to the truth and cleanse them. They are like Children who don't know what they want, it's imperative on the superiors to guide them and bring them forth from Darkness into light. This is our Jihad. So shall it be.

Saraki is overrated politically. He's always aligned with the centre & never really won an election based on his political prowess.
2003 - 2011, PDP rigging machinery was in full force.
2015, jumped on the APC bandwagon & rode on its popularity.
2019, he'll answer him papa name.

One day, a PhD student will do his thesis on the Ndigbos political illiteracy, and that day the whole world will marvel at such monumental foolishness.

An analysis based on wishful thinking and fantasy. Baseless. Too optimistic.


https://www.naija.ng/amp/1189675-borno-based-man-releases-predictions-2019-presidential-election-state-by-state.html[/quote]

This is the analysis is either the work of a politically naive person or a product of outright political illiteracy. The Only Zone PMB won't win is the South East, which in the scheme of things is politically inconsequential. Even the SS, PMB will win but with a slight margin, it'll be similar to the 2015 South West margin.
Your Projections are too close.
This is a more realistic prognosis.
North West - APC 80-85%, PDP 12+% Others 2+%
North East - APC 70-80%, PDP 20-25%.
North Central, PMB Will win Niger, Kwara, Kogi, FCT and Nasarawa, He'll get at least 45% of Benue and Plateau. I project APC winning the North Central by 60-65% with PDP having 30-35%
APC has consolidated her hold on the South West, APC Will easily garner 60-65% whilst PDP will require a mini miracle to get 25%, Sowore, Moghalu etc to garner up to 10%.
South East; Hitherto PDP Zone, but APC has made massive inroads into this territory, the worst APC will do is share the zone, Projecting a 55% margin for the APC.
South East; Last PDP stronghold before it is finally consigned to its destiny of becoming a regional party (at least before APGA gets its act together), I'll project APC getting 25% of the votes in this region with Imo, Anambra, Ebonyi, and Enugu having all recently warmed up a bit to the APC, coupled with Npower, Conditional cash transfer and trader moni beneficiaries will surely vote APC.
All in all, 2019 is gearing up to be a walk over for the incumbent.
Absolutely no contest.