By the end of 2018 in Africa as a whole, there will probably be about 3.2 million more people living in extreme poverty than there are today,” the researchers write.

CNN https://cnn.it/2KBdNgH. “The report says extreme poverty in Nigeria is growing by six people every minute, the highest number in the world,” Daily Post reported https:///2MNHgAG.

Since the report entitled “The start of a new poverty narrative” was published on June 19, 2018, there have been hundreds of news headlines and thousands of posts on social media referencing Nigeria as the new home of extreme poverty. https://brook.gs/2K3huvn.

Are the model assumptions accurate and reasonable enough to make strong conclusions like those above?

Have they incorporated local context and sub-regional variations to improve accuracy? Are there aggregational biases?

These are some of the questions that one would expect the media to also shed light on about the projections.

Hardly has there been headlines or social media posts asking the questions about the accuracy of data used for the projection and the list of assumptions used in constructing the models.
Read more: https://m.guardian.ng/opinion/is-nigeria-really-home-of-extreme-poverty/