₦airaland Forum

Emmynator:
Why are they not smiling

raumdeuter:
Ask Segedinho he will tell you how they run elections

The Capital is where eyes are, So you will all fight for it fairly but both parties will hold some interior 4 LGA where you will cook properly and release the results later often time last results to be released

Lets use Lagos as an example. In Eti Osa, Ikeja would will fight fairly, you will go tackle your opponent on their turf in Amuwo to reduce the number they are cooking.

Now you will go to Epe or Alimosho or Badagry places where your twitter no go reach that is where you bring the well cooked votes late into the night

In Osun last election for example PDP cooking was in Ede, APC was in Boripe. The cooking APC expected in Ife disappointed and wasn't enough to counter what PDP brought in Ede. That Ede is now looking like they overdid the cooking and might get them in INEC trouble

raumdeuter:
Its like Chelsea fans urging Man utd to start Maguire

raumdeuter:
Go back historically in 2019

Borno a core IDP state was the state that gave the highest percentage vote to any candidate when it delivered 90% vote to Buhari
Followed by Yobe with 89% to Buhari

Not even Katsina his home state delivered that percentage to Buhari

My friend a PDP politician in one of the SW states was the one who exposed me to it when Tinubu was still debating on who to pick and I was saying he might pick Dogara, He said unless Tinubu is foolish would he ignore Shetimma or Zulum from a State like Borno

Theflint1:
Lol...a poll of less than 50 persons and of a certain demographic? Besides, the person that conducted the poll is partisan so there's that to consider.

Theflint1:
How will Peter Obi binding the Christian community/CAN together factor in the projection from states with significant Christian populations...especially in the SW, NE and NW?

raumdeuter:
There is the Adeleke factor and they are close to Atiku because they will also want to use that factor to counter Seyi Makindes influence on SW PDP

Seyi is Wike camp, Adeleke is Atiku camp and what better way to prove yourself to Atiku than deliver votes to him more than Seyi can deliver for PDP

This can change if Adeleke lose at tribunal and just fvvck off to Yankee ignoring everybody

Theflint1:
Kwakwanso collapsing his structure for APC is him kissing the presidency ambition goodbye forever, and maybe concerning Kano to Ganduje too. Think Kwakwanso will want to do that?

BAT lending his structure to Jonathan in 2011 is a little overrated. Most of these South West states would have voted Jonathan eitherway, just maybe not to the level they did.

raumdeuter:
SW is a sweep for Tinubu

Lagos APC 55% PDP 25% LP 30%
Ogun APC 65% PDP 15% LP 20%
Oyo APC 70% PDP 25% LP 5%
Osun APC 60% PDP 35% LP 5%
Ekiti APC 75% PDP 20% LP 5%
Ondo APC 75% PDP 20% LP 5%

Theflint1:
Don't see Kwakwanso collapsing any structure for Tinubu, man's fighting to stay relevant, he collapses his structure, nobody takes him serious from here on, e own no go pass mobilizer/influencer for Kano politics. Kwakwanso will see it through, but even if he chooses to collapse his structure, don't think his influence is that much outside of Kano.

Won't say Peter Obi's chances of victory is impossible, just really slim...four months is a long time and the LP structure is working hard.

kingBolton:
How will he do it?
Use your structure for APC this week and the following week use it against APC, I doubt Kwankwaso will take that risk.

kingBolton:
I doubt Kwankwaso and gandollar can work together sha, this is probably Kwankwaso last chance to get back Kano state, Kwankwaso is more or less fighting for his political career in this election. Kano is trickier this time around, other times we had two of the big three working together but this time they are all in different parties.
Atiku was also smart to get shekarau to PDP cos few months ago, PDP more or less had no structure in Kano.

raumdeuter:
I am not sure about the bold that Kwankwanso will collapse his structure, he wants to hold onto Kano at all cost at least for Governorship

raumdeuter:
I am skeptical of some states he classified under APC especially in the North. The part I agree with is that
"APC and PDP have Reps and Senators who are having their elections on that day and will do anything to return" and make their principal win

In many places LP and NNPP don't even have candidates

That in quote is the structure. Who is the NNPP or LP candidate in Atisbo, or Kaiama or Vandekiya or Dukku or Donga LGA that will push and campaign for the party. I am sure PDP and APC already have ward leaders in all these places

Theflint1:
Lol...so for entire North na only 3 states Atiku get inside pocket?
The analysis is fair in some states but that projection up North is unrealistic.

Segedinho:
I no join d "una" o.

i b yoruba from ijebu igbo...

dem say we sabi fly for afternoon o

WhoDeyHause:
Tinubu will win. .

Segedinho:
lol

na omu ale ...igbo version

Theflint1:
Hahahaha

WhoDeyHause:
I am not ogbanje. My name is whodeyhause even though I don't have house again.

Theflint1:
Donstan na Igbo?

WhoDeyHause:
We have no choice but to accept and pray for anybody that wins. Afterall the country is already dead.

WhoDeyHause:
I will collect this and still vote another person. Help me tell bat thank you.

izzou:

Segedinho:
maybe he meant 27yr old...